Rutgers @ Wisconsin: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 10, 2026)

Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 10 · at Wisconsin · Conference game

Kickoff forecast56°F11 mphgusts 26DryWindy Over 48% of 274 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Rutgers

2-4 · Power #77

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Wisconsin

4-2 · Power #33

projected

RUTG 12%

88% WIS

Spread

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Total

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model 48.5

Model line

WIS -16.5

WIS 88% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
RUTG LWWLW	3-3	50%	1-1	—
WIS LWWWL	3-3	50%	2-1	—

Venue/role: RUTG away; WIS home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
RUTG UOOOO	5-1	83%	2-4
WIS UOOUU	3-3	50%	4-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
RUTG	3-7 30%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%
WIS	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Rutgers

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 14	vs NEB	L7–14LU
Nov 21	@ PSU	L36–40WO
Nov 28	vs MSU	W41–14WO

Wisconsin

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 14	@ MD	L10–27LU
Nov 21	@ PUR	W52–6WO
Nov 27	vs MINN	L7–17LU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

RUTG 0–2 WIS WIS leads · 2 games since 2023 · WIS has won the last 2 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 12 2024	Wisconsin 42 @ Rutgers 7	RUTG -1.5	WIS W
Oct 7 2023	Rutgers 13 @ Wisconsin 24	WIS -13	RUTG W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

RUTG+2.3 →−3.1▼ 5.4#79

WIS+3.3 →+9.2▲ 5.9#33

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

RUTG

Longer bar = better

WIS

#54

Offense

◀ RUTG better

#85

#127

Defense

WIS better ▶

#17

−0.8 #127

Turnovers

WIS better ▶

0.0 #76

67 plays #65

Pace

◀ RUTG faster

59 plays #129

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When RUTG has the ball

Advantage: WIS defense

	RUTG off	WIS def	Edge
Points / game	31.2 #58	16.7 #23	WIS
Yards / play	6.03 #56	4.32 #9	WIS
PPA / play	+0.16 #63	−0.04 #14	WIS
Success rate	47% #40	36% #22	Even

When WIS has the ball

Advantage: WIS offense

	WIS off	RUTG def	Edge
Points / game	27.5 #80	31.8 #119	WIS
Yards / play	5.96 #61	6.58 #130	WIS
PPA / play	+0.13 #79	+0.26 #128	WIS
Success rate	38% #121	48% #130	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

RUTG scoring against the WIS defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
RUTG scored	7.0 #50	6.7 #103	13.7 #87	9.2 #13	8.3 #45	17.5 #21
WIS allowed	4.3 #57	5.0 #28	9.3 #39	3.3 #36	4.0 #18	7.3 #16

WIS scoring against the RUTG defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WIS scored	6.2 #71	8.5 #79	14.7 #75	6.2 #68	6.7 #79	12.8 #78
RUTG allowed	9.2 #133	10.3 #119	19.5 #133	5.3 #78	7.0 #89	12.3 #83

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.