Syracuse @ Boston College: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2026)

Sat, Nov 21, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 12 · at Boston College · Conference game

Syracuse

2-4 · Power #70

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Boston College

3-3 · Power #79

projected

SYR 54%

46% BC

Spread

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Total

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model 47

Model line

SYR -1.5

SYR 54% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
SYR LLLWW	3-3	50%	1-2	—
BC WLWWW	4-2	67%	3-1	—

Venue/role: SYR away; BC home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
SYR UUOOO	4-2	67%	2-4
BC UUUUO	1-5	17%	3-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
SYR	2-8 20%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%
BC	4-6 40%	7-3 70%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Syracuse

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 28	vs ND	L7–70LO

Boston College

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 28	@ MIA	L20–45LO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

SYR 0–3 BC BC leads · 3 games since 2023 · BC has won the last 3 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 29 2025	Boston College 34 @ Syracuse 12	BC -2.5	BC W
Nov 9 2024	Syracuse 31 @ Boston College 37	BC -5.5	BC W
Nov 3 2023	Boston College 17 @ Syracuse 10	BC -1	BC W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

SYR−3.6 →+0.7▲ 4.3#66

BC−3.2 →−3.2–#80

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

SYR

Longer bar = better

#83

Offense

◀ SYR better

#114

#76

Defense

BC better ▶

#49

−0.3 #96

Turnovers

BC better ▶

+0.2 #61

81 plays #2

Pace

◀ SYR faster

65 plays #87

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When SYR has the ball

Advantage: BC defense

	SYR off	BC def	Edge
Points / game	31.7 #53	23.0 #61	Even
Yards / play	5.55 #94	4.96 #35	BC
PPA / play	+0.05 #104	+0.03 #42	BC
Success rate	42% #81	40% #58	BC

When BC has the ball

Advantage: SYR defense

	BC off	SYR def	Edge
Points / game	20.3 #117	25.7 #89	SYR
Yards / play	5.49 #98	5.37 #66	SYR
PPA / play	0.00 #121	+0.08 #69	SYR
Success rate	39% #118	42% #81	SYR

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

SYR scoring against the BC defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SYR scored	6.7 #61	15.0 #5	21.7 #14	2.5 #131	6.2 #91	8.7 #128
BC allowed	3.5 #41	5.7 #37	9.2 #35	6.0 #88	7.8 #103	13.8 #110

BC scoring against the SYR defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
BC scored	7.8 #39	2.7 #138	10.5 #113	4.2 #112	5.7 #103	9.8 #112
SYR allowed	5.8 #95	6.3 #56	12.2 #76	4.5 #64	7.8 #103	12.3 #83

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.