James Madison @ Old Dominion: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 4, 2026)

Sat, Sep 26, 2026, 6:00 PM EDTWeek 4 · at Old Dominion · Conference game

Weather at kickoff65°F12 mphgusts 27DryWindy Over 48% of 274 games since 2023Weather watch ›

James Madison

3-0 · Power #51

▲ winner

Final

Old Dominion

1-2 · Power #112

final

Closing spread

JMU -7

✓ JMU W

Total

44.5

▲ Over · 66 pts

Model before kickoff

JMU 25–18 ODU

✓ JMU (68%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenJMU -4.5

CloseJMU -7

Total50.5 → 44.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenJMU -4.5

2.5 → JMU

CloseJMU -7

2.5 pts toward James Madison

Total

Open50.5

▼ 6

Close44.5

Down 6 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened JMU -4.5 · closed JMU -7 · moved 2.5 toward JMUmodel JMU -4.5

model JMU -4.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 6–8 since 2023: won 68%, covered 56% (147 games)ⓘ

Moved onto 7Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 49% (321 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenJMU -4.5

CloseJMU -7

Total50.5 → 44.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like JMU as a 7-point road favorite at ODU, the favorite won 5, covered 4, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: JMU won 46–20; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 66 points went over 44.5, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 69%

Favorite covered

4 of 944%

Normal range · usually 52%

Went over

3 of 933%

Normal range · usually 49%

Only 10 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 3.9 against an average line of 7.4; 41.3 points a game (usually 52.7). Of the 3 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	FRES @ WYO 2023 · Week 6 · close · similar rest & team ratings	-6	19–24	L	P43
Close	SDSU @ HAW 2025 · Week 11 · close · similar rest & spread	-6.5	6–38	L	U48
Close	TOL @ WSU 2025 · Week 9 · close · similar total & rest	-1.5	7–28	L	U44.5
Close	TOL @ BGSU 2025 · Week 7 · close · similar situation	-10.5	23–28	L	O45.5
Loose	TULN @ NAVY 2024 · Week 12 · loose · similar rest & spread	-7.5	35–0	W	U49
Loose	JMU @ MRSH 2023 · Week 8 · loose · similar spread & situation	-5	20–9	W	U49.25
Loose	AFA @ NAVY 2023 · Week 8 · loose · similar rest	-11	17–6	P	U34
Loose	UTAH @ WVU 2025 · Week 5 · loose · similar rest	-13.5	48–14	W	O46.5
Loose	MIA @ NCSU 2023 · Week 10 · loose · similar rest & spread	-6	6–20	L	U44
Loose	AFA @ SJSU 2023 · Week 4 · loose · similar spread & situation	-6	45–20	W	O45.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
JMU WWW	3-0	100%	1-0	2-0
ODU LLL	0-3	0%	0-2	0-1

Venue/role: JMU away, as favorite; ODU home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
JMU UOU	1-2	33%	3-0
ODU UOU	1-2	33%	1-2

Went over in Q2. Of 455 earlier overs in games with totals 40.5–48.5, 35% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
JMU	9-1 90%	7-3 70%	6-4 60%
ODU	7-3 70%	4-6 40%	2-8 20%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

JMU 5–2 ODU JMU leads · 7 games since 2011 · JMU has won the last 5 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 18 2025	Old Dominion 27 @ James Madison 63	JMU -3.5	JMU W
Nov 16 2024	James Madison 35 @ Old Dominion 32	JMU -1.5	JMU W
Oct 28 2023	Old Dominion 27 @ James Madison 30	JMU -19.5	ODU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

JMU+5.8 →+2.6▼ 3.2#57

ODU+1.2 →−3.9▼ 5.1#81

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW3

JMU

Longer bar = better

ODU

#39

Offense

◀ JMU better

#122

#15

Defense

◀ JMU better

#37

+0.7 #46

Turnovers

◀ JMU better

−0.3 #102

62 plays #107

Pace

◀ JMU faster

57 plays #128

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When JMU has the ball

Even matchup

	JMU off	ODU def	Edge
Points / game	44.3 #17	24.7 #89	JMU
Yards / play	7.01 #25	4.26 #21	Even
PPA / play	+0.24 #49	−0.09 #21	ODU
Success rate	45% #64	32% #17	ODU

When ODU has the ball

Advantage: JMU defense

	ODU off	JMU def	Edge
Points / game	23.0 #110	9.7 #10	JMU
Yards / play	5.28 #111	4.43 #27	JMU
PPA / play	−0.06 #130	−0.15 #8	JMU
Success rate	33% #135	31% #14	JMU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

JMU scoring against the ODU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
JMU scored	12.7 #10	13.3 #31	26.0 #13	9.0 #35	9.3 #32	18.3 #23
ODU allowed	8.0 #118	9.0 #95	17.0 #113	4.3 #69	3.3 #20	7.7 #36

ODU scoring against the JMU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ODU scored	3.3 #112	10.0 #68	13.3 #94	7.0 #57	2.7 #124	9.7 #110
JMU allowed	1.0 #11	2.0 #10	3.0 #2	2.3 #25	4.3 #43	6.7 #23

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.