Oklahoma State @ West Virginia: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 4, 2026)

Sat, Sep 26, 2026, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 4 · at West Virginia · Conference game

Weather at kickoff67°F5 mphgusts 13DryWeather watch ›

Oklahoma State

2-1 · Power #44

▲ winner

Final

West Virginia

3-0 · Power #73

final

Closing spread

WVU -1.5

✓ OKST W

Total

60.5

▲ Over · 65 pts

Model before kickoff

OKST 27–29 WVU

✗ WVU (55%) lost

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenOKST -2.5

CloseWVU -1.5

Total57.5 → 60.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenOKST -2.5

4 → WVU

CloseWVU -1.5

4 pts toward West Virginia

Total

Open57.5

▲ 3

Close60.5

Up 3 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened OKST -2.5 · closed WVU -1.5 · moved 4 toward WVUmodel WVU -3.5

model WVU -3.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 0.5–2.5 since 2023: won 51%, covered 49% (212 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 3.5+ pts toward the favorite: that team covered 49% (205 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenOKST -2.5

CloseWVU -1.5

Total57.5 → 60.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like WVU as a 1.5-point home favorite against OKST, the favorite won 6, covered 5, and 3 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: OKST won 41–24 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 65 points went over 60.5, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 57%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 5 against an average line of 3.7; 53 points a game (usually 52.8). Of the 3 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	KU vs ILL 2023 · Week 2 · close · similar rest & situation	-3.5	34–23	W	U57.5
Close	TXST vs UL 2024 · Week 10 · close · similar total & season form	-4	17–23	L	U60.5
Close	UAB vs UL 2023 · Week 3 · close · similar rest & situation	-2	21–41	L	O59.5
Close	TTU vs KSU 2023 · Week 7 · close · similar rest & situation	-1	21–38	L	O57.5
Close	MISS vs LSU 2025 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & spread	-2.5	24–19	W	U58
Close	MEM vs BOIS 2023 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & team ratings	-3.5	35–32	L	O59.5
Close	BOIS vs UNLV 2025 · Week 15 · close · similar rest & total	-6	38–21	W	U59.5
Close	DUKE vs GT 2025 · Week 8 · close · similar situation & season form	-3.5	18–27	L	U60.5
Close	KSU vs TCU 2023 · Week 8 · close · similar rest & season form	-5.5	41–3	W	U60
Close	PITT vs SYR 2024 · Week 9 · close · similar team ratings & total	-5	41–13	W	U62.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
OKST LWW	2-1	67%	0-1	1-0
WVU LWW	2-1	67%	1-1	1-1

Venue/role: OKST away, as underdog; WVU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
OKST UOU	1-2	33%	2-1
WVU OOO	3-0	100%	3-0

Went over in Q4. Of 334 earlier overs in games with totals 56.5–64.5, 29% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
OKST	2-8 20%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%
WVU	5-5 50%	7-3 70%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

OKST 1–1 WVU Series tied · 2 games since 2023 · WVU has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 5 2024	West Virginia 38 @ Oklahoma State 14	OKST -2.5	WVU W
Oct 21 2023	Oklahoma State 48 @ West Virginia 34	WVU -3	OKST W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

OKST−8.9 →+2.3▲ 11.2#60

WVU−1.3 →+2.4▲ 3.7#58

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW3

OKST

Longer bar = better

WVU

#69

Offense

WVU better ▶

#40

#47

Defense

◀ OKST better

#77

−1.3 #132

Turnovers

WVU better ▶

+0.7 #49

81 plays #3

Pace

◀ OKST faster

69 plays #52

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When OKST has the ball

Even matchup

	OKST off	WVU def	Edge
Points / game	36.0 #49	19.3 #56	Even
Yards / play	6.55 #44	5.38 #83	OKST
PPA / play	+0.03 #115	+0.09 #84	WVU
Success rate	45% #66	41% #84	Even

When WVU has the ball

Even matchup

	WVU off	OKST def	Edge
Points / game	40.3 #26	18.3 #49	WVU
Yards / play	6.67 #40	4.95 #58	Even
PPA / play	+0.31 #30	+0.01 #52	WVU
Success rate	45% #63	34% #30	OKST

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

OKST scoring against the WVU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
OKST scored	5.7 #83	13.7 #28	19.3 #44	11.3 #12	5.3 #100	16.7 #36
WVU allowed	4.7 #73	0.0 #1	4.7 #8	4.7 #73	10.0 #121	14.7 #109

WVU scoring against the OKST defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WVU scored	14.0 #4	10.3 #60	24.3 #20	8.0 #45	8.0 #55	16.0 #44
OKST allowed	3.3 #47	5.7 #47	9.0 #43	4.7 #73	4.7 #44	9.3 #56

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.