Colorado State @ Utah State: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 9, 2026)

Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 9 · at Utah State · Conference game

Kickoff forecast55°F6 mphgusts 12Wet0.0 mmWet Over 45% of 309 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Colorado State

2-4 · Power #110

projected

Sat 3:30 PM ET

Utah State

2-4 · Power #95

projected

CSU 31%

69% USU

Spread

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Total

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model 56.5

Model line

USU -7

USU 69% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

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no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

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Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CSU WLWLL	3-3	50%	1-1	—
USU WLWWL	3-3	50%	1-2	—

Venue/role: CSU away; USU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CSU OOOOO	6-0	100%	2-4
USU UUUOU	1-5	17%	2-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CSU	2-8 20%	4-5 44%	8-2 80%
USU	3-7 30%	6-4 60%	2-8 20%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Colorado State

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 7	vs BOIS	L21–49LO
Nov 14	@ WSU	L3–20LU
Nov 21	@ FRES	W49–21WO

Utah State

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 7	vs FRES	W28–17WU
Nov 14	@ SDSU	W41–20WO
Nov 21	@ ORST	No meeting since 2023

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

CSU 1–1 USU Series tied · 2 games since 2023 · CSU has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 29 2024	Utah State 37 @ Colorado State 42	CSU -5.5	USU W
Oct 7 2023	Colorado State 24 @ Utah State 44	CSU -3	USU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CSU−10.5 →−11.0▼ 0.5#111

USU−6.5 →−6.9▼ 0.4#95

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8

CSU

Longer bar = better

USU

#31

Offense

◀ CSU better

#131

#138

Defense

USU better ▶

#55

+1.6 #4

Turnovers

◀ CSU better

−0.8 #124

70 plays #31

Pace

◀ CSU faster

62 plays #112

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CSU has the ball

Advantage: CSU offense

	CSU off	USU def	Edge
Points / game	35.7 #29	23.5 #65	CSU
Yards / play	6.57 #26	5.13 #51	CSU
PPA / play	+0.28 #19	+0.06 #54	CSU
Success rate	45% #50	39% #51	Even

When USU has the ball

Even matchup

	USU off	CSU def	Edge
Points / game	14.5 #136	43.2 #138	Even
Yards / play	4.99 #122	7.89 #138	Even
PPA / play	−0.07 #135	+0.35 #138	Even
Success rate	35% #131	55% #138	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

CSU scoring against the USU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CSU scored	8.7 #30	12.2 #23	20.8 #21	6.0 #70	8.8 #34	14.8 #45
USU allowed	8.2 #128	9.5 #109	17.7 #122	2.2 #13	3.7 #15	5.8 #6

USU scoring against the CSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
USU scored	2.3 #129	3.8 #137	6.2 #135	4.7 #105	3.7 #131	8.3 #130
CSU allowed	14.5 #138	14.3 #136	28.8 #138	8.2 #123	6.2 #67	14.3 #115

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.