Sat, Sep 19, 2026, 11:30 AM EDTWeek 3 · at Delaware
Weather at kickoff72°F8 mphDryWeather watch ›
1-1 · Power #116
14
final
Final
@
1-1 · Power #113
22
▲ winner
Closing spread
DEL -4.5
✓ DEL W
Total
56.5
▼ Under · 36 pts
Model before kickoff
CCU 24–30 DEL
✓ DEL (64%) won
Closing line · DraftKings
SourceDraftKings closing line
OpenDEL -4.5
CloseDEL -4.5
Total58.5 → 56.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
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Market

Open → close
Spread
No change since the open
Total
Down 2 since the open
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DEL -4.5 · unchangedmodel DEL -8
Opened 58.5 · closed 56.5 · moved 2 downmodel 54
Openline modelKickoff
Line context
Home favorites of 3.5–5.5 since 2023: won 66%, covered 51% (228 games)ⓘ
Closing line · DraftKings
SourceDraftKings closing line
OpenDEL -4.5
CloseDEL -4.5
Total58.5 → 56.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like DEL as a 4.5-point home favorite against CCU, the favorite won 5, covered 5, and 7 went over the total.

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This game: DEL won 22–14; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 36 points stayed under 56.5, as in 3 of 10.
Favorite won
5 of 1050%
Normal range · usually 61%
Favorite covered
5 of 1050%
Normal range · usually 50%
Went over
7 of 1070%
Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 6.8 against an average line of 4.7; 58.4 points a game (usually 52.6). Of the 7 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games
MatchGameLineFinalCoveredO/U
Very close
2025 · Week 4 · very close · similar rest & situation
-330–20 W U51.5
Very close
2025 · Week 3 · very close · similar rest & situation
-6.559–10 W O57.5
Close
2024 · Week 15 · close · similar rest & spread
-53–31 L U57.5
Close
2024 · Week 14 · close · similar rest & spread
-3.533–35 L O52
Close
2023 · Week 4 · close · similar season form & spread
-6.517–30 L U62.5
Close
2024 · Week 15 · close · similar rest & spread
-4.552–12 W O58.5
Close
2023 · Week 11 · close · similar rest & spread
-529–38 L O54.5
Close
2025 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & total
-4.542–25 W O55.5
Close
2024 · Week 10 · close · similar spread & rest
-5.530–34 L O60
Close
2023 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & spread
-331–23 W O49.5
History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

Signals

The data signal, and 2 trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
Slight Under trend Hit
Slight-or-stronger total leans went 509-553 (48%) in our 2023–26 backtest.

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

Total moved down 2
58.5 → 56.5. · Backtest 2024–26: 462-498 (48%)
Small sample warning
Coastal Carolina have 2 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
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Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
CCU−12.9 →−11.3▲ 1.6#112
DEL−14.3 →−6.3▲ 8.0#91
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

CCU
Longer bar = better
DEL
#55
Offense
◀ CCU better
#71
#66
Defense
DEL better ▶
#36
+1.5 #21
Turnovers
◀ CCU better
0.0 #88
67 plays #73
Pace
DEL faster ▶
71 plays #40
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When CCU has the ball
Even matchup
CCU offDEL defEdge
Points / game 34.5 #53 21.0 #74 CCU
Yards / play 6.65 #43 4.19 #32 Even
PPA / play +0.21 #57 −0.17 #19 DEL
Success rate 45% #65 31% #20 DEL
When DEL has the ball
Even matchup
DEL offCCU defEdge
Points / game 34.0 #57 19.0 #65 Even
Yards / play 6.28 #59 4.87 #58 Even
PPA / play +0.14 #77 +0.03 #62 Even
Success rate 41% #92 40% #80 Even

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 17 FBS teams
CCU scoring against the DEL defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
CCU scored
3.5
10.5
14.0
8.5
12.0
20.5
DEL allowed
7.0
0.0
7.0
14.0
0.0
14.0
DEL scoring against the CCU defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
DEL scored
3.5
15.5
19.0
7.0
8.0
15.0
CCU allowed
7.0
8.5
15.5
0.0
3.5
3.5

Game conditions

At kickoff
Home field
DEL +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
72° · 8 mph
gusts 10 mph · at kickoff
Rest
CCU7d
DEL7d
Even
Tempo
Average 137 plays
slowavg 133fast

Schedules, links & other games

Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week