Tennessee @ Georgia Tech: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2026)

Sat, Sep 12, 2026, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Georgia Tech

Weather at kickoff83°F5 mphDryWeather watch ›

Tennessee

1-0 · Power #11

▲ winner

Final

Georgia Tech

0-1 · Power #68

final

Closing spread

TENN -12.5

✓ TENN W

Total

55.5

▲ Over · 69 pts

Model before kickoff

TENN 36–24 GT

✓ TENN (80%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenTENN -8.5

CloseTENN -12.5

Total56.5 → 55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenTENN -8.5

4 → TENN

CloseTENN -12.5

4 pts toward Tennessee

Total

Open56.5

▼ 1

Close55.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened TENN -8.5 · closed TENN -12.5 · moved 4 toward TENNmodel TENN -9

model TENN -9

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 11.5–13.5 since 2023: won 79%, covered 42% (81 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 3.5+ pts toward the favorite: that team covered 48% (192 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenTENN -8.5

CloseTENN -12.5

Total56.5 → 55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 4 games most like TENN as a 12.5-point road favorite at GT, the favorite won 4, covered 3, and 2 went over the total.

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This game: TENN won 45–24; the favorite covered, as in 3 of the 4 similar games. 69 points went over 55.5, as in 2 of 4.

Favorite won

4 of 4100%

Normal range · usually 79%

Favorite covered

3 of 3100%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

2 of 450%

Normal range · usually 49%

Only 4 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 22.8 against an average line of 12.4; 48.3 points a game (usually 52.3). Of the 2 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 4 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	TTU @ HOU 2025 · Week 6 · loose	-13	35–11	W	U51.5
Loose	ALA @ WIS 2024 · Week 3 · loose · similar situation & rest	-15.5	42–10	W	O47.5
Loose	ND @ NCSU 2023 · Week 2 · loose · similar situation & rest	-7	45–24	W	O49.5
Loose	OU @ CIN 2023 · Week 4 · loose · similar total & rest	-14	20–6	P	U57.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
TENN L	0-1	0%	—	0-1
GT L	0-1	0%	0-1	—

Venue/role: TENN away, as favorite; GT home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
TENN U	0-1	0%	1-0
GT U	0-1	0%	0-1

Went over in Q4. Of 607 earlier overs in games with totals 51.5–59.5, 33% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
TENN	6-4 60%	2-8 20%	4-6 40%
GT	5-5 50%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

TENN+14.3 →+15.1▲ 0.8#17

GT+7.5 →+4.8▼ 2.7#44

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

TENN

Longer bar = better

#32

Offense

◀ TENN better

#102

#26

Defense

◀ TENN better

#64

−2.0 #119

Turnovers

GT better ▶

−1.0 #102

74 plays #37

Pace

◀ TENN faster

54 plays #122

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When TENN has the ball

Advantage: TENN offense

	TENN off	GT def	Edge
Points / game	56.0 #21	14.0 #58	TENN
Yards / play	8.62 #16	4.04 #47	TENN
PPA / play	+0.46 #30	+0.05 #82	TENN
Success rate	49% #60	38% #70	Even

When GT has the ball

Advantage: TENN defense

	GT off	TENN def	Edge
Points / game	13.0 #115	9.0 #36	TENN
Yards / play	5.33 #94	3.81 #38	TENN
PPA / play	+0.07 #91	−0.40 #11	TENN
Success rate	37% #107	19% #18	TENN

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.