Georgia @ Arkansas: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 3, 2026)

Sat, Sep 19, 2026, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Arkansas · Conference game

Weather at kickoff88°F10 mphgusts 15DryWeather watch ›

Georgia

2-0 · Power #4

▲ winner

Final

Arkansas

1-1 · Power #57

final

Closing spread

UGA -24.5

✓ UGA W

Total

54.5

▲ Over · 62 pts

Model before kickoff

UGA 39–16 ARK

✓ UGA (95%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenUGA -17.5

CloseUGA -24.5

Total52.5 → 54.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UGA WW	2-0	100%	—	2-0
ARK LL	0-2	0%	0-1	0-1

Venue/role: UGA away, as favorite; ARK home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UGA OO	2-0	100%	2-0
ARK UU	0-2	0%	1-1

Went over in Q4. Of 653 earlier overs in games with totals 50.5–58.5, 33% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UGA	9-1 90%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%
ARK	1-9 10%	3-7 30%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

UGA+22.1 →+22.9▲ 0.8#5

ARK+7.3 →+2.6▼ 4.7#58

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

UGA

Longer bar = better

ARK

Offense

◀ UGA better

#105

Defense

◀ UGA better

#107

+1.0 #32

Turnovers

◀ UGA better

−1.0 #117

60 plays #107

Pace

ARK faster ▶

80 plays #6

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UGA has the ball

Advantage: UGA offense

	UGA off	ARK def	Edge
Points / game	66.5 #1	28.5 #112	UGA
Yards / play	9.61 #1	5.60 #97	UGA
PPA / play	+0.90 #1	+0.24 #127	UGA
Success rate	71% #1	42% #91	UGA

When ARK has the ball

Advantage: UGA defense

	ARK off	UGA def	Edge
Points / game	20.5 #114	11.5 #21	UGA
Yards / play	4.50 #128	2.53 #1	UGA
PPA / play	+0.05 #110	−0.20 #11	UGA
Success rate	45% #67	22% #3	UGA

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 19 FBS teams

UGA scoring against the ARK defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UGA scored	24.5	17.5	42.0	14.0	10.5	24.5
ARK allowed	3.5	11.0	14.5	7.0	7.0	14.0

ARK scoring against the UGA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARK scored	5.0	3.5	8.5	3.5	8.5	12.0
UGA allowed	0.0	4.5	4.5	0.0	7.0	7.0

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.