Sat, Sep 19, 2026, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Ohio State
Closing spread
OSU -52.5
✓ OSU W
Total
58.5
▲ Over · 62 pts
Model before kickoff
KENT 0–53 OSU
✓ OSU (100%) won
Closing line · DraftKings
SourceDraftKings closing line
OpenOSU -52.5
CloseOSU -52.5
Total56.5 → 58.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenOSU -52.5
no move
CloseOSU -52.5
No change since the open
Total
Open56.5
▲ 2
Close58.5
Up 2 since the open
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OSU -52.5 · unchangedmodel OSU -54.5
model OSU -54.5
Opened 56.5 · closed 58.5 · moved 2 upmodel 53.5
model 53.5
Openline modelKickoff
Closing line · DraftKings
SourceDraftKings closing line
OpenOSU -52.5
CloseOSU -52.5
Total56.5 → 58.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Similar games
The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out
No recent game is a close match for
OSU as a 52.5-point home favorite against KENT. Try “Overall” or remove a filter under Customize.
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History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found
Signals
The data signal, and 2 trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
Slight Over trend Hit
Slight-or-stronger total leans went 509-553 (48%) in our 2023–26 backtest.
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Total moved up 2
56.5 → 58.5. · Backtest 2024–26: 462-498 (48%)
Small sample warning
Kent State have 2 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Totals
Over/under before kickoff
Went over in Q4. Of 475 earlier overs in games with totals 54.5–62.5, 33% had cashed by the end of Q3.
When games like this go over ›Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | |
| 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
KENT−18.0 →−21.3▼ 3.3#138
OSU+27.1 →+25.9▼ 1.2#1
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2
Longer bar = better
#109
Offense
OSU better ▶#32
#109
Defense
OSU better ▶#40
−1.0 #112
Turnovers
OSU better ▶+0.5 #58
60 plays #104
Pace
OSU faster ▶68 plays #61
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| KENT off | OSU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 18.0 #122 | 13.5 #38 | OSU |
| Yards / play | 5.27 #111 | 3.63 #11 | OSU |
| PPA / play | +0.10 #91 | −0.06 #40 | OSU |
| Success rate | 38% #112 | 39% #69 | OSU |
| OSU off | KENT def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 39.5 #40 | 36.0 #128 | OSU |
| Yards / play | 7.73 #17 | 6.54 #126 | OSU |
| PPA / play | +0.33 #26 | +0.04 #68 | OSU |
| Success rate | 48% #44 | 44% #114 | OSU |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 19 FBS teams
KENT scoring against the OSU defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3.5 | 3.5 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | |
0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 10.5 | 10.5 |
OSU scoring against the KENT defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12.0 | 12.0 | 24.0 | 8.5 | 7.0 | 15.5 | |
5.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 |
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
75° · 6 mph
gusts 9 mph · at kickoff
Rest
KENT7d
OSU7d
Even
Tempo
Average 128 plays
slowavg 133fast
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

