Memphis @ UNLV: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 1, 2026)

Sat, Aug 29, 2026, 10:00 PM EDTWeek 1 · at UNLV

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Memphis

0-0 · Power #62

▲ winner

Final

UNLV

0-0 · Power #84

final

Closing spread

UNLV -4.5

✓ MEM W

Total

55.5

▼ Under · 48 pts

Model before kickoff

MEM 28–32 UNLV

✗ UNLV (62%) lost

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenUNLV -3

CloseUNLV -4.5

Total60.5 → 55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenUNLV -3

1.5 → UNLV

CloseUNLV -4.5

1.5 pts toward UNLV

Total

Open60.5

▼ 5

Close55.5

Down 5 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened UNLV -3 · closed UNLV -4.5 · moved 1.5 toward UNLVmodel UNLV -2.5

model UNLV -2.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 3.5–5.5 since 2023: won 66%, covered 52% (226 games)ⓘ

Moved off 3The team the line moved toward covered 63% (40 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenUNLV -3

CloseUNLV -4.5

Total60.5 → 55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like UNLV as a 4.5-point home favorite against MEM, the favorite won 7, covered 7, and 8 went over the total.

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This game: MEM won 27–21 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 48 points stayed under 55.5, as in 2 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 61%

Favorite covered

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 4.6 against an average line of 4.1; 62.2 points a game (usually 52.7). Of the 8 overs, 3 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	ECU vs MEM 2025 · Week 12 · very close · similar team ratings & spread	-3	31–27	W	O57
Close	ARIZ vs WVU 2024 · Week 9 · close · similar spread	-5.5	26–31	L	O51.5
Close	NCSU vs UVA 2025 · Week 2 · close · similar team ratings & situation	-2.75	35–31	W	O52.75
Close	COLO vs BAY 2024 · Week 4 · close · similar team ratings & spread	-2.5	38–31	W	O52.5
Close	CIN vs ASU 2024 · Week 8 · close · similar spread	-5	24–14	W	U51
Close	UNLV vs SYR 2024 · Week 6 · close · similar spread & situation	-5.5	41–44	L	O55.5
Close	CIN vs WVU 2024 · Week 11 · close · similar spread	-5.5	24–31	L	O54.5
Close	DUKE vs NCSU 2025 · Week 4 · close · similar spread & team ratings	-3	45–33	W	O57.5
Close	GAST vs MRSH 2023 · Week 7 · close · similar total	-1.5	41–24	W	O53.5
Close	WVU vs COLO 2025 · Week 11 · close · similar spread & team ratings	-6.5	29–22	W	U51.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found