Louisiana Tech @ South Alabama: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 9, 2026)

Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 PM EDTWeek 9 · at South Alabama · Conference game

Louisiana Tech

4-2 · Power #83

projected

Sat 3:00 PM ET

South Alabama

4-3 · Power #101

projected

LT 58%

42% USA

Spread

—

Total

—

model 58.5

Model line

LT -3

LT 58% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
LT WWWLW	5-1	83%	3-0	—
USA LLWWL	4-3	57%	2-1	—

Venue/role: LT away; USA home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
LT OOOOU	5-1	83%	4-2
USA OOOOU	5-2	71%	4-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
LT	7-3 70%	7-3 70%	7-3 70%
USA	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Louisiana Tech

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 7	@ TROY	No meeting since 2023
Nov 14	vs USM	W30–20WU
Nov 21	vs ARST	No meeting since 2023

South Alabama

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 7	@ UL	L22–31LO
Nov 14	vs TROY	L24–31LO
Nov 21	@ USM	W42–35WO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

LT−8.8 →−3.6▲ 5.2#83

USA−9.6 →−8.6▲ 1.0#101

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8

Longer bar = better

USA

#63

Offense

Even

#58

#57

Defense

◀ LT better

#130

+1.0 #10

Turnovers

Even

+1.0 #11

65 plays #86

Pace

USA faster ▶

72 plays #15

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When LT has the ball

Advantage: LT offense

	LT off	USA def	Edge
Points / game	33.3 #43	32.4 #125	LT
Yards / play	6.05 #55	6.89 #135	LT
PPA / play	+0.15 #71	+0.24 #123	LT
Success rate	42% #84	51% #136	LT

When USA has the ball

Even matchup

	USA off	LT def	Edge
Points / game	35.1 #36	24.5 #75	USA
Yards / play	5.88 #68	5.42 #69	Even
PPA / play	+0.19 #50	+0.04 #45	Even
Success rate	42% #79	38% #40	LT

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

LT scoring against the USA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LT scored	5.8 #79	11.5 #27	17.3 #46	7.0 #43	9.0 #29	16.0 #33
USA allowed	5.0 #75	9.3 #107	14.3 #98	9.0 #131	9.1 #126	18.1 #132

USA scoring against the LT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
USA scored	11.6 #8	9.6 #60	21.1 #19	7.6 #35	6.4 #82	14.0 #56
LT allowed	4.5 #62	3.8 #15	8.3 #26	7.5 #111	8.7 #121	16.2 #127

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.