Sat, Sep 19, 2026, 4:00 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Indiana
Weather at kickoff89°F4 mphgusts 11DryWeather watch ›
0-2 · Power #115
0
final
Final
@
2-0 · Power #7
38
▲ winner
Closing spread
IU -44.5
✓ WKU W
Total
59.5
▼ Under · 38 pts
Model before kickoff
WKU 7–52 IU
✓ IU (100%) won
Closing line · DraftKings
SourceDraftKings closing line
OpenIU -44.5
CloseIU -44.5
Total59.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
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Market

Open → close
Spread
No change since the open
Total
No change since the open
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened IU -44.5 · unchangedmodel IU -47
Opened 59.5 · unchangedmodel 59.5 matches the line
Openline modelKickoff
Line context
Home favorites of 42.5–46.5 since 2023: won 100%, covered 53% (58 games)ⓘ
Closing line · DraftKings
SourceDraftKings closing line
OpenIU -44.5
CloseIU -44.5
Total59.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

No recent game is a close match for IU as a 44.5-point home favorite against WKU. Try “Overall” or remove a filter under Customize.

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History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

Signals

The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

Small sample warning
Western Kentucky have 2 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
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Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
WKU−7.3 →−14.5▼ 7.2#123
IU+23.3 →+25.2▲ 1.9#3
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

WKU
Longer bar = better
IU
#129
Offense
IU better ▶
#8
#138
Defense
IU better ▶
#21
−1.5 #130
Turnovers
IU better ▶
+0.5 #57
78 plays #12
Pace
◀ WKU faster
54 plays #131
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When WKU has the ball
Advantage: IU defense
WKU offIU defEdge
Points / game 17.0 #124 8.0 #10 IU
Yards / play 3.79 #137 3.72 #13 IU
PPA / play −0.10 #129 −0.05 #45 IU
Success rate 36% #124 30% #17 IU
When IU has the ball
Advantage: IU offense
IU offWKU defEdge
Points / game 53.5 #7 59.5 #138 IU
Yards / play 8.06 #11 8.30 #137 IU
PPA / play +0.65 #2 +0.79 #138 IU
Success rate 56% #11 60% #138 IU

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 61 FBS teams
WKU scoring against the IU defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
WKU scored
0.0
6.5
6.5
0.0
10.5
10.5
IU allowed
0.0
3.0
3.0
5.0
0.0
5.0
IU scoring against the WKU defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
IU scored
17.0
15.5
32.5
10.5
10.5
21.0
WKU allowed
17.5
17.5
35.0
14.0
10.5
24.5

Game conditions

At kickoff
Home field
IU +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
89° · 4 mph
gusts 11 mph · at kickoff
Rest
WKU7d
IU7d
Even
Tempo
Average 132 plays
slowavg 133fast

Schedules, links & other games

Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week