UTEP @ Northern Illinois: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2026)

Sat, Nov 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 13 · at Northern Illinois · Conference game

UTEP

1-6 · Power #136

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Northern Illinois

0-6 · Power #134

projected

UTEP 33%

67% NIU

Spread

—

Total

—

model 50.5

Model line

NIU -6

NIU 67% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UTEP LLLLL	1-6	14%	0-3	—
NIU LWLLL	1-5	17%	0-2	—

Venue/role: UTEP away; NIU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UTEP OUOUU	3-4	43%	1-6
NIU OOUUO	3-3	50%	0-6

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UTEP	1-9 10%	1-9 10%	6-4 60%
NIU	1-9 10%	2-8 20%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

UTEP

No more games this season.

Northern Illinois

No more games this season.

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

UTEP−15.9 →−22.0▼ 6.1#136

NIU−14.7 →−19.3▼ 4.6#134

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

UTEP

Longer bar = better

NIU

#133

Offense

Even

#130

Defense

Even

#132

−0.3 #89

Turnovers

Even

−0.2 #86

59 plays #131

Pace

NIU faster ▶

63 plays #107

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UTEP has the ball

Even matchup

	UTEP off	NIU def	Edge
Points / game	15.1 #134	35.7 #132	Even
Yards / play	4.88 #127	6.38 #124	Even
PPA / play	−0.08 #136	+0.29 #135	Even
Success rate	34% #136	51% #137	Even

When NIU has the ball

Even matchup

	NIU off	UTEP def	Edge
Points / game	14.2 #137	37.3 #134	Even
Yards / play	4.90 #126	6.30 #121	Even
PPA / play	−0.06 #132	+0.28 #132	Even
Success rate	38% #123	49% #133	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

UTEP scoring against the NIU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UTEP scored	2.0 #134	4.0 #134	6.0 #137	4.4 #108	4.7 #117	9.1 #122
NIU allowed	10.8 #137	12.0 #129	22.8 #136	8.2 #123	4.7 #32	12.8 #93

NIU scoring against the UTEP defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NIU scored	2.8 #121	6.2 #108	9.0 #123	1.8 #135	3.3 #135	5.2 #138
UTEP allowed	10.4 #135	6.0 #47	16.4 #114	13.1 #138	7.7 #99	20.9 #138

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.