Virginia Tech @ Boston College: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 4, 2026)

Sat, Sep 26, 2026, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 4 · at Boston College · Conference game

Weather at kickoff56°F19 mphgusts 42DryWindy Over 48% of 274 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Virginia Tech

3-0 · Power #45

▲ winner

Final

Boston College

2-1 · Power #79

final

Closing spread

VT -14.5

✓ BC W

Total

45.5

▼ Under · 35 pts

Model before kickoff

VT 31–17 BC

✓ VT (85%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenVT -14

CloseVT -14.5

Total54.5 → 45.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenVT -14

0.5 → VT

CloseVT -14.5

0.5 pts toward Virginia Tech

Total

Open54.5

▼ 9

Close45.5

Down 9 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened VT -14 · closed VT -14.5 · moved 0.5 toward VTmodel VT -14

model VT -14

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 13.5–15.5 since 2023: won 76%, covered 50% (70 games)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenVT -14

CloseVT -14.5

Total54.5 → 45.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 5 games most like VT as a 14.5-point road favorite at BC, the favorite won 4, covered 2, and 3 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: VT won 21–14; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 3 of the 5 similar games. 35 points stayed under 45.5, as in 2 of 5.

Favorite won

4 of 580%

Normal range · usually 86%

Favorite covered

2 of 540%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

3 of 560%

Normal range · usually 48%

Only 5 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 15.6 against an average line of 15.1; 46 points a game (usually 52.5). Of the 3 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 5 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	LIB @ UTEP 2023 · Week 13 · loose · similar rest	-17.5	42–28	L	O54.5
Loose	UTAH @ WVU 2025 · Week 5 · loose · similar rest	-13.5	48–14	W	O46.5
Loose	TOL @ BALL 2023 · Week 7 · loose · similar rest & situation	-17.5	13–6	L	U48
Loose	MEM @ RICE 2025 · Week 10 · loose · similar spread & rest	-14	38–14	W	O48.5
Loose	TOL @ WMU 2025 · Week 4 · loose · similar rest & spread	-13	13–14	L	U48.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
VT WWW	3-0	100%	1-0	3-0
BC LWL	1-2	33%	1-1	0-1

Venue/role: VT away, as favorite; BC home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
VT OOO	3-0	100%	3-0
BC UUU	0-3	0%	2-1

Stayed under: it needed 33 in the 4th quarter and got 22. 54% of games with totals 41.5–49.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
VT	4-6 40%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%
BC	3-7 30%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

VT 23–11 BC VT leads · 34 games since 1993 · VT has won the last 4 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 17 2024	Boston College 21 @ Virginia Tech 42	VT -8.5	VT W
Nov 11 2023	Virginia Tech 48 @ Boston College 22	VT -2.5	VT W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

VT+1.5 →+9.9▲ 8.4#29

BC−3.2 →−5.1▼ 1.9#88

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW3

Longer bar = better

#23

Offense

◀ VT better

#109

#57

Defense

Even

#63

0.0 #84

Turnovers

Even

0.0 #75

78 plays #6

Pace

◀ VT faster

65 plays #88

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When VT has the ball

Advantage: VT offense

	VT off	BC def	Edge
Points / game	50.7 #4	23.7 #79	VT
Yards / play	6.35 #60	5.09 #64	Even
PPA / play	+0.43 #10	+0.03 #57	VT
Success rate	52% #16	38% #52	VT

When BC has the ball

Advantage: VT defense

	BC off	VT def	Edge
Points / game	21.7 #115	16.7 #38	VT
Yards / play	5.92 #82	4.72 #42	VT
PPA / play	−0.06 #128	+0.08 #76	VT
Success rate	39% #112	40% #72	VT

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

VT scoring against the BC defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
VT scored	15.0 #3	20.3 #3	35.3 #1	10.7 #20	4.7 #103	15.3 #57
BC allowed	1.0 #8	8.0 #84	9.0 #49	7.0 #104	7.7 #102	14.7 #103

BC scoring against the VT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
BC scored	10.0 #32	3.0 #135	13.0 #99	3.7 #110	5.0 #101	8.7 #120
VT allowed	1.0 #8	5.7 #48	6.7 #27	2.3 #24	7.7 #102	10.0 #67

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.