Purdue @ Iowa: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 11, 2026)

Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 11 · at Iowa · Conference game

Purdue

3-4 · Power #59

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Iowa

5-1 · Power #27

projected

PUR 18%

82% IOWA

Spread

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Total

—

model 52

Model line

IOWA -13

IOWA 82% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
PUR LLWWL	3-4	43%	1-1	—
IOWA LWWLW	4-2	67%	2-2	—

Venue/role: PUR away; IOWA home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
PUR OOUOO	6-1	86%	3-4
IOWA UOUUO	2-4	33%	5-1

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
PUR	3-7 30%	4-6 40%	8-2 80%
IOWA	8-2 80%	7-3 70%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Purdue

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 21	vs WIS	L6–52LO
Nov 28	@ IU	L3–56LO

Iowa

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 21	@ ILL	W15–13LU
Nov 27	vs NEB	W40–16WO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

PUR 0–1 IOWA IOWA leads · 1 game since 2023 · IOWA has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 7 2023	Purdue 14 @ Iowa 20	IOWA -3.5	IOWA W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

PUR−1.8 →+2.5▲ 4.3#59

IOWA+11.4 →+11.3▼ 0.1#27

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

PUR

Longer bar = better

IOWA

#54

Offense

Even

#43

#128

Defense

IOWA better ▶

#25

+0.6 #28

Turnovers

◀ PUR better

+0.3 #48

69 plays #44

Pace

◀ PUR faster

62 plays #116

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When PUR has the ball

Advantage: IOWA defense

	PUR off	IOWA def	Edge
Points / game	31.3 #58	14.5 #9	IOWA
Yards / play	5.94 #63	4.58 #17	IOWA
PPA / play	+0.22 #40	+0.05 #48	Even
Success rate	45% #53	36% #24	IOWA

When IOWA has the ball

Advantage: IOWA offense

	IOWA off	PUR def	Edge
Points / game	31.0 #61	32.3 #123	IOWA
Yards / play	6.54 #29	6.74 #133	IOWA
PPA / play	+0.22 #39	+0.27 #129	IOWA
Success rate	47% #41	47% #128	IOWA

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

PUR scoring against the IOWA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
PUR scored	5.7 #81	8.1 #84	13.9 #85	7.1 #40	8.4 #43	15.6 #37
IOWA allowed	2.8 #19	3.8 #16	6.7 #10	4.7 #67	3.2 #9	7.8 #20

IOWA scoring against the PUR defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
IOWA scored	11.2 #10	9.7 #56	20.8 #21	3.5 #124	6.7 #78	10.2 #107
PUR allowed	6.4 #107	10.1 #117	16.6 #115	3.9 #45	9.7 #129	13.6 #105

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.