Louisiana Tech @ UL Monroe: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2026)

Sat, Oct 17, 2026, 8:00 PM EDTWeek 7 · at UL Monroe · Conference game

Weather at kickoff62°F6 mphgusts 14DryWeather watch ›

Louisiana Tech

3-2 · Power #83

▲ winner

Final

UL Monroe

0-5 · Power #137

final

Closing spread

LT -13.5

✓ LT W

Total

55.5

▼ Under · 24 pts

Model before kickoff

LT 34–20 ULM

✓ LT (84%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenLT -14.5

CloseLT -13.5

Total52.5 → 55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenLT -14.5

1 → ULM

CloseLT -13.5

1 pt toward UL Monroe

Total

Open52.5

▲ 3

Close55.5

Up 3 since the open

Line movement

Pre-kickoff prices from ESPN · tap a dot

Opened LT -14.5 · closed LT -13.5 · moved 1 toward ULMmodel LT -16

model LT -16

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 12.5–14.5 since 2023: won 80%, covered 45% (98 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 49% (393 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenLT -14.5

CloseLT -13.5

Total52.5 → 55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Prices

DraftKings · prices at kickoff

Book	Spread		Total		Moneyline
Book	LT	ULM	Over	Under	LT	ULM
DraftKingsDK	-13.5-112	+13.5-108	55.5-112	55.5-108	-575	+425

Last prices before kickoff from ESPN’s odds feed. One book so far. Each row is that book’s own last price, so it can differ from the closing line on this card. Prices vary by state; check your book.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like LT as a 13.5-point road favorite at ULM, the favorite won 9, covered 4, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: LT won 24–0; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 24 points stayed under 55.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 82%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 13.2 against an average line of 14.3; 46.2 points a game (usually 53). Of the 4 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	OHIO @ BALL 2025 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & situation	-14	14–20	L	U52.5
Very close	WKU @ NMSU 2024 · Week 11 · very close · similar season form & team ratings	-18	41–28	L	O53.5
Close	ORST @ UTEP 2026 · Week 4 · close · similar spread	-11.5	33–7	W	U56.5
Close	UTSA @ RICE 2026 · Week 5 · close · similar situation & total	-11.5	16–14	L	U56.5
Close	MRSH @ USM 2024 · Week 11 · close · similar rest & spread	-13.5	37–3	W	U53.5
Close	M-OH @ KENT 2023 · Week 5 · close · similar situation & spread	-14.5	23–3	W	U49.5
Close	OHIO @ EMU 2025 · Week 9 · close · similar situation	-12	28–21	L	U60.5
Close	BUFF @ MASS 2025 · Week 8 · close · similar situation & team ratings	-16.5	28–21	L	O47.5
Close	HOU @ OKST 2025 · Week 7 · close · similar situation & season form	-14.5	39–17	W	O47.5
Close	ECU @ TLSA 2024 · Week 12 · close · similar season form & rest	-16.5	38–31	L	O63.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
LT WWWWL	4-1	80%	2-0	2-1
ULM LWLLL	1-4	20%	0-2	1-3

Venue/role: LT away, as favorite; ULM home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
LT OOOOO	5-0	100%	3-2
ULM OUOOO	4-1	80%	0-5

Stayed under: it needed 42 in the 4th quarter and got 10. 50% of games with totals 51.5–59.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
LT	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	7-3 70%
ULM	0-10 0%	3-7 30%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

LT 13–3 ULM LT leads · 16 games since 1975 · LT has won the last 9 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

LT−8.8 →−5.4▲ 3.4#87

ULM−17.2 →−22.1▼ 4.9#136

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

Longer bar = better

ULM

#60

Offense

◀ LT better

#101

#78

Defense

◀ LT better

#136

+0.8 #18

Turnovers

◀ LT better

−0.6 #114

65 plays #80

Pace

ULM faster ▶

67 plays #62

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When LT has the ball

Advantage: LT offense

	LT off	ULM def	Edge
Points / game	35.2 #36	44.6 #138	LT
Yards / play	6.19 #53	7.19 #135	LT
PPA / play	+0.15 #69	+0.31 #135	LT
Success rate	42% #80	51% #135	LT

When ULM has the ball

Advantage: LT defense

	ULM off	LT def	Edge
Points / game	24.0 #97	29.4 #113	Even
Yards / play	5.43 #106	5.57 #79	LT
PPA / play	−0.02 #125	+0.10 #74	LT
Success rate	43% #76	38% #44	LT

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

LT scoring against the ULM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LT scored	7.0 #50	13.8 #11	20.8 #24	5.6 #85	8.8 #34	14.4 #51
ULM allowed	11.2 #137	17.0 #138	28.2 #137	7.6 #116	8.8 #121	16.4 #127

ULM scoring against the LT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ULM scored	4.2 #99	8.6 #77	12.8 #94	6.8 #51	4.4 #121	11.2 #93
LT allowed	5.4 #85	4.6 #25	10.0 #45	9.0 #130	10.4 #135	19.4 #136

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.