Wyoming @ Central Michigan: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 3, 2026)

Sat, Sep 19, 2026, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Central Michigan

Weather at kickoff60°F6 mphgusts 12DryWeather watch ›

Wyoming

1-1 · Power #122

final

Final

Central Michigan

1-1 · Power #120

▲ winner

Closing spread

WYO -1.5

✓ CMU W

Total

39.5

▼ Under · 34 pts

Model before kickoff

WYO 20–19 CMU

✗ WYO (52%) lost

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenCMU -2.5

CloseWYO -1.5

Total39.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenCMU -2.5

4 → WYO

CloseWYO -1.5

4 pts toward Wyoming

Total

Open39.5

no move

Close39.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened CMU -2.5 · closed WYO -1.5 · moved 4 toward WYOmodel CMU -1.5

model CMU -1.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 0.5–2.5 since 2023: won 54%, covered 49% (176 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 3.5+ pts toward the favorite: that team covered 49% (198 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenCMU -2.5

CloseWYO -1.5

Total39.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like WYO as a 1.5-point road favorite at CMU, the favorite won 4, covered 4, and 7 went over the total.

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This game: CMU won 24–10 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 34 points stayed under 39.5, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 56%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 0 against an average line of 3.5; 52.2 points a game (usually 52.7). Of the 7 overs, 5 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	AKR @ BALL 2025 · Week 8 · close · similar rest & spread	-2	28–42	L	O44
Close	UTEP @ SHSU 2025 · Week 8 · close · similar rest & team ratings	-3.5	35–17	W	O46.5
Close	NIU @ EMU 2025 · Week 7 · close · similar rest & spread	-1.5	10–16	L	U48.5
Close	CMU @ BALL 2023 · Week 8 · close · similar rest & total	-5	17–24	L	U42
Close	AFA @ SDSU 2024 · Week 14 · close · similar rest & total	-6	31–20	W	O43.5
Close	AFA @ WYO 2024 · Week 5 · close · similar season form	-4	19–31	L	O33.5
Close	M-OH @ NIU 2025 · Week 6 · close · similar rest & total	-4.5	25–14	W	O38.5
Close	M-OH @ BUFF 2025 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & total	-2.5	37–20	W	O38.5
Loose	MRSH @ UL 2025 · Week 5 · loose · similar rest & spread	-2.5	51–54	L	O48
Loose	ULM @ CCU 2025 · Week 7 · loose · similar rest	-3	8–23	L	U46.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WYO LL	0-2	0%	0-1	0-1
CMU LL	0-2	0%	0-1	0-1

Venue/role: WYO away, as favorite; CMU home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
WYO OU	1-1	50%	1-1
CMU UU	0-2	0%	1-1

Stayed under: it needed 13 in the 4th quarter and got 7. 55% of games with totals 35.5–43.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WYO	3-7 30%	3-7 30%	2-8 20%
CMU	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

WYO−11.3 →−13.6▼ 2.3#119

CMU−10.4 →−15.4▼ 5.0#127

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

WYO

Longer bar = better

CMU

#113

Offense

◀ WYO better

#136

#91

Defense

Even

#83

−2.0 #135

Turnovers

CMU better ▶

−0.5 #95

57 plays #122

Pace

Even

56 plays #124

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When WYO has the ball

Advantage: CMU defense

	WYO off	CMU def	Edge
Points / game	17.0 #125	24.0 #86	CMU
Yards / play	5.11 #117	4.45 #42	CMU
PPA / play	0.00 #118	+0.09 #86	CMU
Success rate	42% #90	45% #119	WYO

When CMU has the ball

Advantage: WYO defense

	CMU off	WYO def	Edge
Points / game	10.0 #136	24.0 #88	WYO
Yards / play	3.83 #136	5.74 #105	WYO
PPA / play	−0.16 #134	+0.06 #75	WYO
Success rate	29% #137	42% #96	WYO

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 41 FBS teams

WYO scoring against the CMU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WYO scored	1.5	5.0	6.5	3.5	7.0	10.5
CMU allowed	3.5	11.5	15.0	7.5	1.5	9.0

CMU scoring against the WYO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CMU scored	0.0	0.0	0.0	3.0	7.0	10.0
WYO allowed	3.5	8.5	12.0	5.0	7.0	12.0

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.