Washington State @ Texas State: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2026)

Sat, Nov 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ESTWeek 12 · at Texas State · Conference game

Washington State

1-6 · Power #100

projected

Sat 6:00 PM ET

Texas State

3-3 · Power #58

projected

WSU 13%

87% TXST

Spread

—

Total

—

model 59

Model line

TXST -16

TXST 87% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WSU WWLWW	5-2	71%	3-1	—
TXST LWWLW	3-3	50%	3-1	—

Venue/role: WSU away; TXST home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
WSU OOUUO	3-4	43%	1-6
TXST UOOOO	5-1	83%	3-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WSU	3-7 30%	8-2 80%	4-6 40%
TXST	7-3 70%	6-4 60%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Washington State

No more games this season.

Texas State

No more games this season.

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

WSU+0.5 →−8.5▼ 9.0#100

TXST−1.3 →+2.7▲ 4.0#57

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

WSU

Longer bar = better

TXST

#129

Offense

TXST better ▶

#89

Defense

◀ WSU better

#110

−1.0 #132

Turnovers

Even

−0.8 #126

64 plays #100

Pace

TXST faster ▶

78 plays #4

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When WSU has the ball

Even matchup

	WSU off	TXST def	Edge
Points / game	20.1 #120	32.2 #122	Even
Yards / play	4.84 #132	5.75 #93	TXST
PPA / play	−0.04 #130	+0.17 #110	Even
Success rate	34% #134	45% #116	Even

When TXST has the ball

Advantage: TXST offense

	TXST off	WSU def	Edge
Points / game	40.0 #9	27.1 #100	TXST
Yards / play	7.24 #6	5.85 #102	TXST
PPA / play	+0.34 #7	+0.11 #84	TXST
Success rate	52% #5	41% #71	TXST

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

WSU scoring against the TXST defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WSU scored	3.9 #104	6.1 #111	10.0 #116	3.9 #116	6.3 #89	10.1 #108
TXST allowed	6.3 #105	9.8 #114	16.2 #113	9.7 #135	6.3 #72	16.0 #126

TXST scoring against the WSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TXST scored	13.3 #1	12.7 #18	26.0 #2	5.7 #81	8.3 #45	14.0 #56
WSU allowed	5.7 #92	6.3 #53	12.0 #70	5.4 #79	9.7 #129	15.1 #121

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.