Utah State @ Oregon State: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2026)

Sat, Nov 21, 2026, 10:30 PM ESTWeek 12 · at Oregon State · Conference game

Utah State

2-4 · Power #95

projected

Sat 10:30 PM ET

Oregon State

5-2 · Power #48

projected

USU 12%

88% ORST

Spread

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Total

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model 53

Model line

ORST -16

ORST 88% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
USU WLWWL	3-3	50%	2-1	—
ORST WWWWL	6-1	86%	3-1	—

Venue/role: USU away; ORST home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
USU UUUOU	1-5	17%	2-4
ORST OUOOO	6-1	86%	5-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
USU	3-7 30%	6-4 60%	2-8 20%
ORST	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Utah State

No more games this season.

Oregon State

No more games this season.

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

USU−6.5 →−6.9▼ 0.4#95

ORST−8.0 →+5.5▲ 13.5#46

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

USU

Longer bar = better

ORST

#131

Offense

ORST better ▶

#10

#56

Defense

Even

#59

−0.8 #124

Turnovers

ORST better ▶

+0.8 #17

62 plays #112

Pace

ORST faster ▶

72 plays #13

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When USU has the ball

Advantage: ORST defense

	USU off	ORST def	Edge
Points / game	14.5 #136	23.1 #64	ORST
Yards / play	4.99 #122	4.97 #36	ORST
PPA / play	−0.07 #135	+0.10 #75	ORST
Success rate	35% #131	41% #62	ORST

When ORST has the ball

Advantage: ORST offense

	ORST off	USU def	Edge
Points / game	42.7 #3	23.5 #65	ORST
Yards / play	7.03 #9	5.13 #52	ORST
PPA / play	+0.32 #14	+0.06 #54	ORST
Success rate	50% #14	39% #51	ORST

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

USU scoring against the ORST defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
USU scored	2.3 #129	3.8 #137	6.2 #135	4.7 #105	3.7 #131	8.3 #130
ORST allowed	2.3 #11	7.3 #71	9.6 #41	6.7 #102	6.9 #88	13.6 #105

ORST scoring against the USU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ORST scored	11.9 #7	12.3 #20	24.1 #8	9.9 #12	8.7 #36	18.6 #13
USU allowed	8.2 #128	9.5 #109	17.7 #122	2.2 #13	3.7 #15	5.8 #6

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.