Louisiana Tech @ LSU: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2025)

Sat, Sep 6, 2025, 7:30 PM EDTWeek 2 · at LSU

Weather at kickoff87°F5 mphgusts 14Wet0.0 mmWet Over 45% of 309 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Louisiana Tech

1-0 · Power #93

final

Final

LSU

1-0 · Power #31

▲ winner

Closing spread

LSU -36.5

✓ LT W

Total

49.5

▼ Under · 30 pts

Model before kickoff

LT 5–41 LSU

✓ LSU (100%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenLSU -32.5

CloseLSU -36.5

Total52.5 → 49.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenLSU -32.5

4 → LSU

CloseLSU -36.5

4 pts toward LSU

Total

Open52.5

▼ 3

Close49.5

Down 3 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened LSU -32.5 · closed LSU -36.5 · moved 4 toward LSUmodel LSU -34.5

model LSU -34.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 34.5–38.5 since 2023: won 100%, covered 51% (75 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 3.5+ pts toward the favorite: that team covered 41% (99 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenLSU -32.5

CloseLSU -36.5

Total52.5 → 49.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 4 games most like LSU as a 36.5-point home favorite against LT, the favorite won 4, covered 2, and 1 went over the total.

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This game: LSU won 23–7; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 2 of the 4 similar games. 30 points stayed under 49.5, as in 3 of 4.

Favorite won

4 of 4100%

Normal range · usually 100%

Favorite covered

2 of 450%

Normal range · usually 55%

Went over

1 of 425%

Normal range · usually 56%

Only 4 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 27.5 against an average line of 33.5; 47.5 points a game (usually 56). Of the 1 over, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 4 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	TA&M vs ULM 2023 · Week 3 · loose · similar situation & rest	-36.5	47–3	W	U53.5
Loose	TEX vs WYO 2023 · Week 3 · loose · similar rest & situation	-31	31–10	L	U48.5
Loose	LSU vs UNM 2022 · Week 4 · loose · similar rest & situation	-31.5	38–0	W	U44
Loose	PSU vs BGSU 2024 · Week 2 · loose · similar situation & rest	-35	34–27	L	O51.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
LT W	1-0	100%	—	—
LSU W	1-0	100%	—	—

Venue/role: LT away, as underdog; LSU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
LT U	0-1	0%	1-0
LSU U	0-1	0%	1-0

Stayed under: it needed 33 in the 4th quarter and got 13. 54% of games with totals 45.5–53.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
LT	5-5 50%	7-3 70%	4-6 40%
LSU	7-3 70%	6-4 60%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

LT−11.6 →−12.6▼ 1.0#121

LSU+15.7 →+16.5▲ 0.8#10

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

Longer bar = better

LSU

#79

Offense

Even

#91

#30

Defense

◀ LT better

#50

+3.0 #3

Turnovers

◀ LT better

−1.0 #113

53 plays #126

Pace

LSU faster ▶

70 plays #51

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When LT has the ball

Advantage: LSU defense

	LT off	LSU def	Edge
Points / game	24.0 #75	10.0 #46	LSU
Yards / play	4.94 #90	4.50 #58	LSU
PPA / play	+0.05 #93	−0.09 #45	LSU
Success rate	45% #58	34% #51	Even

When LSU has the ball

Advantage: LT defense

	LSU off	LT def	Edge
Points / game	17.0 #99	0.0 #2	LT
Yards / play	5.09 #84	3.61 #22	LT
PPA / play	0.00 #104	−0.21 #24	LT
Success rate	41% #77	38% #71	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.