Thu, Sep 3, 2026, 8:00 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Georgia Tech
Closing spread
GT -6.5
✓ COLO W
Total
53.5
▼ Under · 27 pts
Model before kickoff
COLO 24–32 GT
✗ GT (71%) lost
Closing line · DraftKings
SourceDraftKings closing line
OpenGT -7
CloseGT -6.5
Total51.5 → 53.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGT -7
0.5 → COLO
CloseGT -6.5
0.5 pts toward Colorado
Total
Open51.5
▲ 2
Close53.5
Up 2 since the open
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GT -7 · closed GT -6.5 · moved 0.5 toward COLOmodel GT -13
model GT -13
Opened 51.5 · closed 53.5 · moved 2 upmodel 55.5
model 55.5
Openline modelKickoff
Line context
Home favorites of 5.5–7.5 since 2023: won 69%, covered 56% (240 games)ⓘ
Moved off 7The team the line moved toward covered 67% (27 games since 2024)ⓘ
Closing line · DraftKings
SourceDraftKings closing line
OpenGT -7
CloseGT -6.5
Total51.5 → 53.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Similar games
The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out
In the 10 games most like 
GT as a 6.5-point home favorite against COLO, the favorite won 4, covered 4, and 5 went over the total.
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This game: COLO won 14–13 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 27 points stayed under 53.5, as in 5 of 10.
Favorite won
4 of 1040%
Normal range · usually 67%
Favorite covered
4 of 1040%
Normal range · usually 52%
Went over
5 of 1050%
Normal range · usually 51%
All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 3.5 against an average line of 6.7; 50.1 points a game (usually 53.1). Of the 5 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›
All 10 games
| Match | Game | Line | Final | Covered | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Very close |
2023 · Week 7 · very close · similar team ratings & spread |
-5 | 44–11 | W | O52.5 |
| Very close |
2024 · Week 4 · very close · similar total & situation |
-7.5 | 35–24 | W | O54.5 |
| Very close |
2025 · Week 5 · very close · similar spread & total |
-6 | 24–28 | L | U54.5 |
| Very close |
2023 · Week 3 · very close · similar situation & spread |
-7 | 7–33 | L | U49.25 |
| Very close |
2024 · Week 11 · very close · similar team ratings & spread |
-7.5 | 19–24 | L | U57.5 |
| Very close |
2025 · Week 14 · very close · similar team ratings |
-8.5 | 27–7 | W | U52.5 |
| Very close |
2025 · Week 5 · very close · similar spread & total |
-5.5 | 34–37 | L | O56 |
| Very close |
2024 · Week 12 · very close · similar spread & total |
-7.5 | 14–24 | L | U51.5 |
| Very close |
2025 · Week 6 · very close · similar total & spread |
-4.5 | 23–30 | L | O51.5 |
| Very close |
2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar total & spread |
-7.5 | 41–15 | W | O54.5 |
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WAKEHistory, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found
Signals
The data signal, and 2 trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
Slight Over trend Miss
Slight-or-stronger total leans went 509-553 (48%) in our 2023–26 backtest.
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Total moved up 2
51.5 → 53.5. · Backtest 2024–26: 462-498 (48%)
Small sample warning
Colorado have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Totals
Over/under before kickoff
Stayed under: it needed 37 in the 4th quarter and got 10. 51% of games with totals 49.5–57.5 went over.
When games like this go over ›Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
 COLO | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| GT | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 1 since 2023
COLO 1–1 GT
Series tied · 2 games since 2025 · COLO has won the last meeting
All-time series from CollegeFootballData.
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 2025 | Georgia Tech 27 @ Colorado 20 | GT -3.5 | GT W |
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
GT +2.5home-field points in the model
Weather
84° · 6 mph
gusts 8 mph · at kickoff
Rest
COLO1st game
GT1st game
Even
Travel
COLO 1,228 mi
2 time zones
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week
Coloradovs WEB →
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NMSU @ 
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AKR @ 
MIA @ 
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HOU
CCU @ 
WVU
M-OH @ 
BAY vs 
AUB