Oklahoma @ Florida: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 10, 2026)

Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 10 · at Florida · Conference game

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Oklahoma

3-3 · Power #23

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Florida

5-2 · Power #17

projected

OU 35%

65% FLA

Spread

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Total

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model 49.5

Model line

FLA -5.5

FLA 65% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
OU LLLWL	2-4	33%	0-2	—
FLA WWLLW	4-3	57%	2-2	—

Venue/role: OU away; FLA home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
OU UUOOU	2-4	33%	3-3
FLA OOOUU	4-3	57%	5-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
OU	6-4 60%	4-6 40%	3-7 30%
FLA	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Oklahoma

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 14	vs MISS	L26–34LO
Nov 21	vs TA&M	No meeting since 2023
Nov 28	@ MIZ	W17–6WU

Florida

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 14	@ UK	L7–38LO
Nov 21	vs VAN	W38–14W
Nov 27	@ FSU	W40–21WO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

OU+15.2 →+12.0▼ 3.2#23

FLA+10.9 →+14.2▲ 3.3#17

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

Longer bar = better

FLA

#123

Offense

FLA better ▶

#32

#14

Defense

◀ OU better

#95

−1.3 #135

Turnovers

FLA better ▶

+0.3 #55

63 plays #108

Pace

FLA faster ▶

71 plays #18

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When OU has the ball

Advantage: FLA defense

	OU off	FLA def	Edge
Points / game	21.3 #112	28.3 #109	Even
Yards / play	4.97 #123	5.62 #87	FLA
PPA / play	−0.06 #133	+0.11 #81	FLA
Success rate	38% #125	44% #102	FLA

When FLA has the ball

Even matchup

	FLA off	OU def	Edge
Points / game	39.6 #11	18.2 #29	Even
Yards / play	6.31 #46	4.59 #18	OU
PPA / play	+0.25 #24	−0.11 #5	Even
Success rate	46% #45	33% #3	OU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

OU scoring against the FLA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
OU scored	4.0 #98	4.5 #128	8.5 #125	7.2 #39	5.7 #103	12.8 #79
FLA allowed	3.7 #43	9.7 #111	13.4 #90	7.6 #112	7.3 #97	14.9 #118

FLA scoring against the OU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
FLA scored	7.7 #42	13.7 #11	21.4 #17	8.4 #22	9.7 #18	18.1 #16
OU allowed	4.7 #68	6.7 #62	11.3 #60	0.5 #1	6.3 #73	6.8 #12

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.