Northern Illinois @ UNLV: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 9, 2026)

Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 10:30 PM EDTWeek 9 · at UNLV · Conference game

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Northern Illinois

0-6 · Power #134

projected

Sat 10:30 PM ET

UNLV

4-3 · Power #84

projected

NIU 6%

94% UNLV

Spread

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Total

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model 49.5

Model line

UNLV -21.5

UNLV 94% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NIU LWLLL	1-5	17%	1-3	—
UNLV LWWWL	4-3	57%	2-1	—

Venue/role: NIU away; UNLV home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
NIU OOUUO	3-3	50%	0-6
UNLV UUOUO	2-5	29%	4-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NIU	1-9 10%	2-8 20%	7-3 70%
UNLV	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Northern Illinois

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 7	@ SJSU	No meeting since 2023
Nov 14	vs NEV	No meeting since 2023
Nov 21	@ NDSU	No meeting since 2023

UNLV

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 7	vs WYO	W31–17WU
Nov 14	@ UNM	L35–40LO
Nov 21	@ SJSU	W27–16WU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

NIU−14.7 →−19.3▼ 4.6#134

UNLV−0.6 →−4.1▼ 3.5#84

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8

NIU

Longer bar = better

UNLV

#130

Offense

UNLV better ▶

#101

#132

Defense

UNLV better ▶

#71

−0.2 #86

Turnovers

Even

0.0 #77

63 plays #107

Pace

UNLV faster ▶

66 plays #69

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When NIU has the ball

Advantage: UNLV defense

	NIU off	UNLV def	Edge
Points / game	14.2 #137	23.7 #69	UNLV
Yards / play	4.90 #126	5.68 #90	UNLV
PPA / play	−0.06 #132	+0.07 #64	UNLV
Success rate	38% #123	40% #59	UNLV

When UNLV has the ball

Advantage: UNLV offense

	UNLV off	NIU def	Edge
Points / game	24.1 #98	35.7 #132	UNLV
Yards / play	5.59 #90	6.38 #124	UNLV
PPA / play	+0.09 #94	+0.29 #135	UNLV
Success rate	38% #122	51% #137	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

NIU scoring against the UNLV defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NIU scored	2.8 #121	6.2 #108	9.0 #123	1.8 #135	3.3 #135	5.2 #138
UNLV allowed	4.3 #56	5.3 #31	9.6 #40	7.4 #110	6.7 #85	14.1 #112

UNLV scoring against the NIU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UNLV scored	4.0 #98	9.3 #63	13.3 #91	5.3 #89	5.6 #107	10.9 #97
NIU allowed	10.8 #137	12.0 #129	22.8 #136	8.2 #123	4.7 #32	12.8 #93

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.