Wisconsin @ Maryland: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 11, 2026)

Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 11 · at Maryland · Conference game

Wisconsin

4-2 · Power #33

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Maryland

2-5 · Power #72

projected

WIS 70%

30% MD

Spread

—

Total

—

model 46

Model line

WIS -7.5

WIS 70% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WIS LWWWL	3-3	50%	1-1	—
MD LLLWL	3-4	43%	1-3	—

Venue/role: WIS away; MD home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
WIS UOOUU	3-3	50%	4-2
MD OOOOO	6-1	86%	2-5

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WIS	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	3-7 30%
MD	2-8 20%	3-7 30%	8-2 80%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Wisconsin

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 21	@ PUR	W52–6WO
Nov 27	vs MINN	L7–17LU

Maryland

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 21	@ USC	W29–28WO
Nov 28	vs PSU	L7–44LO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

WIS 0–1 MD MD leads · 1 game since 2023 · MD has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 20 2025	Maryland 27 @ Wisconsin 10	WIS -10.5	MD W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

WIS+3.3 →+9.2▲ 5.9#33

MD+0.7 →−0.7▼ 1.4#72

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

WIS

Longer bar = better

#85

Offense

Even

#96

#17

Defense

◀ WIS better

#108

0.0 #76

Turnovers

MD better ▶

+0.4 #45

59 plays #129

Pace

MD faster ▶

68 plays #54

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When WIS has the ball

Advantage: WIS offense

	WIS off	MD def	Edge
Points / game	27.5 #80	33.3 #129	WIS
Yards / play	5.96 #61	5.60 #82	WIS
PPA / play	+0.13 #79	+0.15 #104	WIS
Success rate	38% #121	45% #117	Even

When MD has the ball

Advantage: WIS defense

	MD off	WIS def	Edge
Points / game	28.3 #74	16.7 #23	WIS
Yards / play	5.55 #93	4.32 #9	WIS
PPA / play	+0.04 #108	−0.04 #14	WIS
Success rate	39% #110	36% #22	WIS

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

WIS scoring against the MD defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WIS scored	6.2 #71	8.5 #79	14.7 #75	6.2 #68	6.7 #79	12.8 #78
MD allowed	6.0 #100	12.0 #129	18.0 #126	7.6 #112	7.7 #99	15.3 #122

MD scoring against the WIS defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
MD scored	7.1 #48	10.6 #40	17.7 #42	5.9 #76	4.7 #117	10.6 #101
WIS allowed	4.3 #57	5.0 #28	9.3 #39	3.3 #36	4.0 #18	7.3 #16

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.