Kennesaw State @ Tennessee: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 3, 2026)

Sat, Sep 19, 2026, 7:45 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Tennessee

Weather at kickoff83°F3 mphgusts 9DryWeather watch ›

Kennesaw State

1-1 · Power #117

final

Final

Tennessee

2-0 · Power #11

▲ winner

Closing spread

TENN -35.5

✓ KENN W

Total

60.5

▼ Under · 51 pts

Model before kickoff

KENN 12–47 TENN

✓ TENN (99%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenTENN -34.5

CloseTENN -35.5

Total59.5 → 60.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenTENN -34.5

1 → TENN

CloseTENN -35.5

1 pt toward Tennessee

Total

Open59.5

▲ 1

Close60.5

Up 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened TENN -34.5 · closed TENN -35.5 · moved 1 toward TENNmodel TENN -35

model TENN -35

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 34.5–36.5 since 2023: won 100%, covered 52% (60 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 51% (310 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenTENN -34.5

CloseTENN -35.5

Total59.5 → 60.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like TENN as a 35.5-point home favorite against KENN, the favorite won 10, covered 3, and 5 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: TENN won 42–9; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 7 of the 10 similar games. 51 points stayed under 60.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

10 of 10100%

Normal range · usually 100%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 54%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 59%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 31 against an average line of 37.2; 59.6 points a game (usually 56.3). Of the 5 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	ORE vs HAW 2023 · Week 3 · close · similar rest & situation	-38.25	55–10	W	U67.75
Close	TENN vs UAB 2025 · Week 4 · close · similar situation & rest	-39	56–24	L	O68.5
Loose	MICH vs UNLV 2023 · Week 2 · loose · similar rest & situation	-38	35–7	L	U57.5
Loose	MICH vs BGSU 2023 · Week 3 · loose · similar situation & rest	-40.75	31–6	L	U53.5
Loose	PSU vs BGSU 2024 · Week 2 · loose · similar rest & situation	-35	34–27	L	O51.5
Loose	LSU vs ARMY 2023 · Week 8 · loose · similar rest & total	-33	62–0	W	O60
Loose	UGA vs UAB 2023 · Week 4 · loose · similar rest & situation	-41	49–21	L	O56
Loose	MISS vs GASO 2024 · Week 4 · loose · similar situation & rest	-35	52–13	W	U68.5
Loose	TA&M vs USU 2025 · Week 2 · loose · similar rest & situation	-34.5	44–22	L	O57.5
Loose	TEX vs MSST 2024 · Week 5 · loose · similar rest	-37	35–13	L	U58.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
KENN WL	1-1	50%	—	—
TENN LW	1-1	50%	0-1	1-1

Venue/role: KENN away, as underdog; TENN home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
KENN UU	0-2	0%	1-1
TENN UO	1-1	50%	2-0

Stayed under: it needed 23 in the 4th quarter and got 13. 46% of games with totals 56.5–64.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
KENN	7-3 70%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%
TENN	6-4 60%	3-7 30%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

KENN−10.4 →−12.0▼ 1.6#116

TENN+14.3 →+17.5▲ 3.2#11

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

KENN

Longer bar = better

TENN

#59

Offense

TENN better ▶

#29

#72

Defense

TENN better ▶

#42

+0.5 #67

Turnovers

Even

0.0 #76

69 plays #56

Pace

Even

70 plays #43

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When KENN has the ball

Even matchup

	KENN off	TENN def	Edge
Points / game	32.0 #67	16.5 #48	Even
Yards / play	6.24 #62	4.47 #44	Even
PPA / play	+0.19 #61	−0.17 #17	TENN
Success rate	48% #46	38% #59	Even

When TENN has the ball

Advantage: TENN offense

	TENN off	KENN def	Edge
Points / game	50.5 #13	15.5 #47	TENN
Yards / play	7.75 #16	5.31 #85	TENN
PPA / play	+0.33 #27	+0.08 #81	TENN
Success rate	46% #59	40% #75	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 112 FBS teams

KENN scoring against the TENN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KENN scored	11.0	10.5	21.5	7.5	3.0	10.5
TENN allowed	5.0	0.0	5.0	5.0	6.5	11.5

TENN scoring against the KENN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TENN scored	7.0	19.0	26.0	14.0	10.5	24.5
KENN allowed	3.0	7.5	10.5	3.5	1.5	5.0

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.