Missouri @ Georgia: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 11, 2026)

Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 11 · at Georgia · Conference game

Missouri

5-2 · Power #19

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Georgia

6-1 · Power #4

projected

MIZ 16%

84% UGA

Spread

—

Total

—

model 52

Model line

UGA -14

UGA 84% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
MIZ LLWWL	3-4	43%	1-2	—
UGA WWLWL	5-2	71%	3-2	—

Venue/role: MIZ away; UGA home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
MIZ UUOUU	3-4	43%	5-2
UGA OOOUO	6-1	86%	6-1

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
MIZ	6-4 60%	4-6 40%	3-7 30%
UGA	8-2 80%	6-4 60%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Missouri

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 21	vs UK	W38–21WO
Nov 28	vs OU	L6–17LU

Georgia

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 21	@ SC	W24–14LU
Nov 28	vs GT	W16–9LU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

MIZ 0–1 UGA UGA leads · 1 game since 2023 · UGA has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 4 2023	Missouri 21 @ Georgia 30	UGA -14	MIZ W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

MIZ+13.4 →+13.8▲ 0.4#19

UGA+22.1 →+23.6▲ 1.5#5

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

MIZ

Longer bar = better

UGA

#65

Offense

UGA better ▶

#29

Defense

Even

#18

+0.7 #19

Turnovers

◀ MIZ better

+0.4 #47

68 plays #48

Pace

◀ MIZ faster

61 plays #119

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When MIZ has the ball

Advantage: UGA defense

	MIZ off	UGA def	Edge
Points / game	31.1 #59	15.9 #16	UGA
Yards / play	6.29 #49	4.32 #7	UGA
PPA / play	+0.17 #60	0.00 #34	UGA
Success rate	41% #91	35% #16	UGA

When UGA has the ball

Advantage: UGA offense

	UGA off	MIZ def	Edge
Points / game	43.0 #2	19.6 #36	UGA
Yards / play	7.68 #2	4.86 #27	UGA
PPA / play	+0.33 #12	+0.01 #36	UGA
Success rate	53% #3	35% #17	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

MIZ scoring against the UGA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
MIZ scored	2.9 #119	14.4 #7	17.3 #47	6.9 #48	7.0 #65	13.9 #60
UGA allowed	2.0 #8	6.1 #50	8.1 #22	2.3 #16	5.4 #48	7.7 #19

UGA scoring against the MIZ defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UGA scored	12.4 #3	13.0 #16	25.4 #4	7.9 #28	9.7 #18	17.6 #20
MIZ allowed	5.3 #83	6.0 #47	11.3 #56	2.4 #21	5.9 #61	8.3 #28

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.