Hawai'i @ Wyoming: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 4, 2026)

Sat, Sep 26, 2026, 3:00 PM EDTWeek 4 · at Wyoming · Conference game

Weather at kickoff73°F12 mphDryWeather watch ›

Hawai'i

1-2 · Power #118

final

Final

Wyoming

1-2 · Power #122

▲ winner

Closing spread

HAW -2.5

✓ WYO W

Total

44.5

▼ Under · 37 pts

Model before kickoff

HAW 22–21 WYO

✗ HAW (53%) lost

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenHAW -5.5

CloseHAW -2.5

Total44.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenHAW -5.5

3 → WYO

CloseHAW -2.5

3 pts toward Wyoming

Total

Open44.5

no move

Close44.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened HAW -5.5 · closed HAW -2.5 · moved 3 toward WYOmodel WYO -4.5

model WYO -4.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 1.5–3.5 since 2023: won 56%, covered 48% (264 games)ⓘ

Crossed 3The team the line moved toward covered 47% (133 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenHAW -5.5

CloseHAW -2.5

Total44.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like HAW as a 2.5-point road favorite at WYO, the favorite won 5, covered 5, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: WYO won 27–10 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 37 points stayed under 44.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 57%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 3.5 against an average line of 2.9; 46.1 points a game (usually 52.6). Of the 5 overs, 4 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	LIB @ UTEP 2025 · Week 7 · close · similar total & situation	-1.5	19–8	W	U46.5
Close	ORST @ AFA 2024 · Week 12 · close · similar total & spread	-2.5	0–28	L	U44.5
Close	SJSU @ WYO 2025 · Week 7 · close · similar team ratings & situation	-1.5	28–35	L	O49.5
Close	NAVY @ CLT 2023 · Week 7 · close · similar total & situation	-3	14–0	W	U44.5
Close	NIU @ AKR 2023 · Week 6 · close · similar situation	-4	55–14	W	O42.5
Close	MRSH @ MTSU 2025 · Week 4 · close · similar total	-2.5	42–28	W	O46.5
Close	CCU @ TROY 2024 · Week 10 · close · similar rest	-4	24–38	L	O51.5
Close	FAU @ CLT 2023 · Week 9 · close · similar spread & team ratings	-3.5	38–16	W	O45
Close	ULM @ CCU 2025 · Week 7 · close · similar team ratings & situation	-3	8–23	L	U46.5
Close	MTSU @ SHSU 2023 · Week 13 · close	-3.5	20–23	L	U50

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
HAW LLW	1-2	33%	0-1	1-0
WYO LLL	0-3	0%	0-1	0-1

Venue/role: HAW away, as favorite; WYO home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
HAW OUU	1-2	33%	1-2
WYO OUU	1-2	33%	1-2

Stayed under: it needed 29 in the 4th quarter and got 21. 54% of games with totals 40.5–48.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
HAW	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%
WYO	3-7 30%	3-7 30%	2-8 20%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

HAW 1–1 WYO Series tied · 2 games since 2023 · HAW has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 29 2025	Wyoming 7 @ Hawai'i 27	HAW -8.5	HAW W
Nov 18 2023	Hawai'i 9 @ Wyoming 42	WYO -13.5	WYO W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

HAW−7.0 →−10.7▼ 3.7#112

WYO−11.3 →−14.8▼ 3.5#123

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW3

HAW

Longer bar = better

WYO

#120

Offense

Even

#108

#102

Defense

Even

#100

0.0 #70

Turnovers

◀ HAW better

−2.0 #137

74 plays #13

Pace

◀ HAW faster

57 plays #127

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When HAW has the ball

Even matchup

	HAW off	WYO def	Edge
Points / game	20.7 #118	24.0 #85	WYO
Yards / play	4.65 #128	5.70 #103	WYO
PPA / play	+0.03 #112	+0.14 #100	Even
Success rate	37% #121	45% #112	Even

When WYO has the ball

Even matchup

	WYO off	HAW def	Edge
Points / game	14.7 #133	25.7 #94	HAW
Yards / play	5.33 #107	6.17 #114	Even
PPA / play	+0.04 #105	+0.13 #98	Even
Success rate	42% #88	43% #102	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

HAW scoring against the WYO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
HAW scored	3.0 #119	6.7 #100	9.7 #117	2.0 #130	9.0 #38	11.0 #95
WYO allowed	3.3 #47	10.3 #112	13.7 #89	5.7 #87	4.7 #48	10.3 #68

WYO scoring against the HAW defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WYO scored	1.0 #131	3.3 #131	4.3 #136	3.3 #115	7.0 #71	10.3 #101
HAW allowed	4.7 #72	9.0 #89	13.7 #89	5.0 #81	7.0 #90	12.0 #90

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.