Sat, Sep 5, 2026, 12:45 PM EDTWeek 1 · at South Carolina
Closing spread
SC -35.5
✓ SC W
Total
52.5
▲ Over · 57 pts
Model before kickoff
KENT 8–43 SC
✓ SC (99%) won
Closing line · DraftKings
SourceDraftKings closing line
OpenSC -33.5
CloseSC -35.5
Total52.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSC -33.5
2 → SC
CloseSC -35.5
2 pts toward South Carolina
Total
Open52.5
no move
Close52.5
No change since the open
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SC -33.5 · closed SC -35.5 · moved 2 toward SCmodel SC -32.5
model SC -32.5
Opened 52.5 · unchangedmodel 51.5
model 51.5
Openline modelKickoff
Line context
Home favorites of 34.5–36.5 since 2023: won 100%, covered 48% (52 games)ⓘ
Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 49% (271 games since 2024)ⓘ
Closing line · DraftKings
SourceDraftKings closing line
OpenSC -33.5
CloseSC -35.5
Total52.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Similar games
The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out
In the 10 games most like 
SC as a 35.5-point home favorite against KENT, the favorite won 10, covered 6, and 6 went over the total.
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This game: SC won 57–0; the favorite covered, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 57 points went over 52.5, as in 6 of 10.
Favorite won
10 of 10100%
Normal range · usually 100%
Favorite covered
6 of 1060%
Normal range · usually 53%
Went over
6 of 1060%
Normal range · usually 59%
All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 37.4 against an average line of 35.7; 54.2 points a game (usually 56.3). Of the 6 overs, 3 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›
All 10 games
| Match | Game | Line | Final | Covered | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Very close |
2025 · Week 3 · very close · similar spread & situation |
-35.5 | 47–7 | W | O44.5 |
| Very close |
2025 · Week 2 · very close · similar situation & team ratings |
-33.75 | 68–0 | W | O47.5 |
| Very close |
2024 · Week 2 · very close · similar total & situation |
-34.5 | 38–0 | W | U52 |
| Very close |
2023 · Week 3 · very close · similar total & situation |
-36.5 | 47–3 | W | U53.5 |
| Close |
2023 · Week 1 · close · similar situation |
-35.25 | 37–10 | L | U59 |
| Close |
2023 · Week 3 · close · similar situation & spread |
-34.75 | 41–17 | L | O51.25 |
| Close |
2025 · Week 2 · close · similar total & situation |
-35.5 | 56–9 | W | O51.5 |
| Close |
2023 · Week 1 · close · similar situation & total |
-38 | 52–10 | W | O48.75 |
| Close |
2025 · Week 2 · close · similar situation |
-34.5 | 44–22 | L | O57.5 |
| Close |
2023 · Week 2 · close · similar situation |
-38.5 | 28–6 | L | U57.5 |
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ARKHistory, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found
Signals
The data signal, and 2 trends and market moves behind it
Slight South Carolina ATS trend Hit
Slight-or-stronger ATS leans went 873-886 (50%) in our 2023–26 backtest.
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Market moved toward South Carolina
2 pts (SC -33.5 → SC -35.5). · Backtest 2024–26: 446-443 (50%)
Small sample warning
Kent State have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Totals
Over/under before kickoff
Went over in Q4. Of 657 earlier overs in games with totals 48.5–56.5, 33% had cashed by the end of Q3.
When games like this go over ›Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
 KENT | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| SC | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
The series
KENT 0–2 SC
SC leads · 2 games since 1995 · SC has won the last 2 meetings
All-time series from CollegeFootballData.
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
SC +2.5home-field points in the model
Weather
95° · 2 mph
gusts 3 mph · at kickoff
Rest
KENT1st game
SC1st game
Even
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week
Kent Statevs WOF →South Carolinavs TOW →
SAC @ 
EMU
RUTG
WAKE
SJSU @ 
UTEP @ 
OU
TOL @ 
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ECU @ 
ALA
OHIO @ 
BALL @ 
OSU
M-OH @ 
PITT