Oregon State @ Boise State: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 11, 2026)

Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 6:00 PM ESTWeek 11 · at Boise State · Conference game

Oregon State

5-2 · Power #48

projected

Sat 6:00 PM ET

Boise State

5-1 · Power #37

projected

ORST 27%

73% BOIS

Spread

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Total

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model 60.5

Model line

BOIS -8.5

BOIS 73% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ORST WWWWL	6-1	86%	3-0	—
BOIS WLWLL	3-3	50%	1-2	—

Venue/role: ORST away; BOIS home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ORST OUOOO	6-1	86%	5-2
BOIS OOUOO	5-1	83%	5-1

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ORST	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	6-4 60%
BOIS	8-2 80%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Oregon State

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 21	vs USU	No meeting since 2023

Boise State

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 21	vs SDSU	L7–17LU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

ORST 6–5 BOIS ORST leads · 11 games since 1986 · BOIS has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 29 2024	Oregon State 18 @ Boise State 34	BOIS -17.5	ORST W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ORST−8.0 →+5.5▲ 13.5#46

BOIS+2.1 →+8.6▲ 6.5#37

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

ORST

Longer bar = better

BOIS

#10

Offense

◀ ORST better

#28

#59

Defense

Even

#71

+0.8 #17

Turnovers

◀ ORST better

+0.5 #37

72 plays #13

Pace

Even

71 plays #23

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ORST has the ball

Advantage: ORST offense

	ORST off	BOIS def	Edge
Points / game	42.7 #3	22.3 #57	ORST
Yards / play	7.03 #9	6.80 #134	ORST
PPA / play	+0.32 #14	+0.07 #60	ORST
Success rate	50% #14	37% #31	Even

When BOIS has the ball

Advantage: BOIS offense

	BOIS off	ORST def	Edge
Points / game	35.0 #37	23.1 #64	BOIS
Yards / play	6.36 #41	4.97 #36	Even
PPA / play	+0.33 #11	+0.10 #75	BOIS
Success rate	49% #21	41% #62	BOIS

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

ORST scoring against the BOIS defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ORST scored	11.9 #7	12.3 #20	24.1 #8	9.9 #12	8.7 #36	18.6 #13
BOIS allowed	4.5 #62	8.5 #90	13.0 #80	2.8 #28	6.5 #81	9.3 #42

BOIS scoring against the ORST defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
BOIS scored	9.0 #28	11.5 #28	20.5 #23	6.7 #55	7.8 #53	14.5 #49
ORST allowed	2.3 #11	7.3 #71	9.6 #41	6.7 #102	6.9 #88	13.6 #105

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.