Louisiana Tech @ LSU: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2026)

Sat, Sep 12, 2026, 7:30 PM EDTWeek 2 · at LSU

Weather at kickoff85°F7 mphgusts 12DryWeather watch ›

Louisiana Tech

1-0 · Power #83

final

Final

LSU

1-0 · Power #6

▲ winner

Closing spread

LSU -34.5

✓ LT W

Total

54.5

▲ Over · 59 pts

Model before kickoff

LT 7–40 LSU

✓ LSU (99%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenLSU -31.5

CloseLSU -34.5

Total55.5 → 54.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenLSU -31.5

3 → LSU

CloseLSU -34.5

3 pts toward LSU

Total

Open55.5

▼ 1

Close54.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened LSU -31.5 · closed LSU -34.5 · moved 3 toward LSUmodel LSU -30

model LSU -30

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 33.5–35.5 since 2023: won 100%, covered 52% (57 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 50% (303 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenLSU -31.5

CloseLSU -34.5

Total55.5 → 54.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 1 games most like LSU as a 34.5-point home favorite against LT, the favorite won 1, covered 1, and 1 went over the total.

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This game: LSU won 45–14; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 0 of the 1 similar games. 59 points went over 54.5, as in 1 of 1.

Favorite won

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 100%

Favorite covered

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 56%

Went over

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 58%

Only 1 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 63 against an average line of 34; 63 points a game (usually 55.9). Of the 1 over, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 1 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	ALA vs WKU 2024 · Week 1 · loose · similar spread & situation	-34	63–0	W	O60

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
LT W	1-0	100%	—	—
LSU W	1-0	100%	1-0	1-0

Venue/role: LT away, as underdog; LSU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
LT O	1-0	100%	1-0
LSU O	1-0	100%	1-0

Went over in Q4. Of 647 earlier overs in games with totals 50.5–58.5, 33% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
LT	6-4 60%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%
LSU	4-6 40%	3-7 30%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

LT 0–1 LSU LSU leads · 1 game since 2023 · LSU has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 6 2025	Louisiana Tech 7 @ LSU 23	LSU -36.5	LT W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

LT−8.8 →−6.5▲ 2.3#88

LSU+12.7 →+18.7▲ 6.0#10

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

Longer bar = better

LSU

Offense

◀ LT better

#43

#14

Defense

Even

#19

+1.0 #30

Turnovers

◀ LT better

0.0 #85

59 plays #106

Pace

LSU faster ▶

94 plays #2

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When LT has the ball

Even matchup

	LT off	LSU def	Edge
Points / game	80.0 #1	10.0 #46	LT
Yards / play	8.95 #14	3.02 #18	Even
PPA / play	+1.02 #1	−0.54 #5	Even
Success rate	59% #21	13% #5	Even

When LSU has the ball

Advantage: LT defense

	LSU off	LT def	Edge
Points / game	51.0 #29	6.0 #22	Even
Yards / play	6.85 #49	2.11 #7	LT
PPA / play	+0.31 #54	−0.32 #20	LT
Success rate	53% #38	13% #6	LT

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.