Eastern ConferencePower #182-4 SU2-4 ATS3-3 O/U

Heat are 2-4 straight up, 2-4 against the spread (33% covers, average cover margin -6.0 points), 3-3 on over/unders in 2026-27, including 1-3 ATS as a favorite and 1-1 ATS as an underdog.

Next: @ Lakers, · LAL -1.5 · total 236.5 · Game card, trends & matchup

Last 5 (result · ATS · O/U):LLO·LLU·LLU·WWO·WWO

Cover margin by gameTotal margin by game

Points by which MIA beat (up) or missed (down) its closing linePoints the final score landed over (up) or under (down) the closing total
covered 2didn’t cover 4avg −6 ptstaller = bigger margin
over 3under 3avg +2.5 ptstaller = bigger margin
Straight up
2-4
33% wins
Power rating
-0.2 #18
offense +4.9 · defense -5.2
Against the spread
2-4
33% covers
Avg cover margin
-6.0
points vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs
Points for / against
118.3 / 121.5
per game

Heat 2026-27 team stats

6 games · rank among 30 teams · a longer bar is a better rank
Scoring
Points per game118.3 #9
Points per possession1.11 #14
Pace (possessions)106.2 #5
Shooting
Effective FG%54.6 #12
3-point %34.1 #19
3-point attempt rate41.7 #20
Free throw rate27.3 #19
Possessions
Turnover rate14.1 #5
Offensive rebound rate24.5 #24
Assists per game28.8 #3
Defense
Points allowed121.5 #26
Points allowed per possession1.15 #26
Opponent effective FG%56.8 #27
Opponent 3-point %40.6 #29
Turnovers forced15.4 #18
Defensive rebound rate72.3 #17
Steals per game8.3 #19
Blocks per game5.0 #13

Heat player stats

This season’s roster
PlayerPosGPMinPtsRebAst+/-RatingScore
Davion MitchellG634.216.21.78.2-2.3+3.048
Giannis AntetokounmpoF631.528.212.35.5-5.0+16.089
Bam AdebayoC631.516.37.83.3-3.3+8.966
Pelle LarssonG629.711.83.54-0.2+4.255
Andrew WigginsF627.310.831.3-6.5+5.262
Bobby PortisF622.8107.31.7+2.3-0.434
Klay ThompsonG620.810.71.31.3-5.8-4.920
Tim Hardaway Jr.G618.36.22.30.8+0.3-0.831
Simone FontecchioF7116.78.431.4+1.3+6.067
Nick RichardsC47155.95.20.3-2.9-14.85
Nikola JovicF513.22.83.41.2+1.6-4.820
Dru SmithG49.830.51.5+2.0+18.292
Myron GardnerF449.43.72.81+1.8+6.169
Ryan ConwellG44.32.30.30.5-1.5-0.5—

Heat 2026-27 schedule, lines & results

6 played · 74 to go
DateOpponentLineTotalResultATSO/U
Oct 21Timberwolves non-conf-1.5240.5L 106-131L -26.5U 237
Oct 23Pistons+2.5235.5L 111-128L -14.5O 239
Oct 24@ Hornets-4.5227.5L 110-115L -9.5U 225
Oct 26Mavericks non-conf-7.5240.5L 109-113L -11.5U 222
Oct 28@ Hawks+2.5243.5W 129-117W +14.5O 246
Oct 30Pacers-8.5236.5W 145-125W +11.5O 270
Nov 2 Next@ Lakers+1.5236.5———
Nov 4@ Clippers—————
Nov 5@ Warriors—————
Nov 8@ Kings—————
Nov 10@ Jazz—————
Nov 13Cavaliers—————
Nov 14Pistons—————
Nov 16Rockets—————
Nov 18Bucks—————
Nov 22Thunder—————
Nov 25@ 76ers+4.5239.5———
Nov 27@ Knicks+5.5233.5———
Nov 29@ Cavaliers—————
Dec 1Hawks—————
Dec 3Wizards—————
Dec 12Knicks—————
Dec 14@ Bulls—————
Dec 16@ Grizzlies—————
Dec 18Clippers—————
Dec 20Kings—————
Dec 21Bulls—————
Dec 23Bulls—————
Dec 25@ Celtics+5.5230.5———
Dec 27Hornets—————
Dec 29@ Mavericks—————
Dec 31@ Thunder—————
Jan 2@ Pelicans—————
Jan 5Grizzlies—————
Jan 7@ Nets—————
Jan 8@ 76ers—————
Jan 10Pelicans—————
Jan 12Nets—————
Jan 14@ Knicks—————
Jan 15@ Raptors—————
Jan 17Warriors—————
Jan 19Trail Blazers—————
Jan 20@ Spurs—————
Jan 23Hawks—————
Jan 25@ Nets—————
Jan 28@ Bucks—————
Jan 3076ers—————
Feb 1@ Pacers—————
Feb 2Hornets—————
Feb 4Bucks—————
Feb 6@ Timberwolves—————
Feb 8@ Hawks—————
Feb 10@ Wizards—————
Feb 12@ Magic—————
Feb 14Nets—————
Feb 15Spurs—————
Feb 17@ Wizards—————
Feb 25@ Pistons—————
Feb 28@ Rockets—————
Mar 2Raptors—————
Mar 3Raptors—————
Mar 6Pacers—————
Mar 8Suns—————
Mar 10Magic—————
Mar 12@ Bucks—————
Mar 14@ Nuggets—————
Mar 17@ Trail Blazers—————
Mar 19@ Suns—————
Mar 21Nuggets—————
Mar 23Lakers—————
Mar 25Jazz—————
Mar 27Celtics—————
Mar 29@ Cavaliers—————
Mar 30@ Hornets—————
Apr 2@ Celtics—————
Apr 4@ Pistons—————
Apr 5@ Magic—————
Apr 876ers—————
Apr 9Wizards—————
Apr 11Magic—————

Heat 2026-27 ATS and over/under splits

Home, away, favorite, underdog and conference
SituationSUATSCover %Avg marginO/UPFPA
All games2-42-433%-6.03-3118.3121.5
Home1-31-325%-10.32-2117.8124.3
Away1-11-150%+2.51-1119.5116.0
As favorite1-31-325%-9.01-3117.5121.0
As underdog1-11-150%0.02-0120.0122.5
In conference2-22-250%+0.53-1123.8121.3
Non-conference0-20-20%-19.00-2107.5122.0

How Heat’s games played out

By the score at halftime
Led at halftime2 games · won 2 · covered 2
Trailed at halftime4 games · won 0 · covered 0