Sat, Sep 19, 2026, 4:00 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Indiana
Closing spread
IU -44.5
✓ WKU W
Total
59.5
▼ Under · 38 pts
Model before kickoff
WKU 7–52 IU
✓ IU (100%) won
Closing line · DraftKings
SourceDraftKings closing line
OpenIU -44.5
CloseIU -44.5
Total59.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenIU -44.5
no move
CloseIU -44.5
No change since the open
Total
Open59.5
no move
Close59.5
No change since the open
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened IU -44.5 · unchangedmodel IU -47
model IU -47
Opened 59.5 · unchangedmodel 59.5 matches the line
model 59.5 = line ✓
Openline modelKickoff
Line context
Home favorites of 42.5–46.5 since 2023: won 100%, covered 53% (58 games)ⓘ
Closing line · DraftKings
SourceDraftKings closing line
OpenIU -44.5
CloseIU -44.5
Total59.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Similar games
The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out
No recent game is a close match for
IU as a 44.5-point home favorite against WKU. Try “Overall” or remove a filter under Customize.
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Show up togames
History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found
Signals
The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Small sample warning
Western Kentucky have 2 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Totals
Over/under before kickoff
Stayed under: it needed 29 in the 4th quarter and got 7. 47% of games with totals 55.5–63.5 went over.
When games like this go over ›Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | |
| 10-0 100% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
WKU−7.3 →−14.5▼ 7.2#123
IU+23.3 →+25.2▲ 1.9#3
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2
Longer bar = better
#129
Offense
IU better ▶#8
#138
Defense
IU better ▶#21
−1.5 #130
Turnovers
IU better ▶+0.5 #57
78 plays #12
Pace
◀ WKU faster54 plays #131
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| WKU off | IU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 17.0 #124 | 8.0 #10 | IU |
| Yards / play | 3.79 #137 | 3.72 #13 | IU |
| PPA / play | −0.10 #129 | −0.05 #45 | IU |
| Success rate | 36% #124 | 30% #17 | IU |
| IU off | WKU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 53.5 #7 | 59.5 #138 | IU |
| Yards / play | 8.06 #11 | 8.30 #137 | IU |
| PPA / play | +0.65 #2 | +0.79 #138 | IU |
| Success rate | 56% #11 | 60% #138 | IU |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 61 FBS teams
WKU scoring against the IU defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.0 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 10.5 | 10.5 | |
0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 |
IU scoring against the WKU defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17.0 | 15.5 | 32.5 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 21.0 | |
17.5 | 17.5 | 35.0 | 14.0 | 10.5 | 24.5 |
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
89° · 4 mph
gusts 11 mph · at kickoff
Rest
WKU7d
IU7d
Even
Tempo
Average 132 plays
slowavg 133fast
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

