South Carolina @ Oklahoma: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 9, 2026)

Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 4:15 PM EDTWeek 9 · at Oklahoma · Conference game

South Carolina

3-3 · Power #28

projected

Sat 4:15 PM ET

Oklahoma

3-3 · Power #22

projected

SC 35%

65% OU

Spread

OU -5.5

no move since the open

Total

43.5

model 47.5

Spread edge

SC by 0.5

no lean

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Spread

Total

Winner

DraftKings via ESPNupdated 11:15 PM ET

SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed

OpenOU -5.5

CurrentOU -5.5

Total43.5

Last update11:15 PM ET

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Market

Open → current

Spread

OpenOU -5.5

no move

NowOU -5.5

No change since the open

Total

Open43.5

no move

Now43.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and current line · tap a dot

Opened OU -5.5 · unchangedmodel OU -5

model OU -5

Openline modelNow

Line context

Home favorites of 4.5–6.5 since 2023: won 66%, covered 51% (224 games)ⓘ

DraftKings via ESPNupdated 11:15 PM ET

SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed

OpenOU -5.5

CurrentOU -5.5

Total43.5

Last update11:15 PM ET

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Prices

DraftKings · current prices

Book	Spread		Total		Moneyline
Book	SC	OU	Over	Under	SC	OU
DraftKingsDK	+5.5-110	-5.5-110	43.5-110	43.5-110	+164	-198

Prices from ESPN’s odds feed, updated 11:15 PM ET. One book so far. Prices vary by state; check your book.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like OU as a 5.5-point home favorite against SC, the favorite won 5, covered 5, and 5 went over the total.

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Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 63%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

5 of 956%

Normal range · usually 49%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 5.6 against an average line of 5.4; 46.2 points a game (usually 52.6). Of the 5 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	OU vs UK 2026 · Week 7 · very close · similar situation & rest	-7	13–21	L	U44.5
Very close	UK vs AUB 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar situation & rest	-2	10–24	L	U43.5
Very close	ASU vs HOU 2025 · Week 9 · very close · similar situation & rest	-7.5	16–24	L	U47
Very close	SC vs UK 2025 · Week 5 · very close · similar situation & season form	-5.5	35–13	W	O46.5
Very close	LSU vs OU 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar rest & spread	-6	37–17	W	O48
Very close	IOWA vs WIS 2024 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & situation	-2.5	42–10	W	O40.5
Very close	WASH vs IOWA 2026 · Week 6 · very close · similar situation & total	-3	24–41	L	O41.5
Very close	AUB vs VAN 2024 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & situation	-7.5	7–17	L	U48
Close	AUB vs MSST 2023 · Week 9 · close · similar situation & rest	-6.5	27–13	W	P40
Close	MINN vs MD 2024 · Week 9 · close · similar situation & total	-6	48–23	W	O45

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
SC LLLLW	2-4	33%	1-1	1-1
OU LLLWL	2-4	33%	1-2	1-3

Venue/role: SC away, as underdog; OU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
SC UOOOU	4-2	67%	3-3
OU UUOOU	2-4	33%	3-3

In 742 games with totals 39.5–47.5, 54% went over; 3% of those overs had cashed by halftime and 35% by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
SC	4-6 40%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%
OU	6-4 60%	4-6 40%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

South Carolina

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 7	vs TA&M	L30–31WO
Nov 14	@ ARK	No meeting since 2023
Nov 21	vs UGA	L14–24WU

Oklahoma

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 7	@ FLA	No meeting since 2023
Nov 14	vs MISS	L26–34LO
Nov 21	vs TA&M	No meeting since 2023

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

SC 1–1 OU Series tied · 2 games since 2023 · OU has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 18 2025	Oklahoma 26 @ South Carolina 7	OU -4.5	OU W
Oct 19 2024	South Carolina 35 @ Oklahoma 9	SC -2.5	SC W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

SC+9.4 →+11.1▲ 1.7#28

OU+15.2 →+12.0▼ 3.2#23

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8

Longer bar = better

#38

Offense

◀ SC better

#123

#83

Defense

OU better ▶

#14

−0.5 #108

Turnovers

◀ SC better

−1.3 #135

73 plays #9

Pace

◀ SC faster

63 plays #108

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When SC has the ball

Advantage: OU defense

	SC off	OU def	Edge
Points / game	37.7 #17	18.2 #29	Even
Yards / play	6.52 #34	4.59 #17	Even
PPA / play	+0.19 #48	−0.11 #5	OU
Success rate	45% #54	33% #3	OU

When OU has the ball

Advantage: SC defense

	OU off	SC def	Edge
Points / game	21.3 #112	25.5 #84	SC
Yards / play	4.97 #123	5.37 #65	SC
PPA / play	−0.06 #133	+0.16 #108	SC
Success rate	38% #125	42% #76	SC

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

SC scoring against the OU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SC scored	8.0 #34	11.3 #30	19.3 #28	7.0 #43	10.2 #12	17.2 #24
OU allowed	4.7 #68	6.7 #62	11.3 #60	0.5 #1	6.3 #72	6.8 #12

OU scoring against the SC defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
OU scored	4.0 #98	4.5 #128	8.5 #125	7.2 #39	5.7 #103	12.8 #78
SC allowed	3.5 #41	8.5 #91	12.0 #70	6.7 #100	5.5 #50	12.2 #80

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.