Oklahoma @ Georgia: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 4, 2026)

Sat, Sep 26, 2026, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 4 · at Georgia · Conference game

Weather at kickoff82°F9 mphDryWeather watch ›

Oklahoma

2-1 · Power #22

final

Final

Georgia

3-0 · Power #4

▲ winner

Closing spread

UGA -11.5

✓ UGA W

Total

43.5

▲ Over · 54 pts

Model before kickoff

OU 16–28 UGA

✓ UGA (80%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenUGA -10

CloseUGA -11.5

Total52.5 → 43.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenUGA -10

1.5 → UGA

CloseUGA -11.5

1.5 pts toward Georgia

Total

Open52.5

▼ 9

Close43.5

Down 9 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened UGA -10 · closed UGA -11.5 · moved 1.5 toward UGAmodel UGA -13

model UGA -13

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 10.5–12.5 since 2023: won 75%, covered 42% (123 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 52% (318 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenUGA -10

CloseUGA -11.5

Total52.5 → 43.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 1 games most like UGA as an 11.5-point home favorite against OU, the favorite won 1, covered 1, and 1 went over the total.

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This game: UGA won 41–13; the favorite covered, as in 1 of the 1 similar games. 54 points went over 43.5, as in 1 of 1.

Favorite won

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 78%

Favorite covered

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 51%

Only 1 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 14 against an average line of 7.5; 70 points a game (usually 52.9). Of the 1 over, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 1 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	IU vs MD 2024 · Week 5 · loose · similar rest & situation	-7.5	42–28	W	O49.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
OU WLL	1-2	33%	0-1	—
UGA WWW	3-0	100%	2-0	3-0

Venue/role: OU away, as underdog; UGA home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
OU UUU	0-3	0%	2-1
UGA OOO	3-0	100%	3-0

Went over in Q4. Of 366 earlier overs in games with totals 39.5–47.5, 36% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
OU	7-3 70%	5-5 50%	3-7 30%
UGA	9-1 90%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

OU+15.2 →+15.3▲ 0.1#16

UGA+22.1 →+24.2▲ 2.1#3

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW3

Longer bar = better

UGA

#107

Offense

UGA better ▶

Defense

Even

#11

−1.3 #128

Turnovers

UGA better ▶

+1.0 #30

59 plays #118

Pace

Even

61 plays #111

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When OU has the ball

Advantage: UGA defense

	OU off	UGA def	Edge
Points / game	25.0 #99	13.3 #24	UGA
Yards / play	5.56 #99	3.27 #2	UGA
PPA / play	+0.02 #118	−0.14 #12	UGA
Success rate	39% #113	29% #7	UGA

When UGA has the ball

Even matchup

	UGA off	OU def	Edge
Points / game	59.3 #1	7.7 #5	Even
Yards / play	8.84 #1	3.78 #10	Even
PPA / play	+0.62 #1	−0.18 #6	Even
Success rate	62% #1	28% #3	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

OU scoring against the UGA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
OU scored	7.0 #61	4.3 #127	11.3 #105	10.3 #19	3.3 #121	13.7 #70
UGA allowed	0.0 #1	4.0 #31	4.0 #6	0.0 #1	9.3 #113	9.3 #55

UGA scoring against the OU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UGA scored	18.7 #1	16.3 #9	35.0 #1	12.7 #7	11.7 #12	24.3 #4
OU allowed	2.3 #23	3.0 #22	5.3 #17	0.0 #1	2.3 #10	2.3 #4

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.