UNLV @ New Mexico: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 11, 2026)

Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 7:30 PM ESTWeek 11 · at New Mexico · Conference game

UNLV

4-3 · Power #84

projected

Sat 7:30 PM ET

New Mexico

5-1 · Power #56

projected

UNLV 18%

82% UNM

Spread

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Total

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model 48.5

Model line

UNM -13

UNM 82% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UNLV LWWWL	4-3	57%	2-2	—
UNM WWWWL	5-1	83%	3-0	—

Venue/role: UNLV away; UNM home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UNLV UUOUO	2-5	29%	4-3
UNM OUOOU	3-3	50%	5-1

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UNLV	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	3-7 30%
UNM	8-2 80%	7-3 70%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

UNLV

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 21	@ SJSU	W27–16WU
Nov 28	vs NEV	W42–17WO

New Mexico

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 21	@ WYO	L45–49LO
Nov 28	vs AFA	W20–3WU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

UNLV 1–1 UNM Series tied · 2 games since 2023 · UNM has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 1 2025	New Mexico 40 @ UNLV 35	UNLV -4.5	UNM W
Nov 4 2023	UNLV 56 @ New Mexico 14	UNLV -14.5	UNLV W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

UNLV−0.6 →−4.1▼ 3.5#84

UNM−4.8 →+3.8▲ 8.6#55

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

UNLV

Longer bar = better

UNM

#101

Offense

UNM better ▶

#52

#71

Defense

UNM better ▶

0.0 #77

Turnovers

UNM better ▶

+2.8 #1

66 plays #69

Pace

◀ UNLV faster

64 plays #93

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UNLV has the ball

Advantage: UNM defense

	UNLV off	UNM def	Edge
Points / game	24.1 #98	10.5 #1	UNM
Yards / play	5.59 #90	4.51 #12	UNM
PPA / play	+0.09 #94	−0.18 #1	UNM
Success rate	38% #122	32% #1	UNM

When UNM has the ball

Even matchup

	UNM off	UNLV def	Edge
Points / game	39.7 #10	23.7 #69	UNM
Yards / play	5.91 #67	5.68 #90	UNM
PPA / play	+0.18 #58	+0.07 #64	Even
Success rate	43% #73	40% #59	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

UNLV scoring against the UNM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UNLV scored	4.0 #98	9.3 #63	13.3 #91	5.3 #89	5.6 #107	10.9 #97
UNM allowed	1.7 #6	2.8 #6	4.5 #2	1.2 #4	4.8 #35	6.0 #7

UNM scoring against the UNLV defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UNM scored	7.0 #50	11.3 #30	18.3 #39	12.2 #2	9.2 #25	21.3 #3
UNLV allowed	4.3 #56	5.3 #31	9.6 #40	7.4 #110	6.7 #85	14.1 #112

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.