Penn State @ Washington: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 10, 2026)

Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 10 · at Washington · Conference game

Kickoff forecast57°F5 mphDryWeather watch ›

Penn State

3-4 · Power #32

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Washington

4-3 · Power #42

projected

PSU 48%

52% WASH

Spread

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Total

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model 48.5

Model line

WASH -0.5

WASH 52% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
PSU WLLLW	3-4	43%	1-2	—
WASH LLWLW	2-5	29%	0-5	—

Venue/role: PSU away; WASH home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
PSU OOOUU	3-4	43%	3-4
WASH OOUOO	4-3	57%	4-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
PSU	6-4 60%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%
WASH	6-4 60%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Penn State

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 14	vs MINN	W26–25LO
Nov 21	vs RUTG	W40–36LO
Nov 28	@ MD	W44–7WO

Washington

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 14	@ MSU	W41–7WU
Nov 21	vs IU	L17–31LU
Nov 28	@ ORE	L14–26LU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

PSU 1–0 WASH PSU leads · 1 game since 2023 · PSU has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 9 2024	Washington 6 @ Penn State 35	PSU -13.5	PSU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

PSU+12.7 →+9.2▼ 3.5#32

WASH+13.7 →+5.9▼ 7.8#44

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

PSU

Longer bar = better

WASH

#83

Offense

WASH better ▶

#69

#56

Defense

Even

#51

+0.6 #31

Turnovers

◀ PSU better

+0.3 #57

66 plays #70

Pace

◀ PSU faster

65 plays #88

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When PSU has the ball

Advantage: WASH defense

	PSU off	WASH def	Edge
Points / game	28.7 #74	22.7 #60	Even
Yards / play	5.78 #78	5.29 #59	Even
PPA / play	+0.12 #81	0.00 #32	WASH
Success rate	40% #98	40% #52	WASH

When WASH has the ball

Even matchup

	WASH off	PSU def	Edge
Points / game	27.9 #79	18.9 #31	PSU
Yards / play	5.99 #59	5.19 #56	Even
PPA / play	+0.14 #74	+0.10 #79	Even
Success rate	44% #63	40% #56	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

PSU scoring against the WASH defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
PSU scored	6.7 #60	9.3 #63	16.0 #61	6.3 #67	6.4 #81	12.7 #82
WASH allowed	5.1 #81	8.0 #80	13.1 #83	4.0 #49	5.6 #53	9.6 #46

WASH scoring against the PSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WASH scored	4.4 #94	10.1 #50	14.6 #79	4.1 #113	9.1 #27	13.3 #70
PSU allowed	2.9 #23	5.3 #31	8.1 #23	4.4 #58	6.3 #69	10.7 #65

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.