Baylor vs Auburn: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 1, 2026)

Sat, Sep 5, 2026, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 1 · Neutral site

Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Baylor

0-0 · Power #38

final

Final

Auburn

0-0 · Power #25

▲ winner

Closing spread

AUB -6.5

✓ BAY W

Total

58.5

▼ Under · 33 pts

Model before kickoff

BAY 25–31 AUB

✓ AUB (69%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenAUB -6.5

CloseAUB -6.5

Total59.5 → 58.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenAUB -6.5

no move

CloseAUB -6.5

No change since the open

Total

Open59.5

▼ 1

Close58.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened AUB -6.5 · unchangedmodel AUB -8

model AUB -8

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Neutral-site favorites of 5.5–7.5 since 2023: won 65%, covered 37% (43 games)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenAUB -6.5

CloseAUB -6.5

Total59.5 → 58.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like AUB as a 6.5-point neutral-site favorite against BAY, the favorite won 7, covered 4, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: AUB won 17–16; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 33 points stayed under 58.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 67%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 52%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 5.1 against an average line of 6.4; 50.9 points a game (usually 53.1). Of the 4 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	TA&M vs ARK 2023 · Week 5 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-6.5	34–22	W	O54
Very close	BYU vs GT 2025 · Postseason · very close · similar team ratings & total	-3.5	25–21	W	U55
Close	NEB vs CIN 2025 · Week 1 · close · similar spread & situation	-6	20–17	L	U50.5
Close	KSU vs RUTG 2024 · Postseason · close · similar spread	-7.25	44–41	L	O52
Close	TA&M vs ARK 2024 · Week 5 · close · similar team ratings	-6.5	21–17	L	U50.5
Close	UVA vs DUKE 2025 · Week 15 · close · similar team ratings	-3.5	20–27	L	U58.5
Close	MIZ vs MEM 2023 · Week 4 · close · similar situation & spread	-6.5	34–27	W	O52
Close	TCU vs UL 2024 · Postseason · close · similar total	-9.5	34–3	W	U59.5
Close	FSU vs GT 2024 · Week 1 · close · similar total	-10.5	21–24	L	U54.5
Close	USC vs TCU 2025 · Postseason · close	-4.5	27–30	L	O56.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found