Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 PM EDTWeek 9 · at East Carolina · Conference game
TEM 31%69% ECU
Spread
—
Total
—
model 53
Model line
ECU -7
ECU 69% to win
Pick this game
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Winner
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Model view
Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
East Carolina 69%
Projected TEM 23 – ECU 30 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
ECU -7
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 53
How the model gets there (points from ECU’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadECU rating edge+4.3+Home field+2.5=Model marginECU by 6.8
TotalScoring ratings53.2=Model total53.2
Signals
The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
No notable trends or market moves for this game.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-8 20% | 5-4-1 56% | 4-6 40% | |
| 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 2 since 2023
TEM 0–2 ECU
ECU leads · 2 games since 2023 · ECU has won the last 2 meetings
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 2025 | East Carolina 45 @ Temple 14 | ECU -5.5 | ECU W |
| Oct 26 2024 | Temple 34 @ East Carolina 56 | ECU -7.5 | ECU W |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
TEM−7.3 →−9.3▼ 2.0#104
ECU+2.1 →−5.4▼ 7.5#93
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8
Longer bar = better
#56
Offense
◀ TEM better#109
#117
Defense
ECU better ▶#37
0.0 #74
Turnovers
◀ TEM better−0.6 #111
59 plays #132
Pace
ECU faster ▶67 plays #59
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| TEM off | ECU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 25.7 #90 | 26.3 #94 | Even |
| Yards / play | 6.57 #27 | 4.87 #29 | Even |
| PPA / play | +0.21 #42 | −0.02 #20 | ECU |
| Success rate | 43% #66 | 34% #5 | ECU |
| ECU off | TEM def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 25.0 #92 | 28.0 #108 | Even |
| Yards / play | 5.22 #115 | 6.17 #118 | Even |
| PPA / play | +0.03 #112 | +0.21 #119 | Even |
| Success rate | 39% #117 | 46% #121 | Even |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
TEM scoring against the ECU defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6.9 #55 | 7.3 #96 | 14.1 #82 | 3.9 #116 | 6.9 #69 | 10.7 #99 | |
2.3 #11 | 9.7 #111 | 12.0 #70 | 5.6 #84 | 5.9 #61 | 11.4 #71 |
ECU scoring against the TEM defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6.4 #62 | 8.7 #76 | 15.1 #69 | 4.6 #106 | 5.3 #113 | 9.9 #110 | |
6.4 #107 | 4.9 #26 | 11.3 #56 | 6.4 #98 | 9.3 #127 | 15.7 #125 |
Game conditions
Before kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
No forecast
Venue not known yet
Rest
TEM14d bye
ECU9d
TEM +5 days
Tempo
Slow 126 plays
slowavg 133fast
News & sentiment
ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

