Akron @ Wake Forest: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 1, 2026)

Thu, Sep 3, 2026, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Wake Forest

Weather at kickoff88°F7 mphDryWeather watch ›

Akron

0-0 · Power #133

final

Final

Wake Forest

0-0 · Power #20

▲ winner

Closing spread

WAKE -27.5

✓ AKR W

Total

50.5

▲ Over · 54 pts

Model before kickoff

AKR 10–37 WAKE

✓ WAKE (97%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenWAKE -22.5

CloseWAKE -27.5

Total49.5 → 50.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenWAKE -22.5

5 → WAKE

CloseWAKE -27.5

5 pts toward Wake Forest

Total

Open49.5

▲ 1

Close50.5

Up 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened WAKE -22.5 · closed WAKE -27.5 · moved 5 toward WAKEmodel WAKE -23

model WAKE -23

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 26.5–28.5 since 2023: won 99%, covered 58% (74 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 3.5+ pts toward the favorite: that team covered 46% (168 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenWAKE -22.5

CloseWAKE -27.5

Total49.5 → 50.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like WAKE as a 27.5-point home favorite against AKR, the favorite won 9, covered 3, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: WAKE won 38–16; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 7 of the 10 similar games. 54 points went over 50.5, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 96%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 55%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 18.4 against an average line of 26.2; 49.4 points a game (usually 54.5). Of the 3 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	IU vs FIU 2024 · Week 1 · very close · similar situation & total	-25.5	31–7	L	U51
Very close	WIS vs BUFF 2023 · Week 1 · very close · similar situation & spread	-28	38–17	L	O54
Close	IOWA vs WMU 2023 · Week 3 · close · similar situation & spread	-28.5	41–10	W	O43.25
Close	AUB vs NMSU 2023 · Week 12 · close · similar total	-25	10–31	L	U48.5
Close	ARMY vs UAB 2024 · Week 7 · close	-27	44–10	W	U55.5
Close	JMU vs TROY 2025 · Week 15 · close · similar total	-24.5	31–14	L	U47.5
Close	UK vs EMU 2025 · Week 3 · close · similar total & situation	-26.5	48–23	L	O49.5
Close	TULN vs TLSA 2023 · Week 11 · close · similar team ratings	-24.5	24–22	L	U52.75
Close	VAN vs BALL 2024 · Week 8 · close · similar situation	-27.5	24–14	L	U57.5
Close	SYR vs WMU 2023 · Week 2 · close · similar team ratings & situation	-24.5	48–7	W	U56.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found