Sat, Sep 19, 2026, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Ohio State
Weather at kickoff75°F6 mphDryWeather watch ›
1-1 · Power #131
3
final
Final
@
1-1 · Power #2
59
▲ winner
Closing spread
OSU -52.5
✓ OSU W
Total
58.5
▲ Over · 62 pts
Model before kickoff
KENT 0–53 OSU
✓ OSU (100%) won
Closing line · DraftKings
SourceDraftKings closing line
OpenOSU -52.5
CloseOSU -52.5
Total56.5 → 58.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
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Market

Open → close
Spread
No change since the open
Total
Up 2 since the open
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OSU -52.5 · unchangedmodel OSU -54.5
Opened 56.5 · closed 58.5 · moved 2 upmodel 53.5
Openline modelKickoff
Closing line · DraftKings
SourceDraftKings closing line
OpenOSU -52.5
CloseOSU -52.5
Total56.5 → 58.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

No recent game is a close match for OSU as a 52.5-point home favorite against KENT. Try “Overall” or remove a filter under Customize.

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History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

Signals

The data signal, and 2 trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
Slight Over trend Hit
Slight-or-stronger total leans went 509-553 (48%) in our 2023–26 backtest.

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

Total moved up 2
56.5 → 58.5. · Backtest 2024–26: 462-498 (48%)
Small sample warning
Kent State have 2 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
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Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
KENT−18.0 →−21.3▼ 3.3#138
OSU+27.1 →+25.9▼ 1.2#1
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

KENT
Longer bar = better
OSU
#109
Offense
OSU better ▶
#32
#109
Defense
OSU better ▶
#40
−1.0 #112
Turnovers
OSU better ▶
+0.5 #58
60 plays #104
Pace
OSU faster ▶
68 plays #61
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When KENT has the ball
Advantage: OSU defense
KENT offOSU defEdge
Points / game 18.0 #122 13.5 #38 OSU
Yards / play 5.27 #111 3.63 #11 OSU
PPA / play +0.10 #91 −0.06 #40 OSU
Success rate 38% #112 39% #69 OSU
When OSU has the ball
Advantage: OSU offense
OSU offKENT defEdge
Points / game 39.5 #40 36.0 #128 OSU
Yards / play 7.73 #17 6.54 #126 OSU
PPA / play +0.33 #26 +0.04 #68 OSU
Success rate 48% #44 44% #114 OSU

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 19 FBS teams
KENT scoring against the OSU defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
KENT scored
3.5
3.5
7.0
0.0
11.0
11.0
OSU allowed
0.0
3.0
3.0
0.0
10.5
10.5
OSU scoring against the KENT defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
OSU scored
12.0
12.0
24.0
8.5
7.0
15.5
KENT allowed
5.0
17.0
22.0
7.0
7.0
14.0

Game conditions

At kickoff
Home field
OSU +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
75° · 6 mph
gusts 9 mph · at kickoff
Rest
KENT7d
OSU7d
Even
Tempo
Average 128 plays
slowavg 133fast

Schedules, links & other games

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