Texas vs Oklahoma: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 6, 2026)

Sat, Oct 10, 2026, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 6 · Neutral site · Conference game

Weather at kickoff91°F7 mphDryWeather watch ›

Texas

4-0 · Power #8

final

Final

Oklahoma

2-2 · Power #22

▲ winner

Closing spread

TEX -7.5

✓ OU W

Total

40.5

▲ Over · 51 pts

Model before kickoff

TEX 23–15 OU

✗ TEX (72%) lost

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenTEX -6

CloseTEX -7.5

Total48.5 → 40.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenTEX -6

1.5 → TEX

CloseTEX -7.5

1.5 pts toward Texas

Total

Open48.5

▼ 8

Close40.5

Down 8 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened TEX -6 · closed TEX -7.5 · moved 1.5 toward TEXmodel TEX -11.5

model TEX -11.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Neutral-site favorites of 5.5–9.5 since 2023: won 70%, covered 40% (53 games)ⓘ

Crossed 7The team the line moved toward covered 56% (117 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenTEX -6

CloseTEX -7.5

Total48.5 → 40.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 1 games most like TEX as a 7.5-point neutral-site favorite against OU, the favorite won 1, covered 1, and 1 went over the total.

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This game: OU won 27–24 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 0 of the 1 similar games. 51 points went over 40.5, as in 1 of 1.

Favorite won

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 71%

Favorite covered

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 52%

Went over

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 50%

Only 1 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 13 against an average line of 6.5; 57 points a game (usually 52.8). Of the 1 over, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 1 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	UCLA vs BOIS 2023 · Postseason · loose · similar rest	-6.5	35–22	W	O45.25

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
TEX WLLL	1-3	25%	—	1-3
OU WLLL	1-3	25%	—	0-1

Venue/role: TEX neutral, as favorite; OU neutral, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
TEX OUUU	1-3	25%	4-0
OU UUUO	1-3	25%	2-2

Went over in Q4. Of 194 earlier overs in games with totals 36.5–44.5, 35% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
TEX	9-1 90%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%
OU	6-4 60%	4-6 40%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

TEX 62–52 OU (5 tied) TEX leads · 119 games since 1902 · OU has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 11 2025	Oklahoma 6 @ Texas 23	TEX -2.5	TEX W
Oct 12 2024	Texas 34 @ Oklahoma 3	TEX -16.5	TEX W
Oct 7 2023	Oklahoma 34 @ Texas 30	TEX -5	OU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

TEX+18.4 →+23.6▲ 5.2#6

OU+15.2 →+13.3▼ 1.9#18

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW5

TEX

Longer bar = better

#81

Offense

◀ TEX better

#120

#17

Defense

Even

#11

0.0 #72

Turnovers

◀ TEX better

−1.5 #136

72 plays #20

Pace

◀ TEX faster

62 plays #114

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When TEX has the ball

Advantage: OU defense

	TEX off	OU def	Edge
Points / game	33.3 #56	16.0 #24	OU
Yards / play	5.29 #109	4.25 #14	OU
PPA / play	+0.08 #101	−0.17 #3	OU
Success rate	45% #57	31% #4	OU

When OU has the ball

Advantage: TEX defense

	OU off	TEX def	Edge
Points / game	22.0 #111	13.3 #12	TEX
Yards / play	5.20 #113	4.23 #13	TEX
PPA / play	−0.08 #132	−0.04 #25	TEX
Success rate	38% #125	34% #18	TEX

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

TEX scoring against the OU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TEX scored	7.8 #49	7.5 #92	15.3 #71	6.8 #65	11.3 #10	18.0 #23
OU allowed	3.5 #49	7.5 #75	11.0 #59	0.8 #4	4.3 #35	5.0 #5

OU scoring against the TEX defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
OU scored	5.3 #91	3.3 #135	8.5 #123	9.3 #24	4.3 #117	13.5 #70
TEX allowed	4.0 #59	4.3 #25	8.3 #28	3.3 #40	1.8 #3	5.0 #5

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.