Eastern Michigan @ Ohio: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 8, 2026)

Sat, Oct 24, 2026, 4:00 PM EDTWeek 8 · at Ohio · Conference game

Kickoff forecast67°F6 mphDryWeather watch ›

Eastern Michigan

4-4 · Power #128

projected

Sat 4:00 PM ET

Ohio

5-2 · Power #96

projected

EMU 23%

77% OHIO

Spread

OHIO -10

open OHIO -9.5

Total

48.5

model 51.5

Spread edge

OHIO by 2

no lean

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Spread

Total

Winner

1H spread

1H total

DraftKings via ESPNupdated 7:32 PM ET

SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed

OpenOHIO -9.5

CurrentOHIO -10

Total49.5 → 48.5

Last update7:32 PM ET

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Market

Open → current

Spread

OpenOHIO -9.5

0.5 → OHIO

NowOHIO -10

0.5 pts toward Ohio

Total

Open49.5

▼ 1

Now48.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Pre-kickoff prices from ESPN · tap a dot

Opened OHIO -9.5 · now OHIO -11.5 · moved 2 toward OHIOmodel OHIO -12

model OHIO -12

Openline modelNow

Line context

Home favorites of 9–11 since 2023: won 76%, covered 43% (159 games)ⓘ

DraftKings via ESPNupdated 7:32 PM ET

SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed

OpenOHIO -9.5

CurrentOHIO -10

Total49.5 → 48.5

Last update7:32 PM ET

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Game preview · 1:07

Eastern Michigan at Ohio: game preview

Made automatically from this game card’s numbers (Oct 23, 10:04 AM ET). The lines and the model’s numbers may have moved since.

Transcript

The line has moved 2 points toward Ohio since it opened. It’s Eastern Michigan at Ohio, Saturday at 4 PM Eastern. In our power ratings, Ohio sits 96th, Eastern Michigan 128th. That’s about 9 points better than Eastern Michigan on a neutral field. Since the preseason, Eastern Michigan has slipped from 118th to 128th, while Ohio has dropped from 86th to 96th. Kickoff forecast at Peden Stadium: 67 degrees, dry, wind 6 miles per hour. Eastern Michigan games have gone under 6 of 8 times. Eastern Michigan is 1 and 3 against the spread on the road. Ohio has the better offense, 50th to 115th. On defense, Ohio ranks 74th and Eastern Michigan 97th. The model has Ohio winning 32 to 20, a 80 percent chance. Ohio is favored by 11.5, up from 9.5 at the open, toward our model. The total opened at 49.5 and sits at 48.5. Our model makes it Ohio by 12, with a total near 51.5. Full breakdown · sportsanalysis.info Subscribe for every preview

More game previews ›

Books

9 sportsbooks · current prices

SpreadTotalMoneyline

Book	Spread		Total		Moneyline
Book	EMU	OHIO	Over	Under	EMU	OHIO
BetMGMMGM	+11-108	-11-110	48.5-110	48.5-110	+350	-450
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag	+11.5-110	-11.5-110	48.5-110	48.5-110	+350	-450
BetRiversBetRivers	+10.5-110	-10.5-113	48.5-107	48.5-115	+325	-455
BetUSBetUS	+11.5-110	-11.5-110	48.5-110	48.5-110	+355	-450
BovadaBovada	+11.5-110	-11.5-110	48.5-110	48.5-110	+345	-470
DraftKingsDK	+10-115	-10-105	48.5-110	48.5-110	+300	-380
FanDuelFD	+10.5-105	-10.5-115	48.5-110	48.5-110	+350	-465
LowVig.agLowVig.ag	+11.5-106	-11.5-106	48.5-108	48.5-108	+350	-450
MyBookie.agMyBookie.ag	+11.5-110	-11.5-110	48.5-110	48.5-110	+366	-502

Prices from ESPN’s odds feed and The Odds API, updated 7:32 PM ET. Highlighted = best number in that column (the line first, then the price). Prices vary by state; check your book.

1st-half prices

3 sportsbooks · current prices

SpreadTotal

Book	Spread		Total
Book	EMU	OHIO	Over	Under
BetUSBetUS	+6.5+104	-6.5-124	24.5+108	24.5-128
DraftKingsDK	+6.5-102	-6.5-118	24.5+110	24.5-130
FanDuelFD	+6.5+106	-6.5-130	24.5+108	24.5-132

Prices from The Odds API’s 1st-half markets (graded on the halftime score). Highlighted = best number in that column (the line first, then the price). Prices vary by state; check your book.

Public betting

Share of bets and of money

Winner

EMU

OHIO

Bets2% 98%

Money6% 94%

Sports Betting Dime, an average of sportsbooks. Read Thu, Oct 22, 4:27 AM ET. ⓘ

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like OHIO as a 10-point home favorite against EMU, the favorite won 5, covered 3, and 7 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 74%

Favorite covered

3 of 933%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 51%

Only 10 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 2.3 against an average line of 9.8; 52.3 points a game (usually 53.1). Of the 7 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	FIU vs MTSU 2026 · Week 8 · very close · similar situation & rest	-10.5	23–26	L	O46.5
Very close	M-OH vs EMU 2025 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & total	-12.5	44–30	W	O47.5
Very close	SHSU vs LT 2024 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & spread	-10.5	9–3	L	U45.5
Very close	MRSH vs GAST 2024 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread & situation	-9.5	35–20	W	O51.5
Very close	APP vs CCU 2025 · Week 8 · very close · similar situation & rest	-10.5	37–45	L	O48
Very close	M-OH vs AKR 2026 · Week 7 · very close · similar situation & rest	-9.5	34–14	W	O47.5
Very close	RICE vs CONN 2023 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & spread	-10	31–38	L	O47.5
Very close	TROY vs ARST 2025 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & season form	-7.5	10–23	L	U52.5
Very close	BUFF vs AKR 2025 · Week 9 · very close · similar situation & rest	-10	16–24	L	U48.5
Very close	CONN vs GAST 2024 · Week 10 · very close · similar total & rest	-7	34–27	P	O48

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
EMU LWWLL	3-5	38%	1-3	1-3
OHIO WLLWW	4-3	57%	2-1	3-2

Venue/role: EMU away, as underdog; OHIO home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
EMU OUOUU	2-6	25%	4-4
OHIO OUUUO	4-3	57%	5-2

In 1384 games with totals 44.5–52.5, 53% went over; 4% of those overs had cashed by halftime and 32% by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
EMU	5-5 50%	4-6 40%	3-7 30%
OHIO	8-2 80%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Eastern Michigan

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 4	vs CMU	L13–24LU
Nov 17	@ WMU	L21–31LO
Nov 24	vs KENT	W52–33WO

Ohio

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 3	@ AKR	W30–10WU
Nov 10	@ M-OH	W24–20WU
Nov 17	vs BALL	L14–20LU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

EMU 12–22 OHIO (1 tied) OHIO leads · 35 games since 1976 · OHIO has won the last 4 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 25 2025	Ohio 28 @ Eastern Michigan 21	OHIO -13.5	EMU W
Nov 13 2024	Eastern Michigan 10 @ Ohio 35	OHIO -10.5	OHIO W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

EMU−12.8 →−16.1▼ 3.3#127

OHIO−5.6 →−7.3▼ 1.7#96

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW7

EMU

Longer bar = better

OHIO

#115

Offense

OHIO better ▶

#50

#97

Defense

OHIO better ▶

#74

−0.1 #82

Turnovers

◀ EMU better

−0.4 #99

67 plays #60

Pace

◀ EMU faster

64 plays #94

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When EMU has the ball

Advantage: OHIO defense

	EMU off	OHIO def	Edge
Points / game	21.5 #109	22.1 #56	OHIO
Yards / play	4.78 #134	5.51 #76	OHIO
PPA / play	+0.04 #107	+0.14 #96	Even
Success rate	40% #108	41% #68	OHIO

When OHIO has the ball

Advantage: OHIO offense

	OHIO off	EMU def	Edge
Points / game	30.4 #63	25.9 #93	OHIO
Yards / play	5.79 #76	5.99 #108	OHIO
PPA / play	+0.22 #37	+0.14 #94	OHIO
Success rate	48% #24	43% #93	OHIO

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

EMU scoring against the OHIO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
EMU scored	3.8 #111	8.1 #86	11.9 #100	5.1 #95	4.5 #121	9.6 #118
OHIO allowed	4.0 #46	5.3 #31	9.3 #38	6.0 #87	6.4 #77	12.4 #86

OHIO scoring against the EMU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
OHIO scored	6.9 #55	9.7 #53	16.6 #57	6.4 #61	6.7 #73	13.1 #74
EMU allowed	3.4 #38	11.3 #124	14.6 #102	5.0 #72	6.3 #68	11.3 #69

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.