Eastern ConferencePower #1843-40 SU47-36 ATS48-35 O/U
Heat went 43-40 straight up, 47-36 against the spread (57% covers, average cover margin +1.3 points), 48-35 on over/unders in 2025-26, including 22-18 ATS as a favorite and 25-18 ATS as an underdog.
Last 5 (result · ATS · O/U):LLU·LLO·WWO·WWO·LWO
Cover margin by gameTotal margin by game
Points by which MIA beat (up) or missed (down) its closing linePoints the final score landed over (up) or under (down) the closing total
+4.5
@ORL+35.5
@MEM+10.5
NY+22.5
CHA−0.5
@SA−5.5
@LAL+8.5
@LAC−0.5
@DEN+10.5CHA+8.5
POR+9.5
CLE−18.5CLE−1.5@NY+0.5NY+3.5
GS+38.5
@CHI+11.5
@PHI−3.5
DAL−7.5
MIL−6.5
DET+10.5LAC−14.5@DAL+5.5@ORL−24.5
SAC−7.5@ORL−14.5
TOR+2.5
@BKN−5.5
@BOS+0.5@NY−26.5TOR+17.5
@ATL+19.5
IND+25.5DEN+10.5@DET−7.5
MIN+11.5
NO−22.5@MIN−30.5@IND+2.5
@OKC+4.5
PHX−2.5BOS+13.5OKC−17.5@GS+8.5@SAC−13.5@POR+24.5
@UTAH+13.5@PHX−12.5ORL+0.5@CHI−12.5CHI+37.5CHI−13.5ATL+3.5@BOS+17.5
@WSH−9.5UTAH+13.5@NO+27.5@ATL+4.5MEM−17.5@MIL−4.5@PHI+12.5
HOU+13.5BKN+3.5BKN+15.5@CHA+12.5DET+5.5WSH+1.5MIL−8.5ORL−24.5@CHA−11.5LAL+1.5@HOU−21.5SA+19.5@CLE−15.5@CLE−25.5@IND+12.5PHI−13.5BOS−2.5WSH−23.5@TOR−9.5@TOR+7.5@WSH+15.5ATL+4.5@CHA
@ORL+35.5@MEM+10.5NY+22.5CHA−0.5@SA−5.5@LAL+8.5@LAC−0.5@DEN+10.5CHA+8.5POR+9.5CLE−18.5CLE−1.5@NY+0.5NY+3.5GS+38.5@CHI+11.5@PHI−3.5DAL−7.5MIL−6.5DET+10.5LAC−14.5@DAL+5.5@ORL−24.5SAC−7.5@ORL−14.5TOR+2.5@BKN−5.5@BOS+0.5@NY−26.5TOR+17.5@ATL+19.5IND+25.5DEN+10.5@DET−7.5MIN+11.5NO−22.5@MIN−30.5@IND+2.5@OKC+4.5PHX−2.5BOS+13.5OKC−17.5@GS+8.5@SAC−13.5@POR+24.5@UTAH+13.5@PHX−12.5ORL+0.5@CHI−12.5CHI+37.5CHI−13.5ATL+3.5@BOS+17.5@WSH−9.5UTAH+13.5@NO+27.5@ATL+4.5MEM−17.5@MIL−4.5@PHI+12.5HOU+13.5BKN+3.5BKN+15.5@CHA+12.5DET+5.5WSH+1.5MIL−8.5ORL−24.5@CHA−11.5LAL+1.5@HOU−21.5SA+19.5@CLE−15.5@CLE−25.5@IND+12.5PHI−13.5BOS−2.5WSH−23.5@TOR−9.5@TOR+7.5@WSH+15.5ATL+4.5@CHAcovered 47didn’t cover 36avg +1.3 ptstaller = bigger margin
+30.5@ORL+27.5@MEM−8.5NY+20.5CHA−20.5@SA+17.5@LAL+11.5@LAC−8.5@DEN−2.5CHA+25.5POR+29.5CLE+6.5CLE+31.5@NY−16.5NY−28.5GS−0.5@CHI+2.5@PHI−32.5DAL−27.5MIL+33.5DET+27.5LAC−12.5@DAL−30.5@ORL−3.5SAC−9.5@ORL−31.5TOR−27.5@BKN+11.5@BOS+20.5@NY−24.5TOR−13.5@ATL+24.5IND+25.5DEN−5.5@DET+4.5MIN−16.5NO−22.5@MIN−13.5@IND+1.5@OKC+15.5PHX−2.5BOS+6.5OKC+7.5@GS+8.5@SAC+2.5@POR+18.5@UTAH−12.5@PHX+24.5ORL−8.5@CHI+11.5CHI−8.5CHI+6.5ATL−33.5@BOS−2.5@WSH−8.5UTAH+0.5@NO−18.5@ATL+17.5MEM+15.5@MIL+0.5@PHI−6.5HOU−3.5BKN+10.5BKN+18.5@CHA+0.5DET+43.5WSH−16.5MIL+1.5ORL+5.5@CHA+17.5LAL+16.5@HOU+2.5SA−20.5@CLE+36.5@CLE+7.5@IND−14.5PHI+46.5BOS+42.5WSH−24.5@TOR+5.5@TOR+13.5@WSH+20.5ATL+24.5@CHA
@ORL+27.5@MEM−8.5NY+20.5CHA−20.5@SA+17.5@LAL+11.5@LAC−8.5@DEN−2.5CHA+25.5POR+29.5CLE+6.5CLE+31.5@NY−16.5NY−28.5GS−0.5@CHI+2.5@PHI−32.5DAL−27.5MIL+33.5DET+27.5LAC−12.5@DAL−30.5@ORL−3.5SAC−9.5@ORL−31.5TOR−27.5@BKN+11.5@BOS+20.5@NY−24.5TOR−13.5@ATL+24.5IND+25.5DEN−5.5@DET+4.5MIN−16.5NO−22.5@MIN−13.5@IND+1.5@OKC+15.5PHX−2.5BOS+6.5OKC+7.5@GS+8.5@SAC+2.5@POR+18.5@UTAH−12.5@PHX+24.5ORL−8.5@CHI+11.5CHI−8.5CHI+6.5ATL−33.5@BOS−2.5@WSH−8.5UTAH+0.5@NO−18.5@ATL+17.5MEM+15.5@MIL+0.5@PHI−6.5HOU−3.5BKN+10.5BKN+18.5@CHA+0.5DET+43.5WSH−16.5MIL+1.5ORL+5.5@CHA+17.5LAL+16.5@HOU+2.5SA−20.5@CLE+36.5@CLE+7.5@IND−14.5PHI+46.5BOS+42.5WSH−24.5@TOR+5.5@TOR+13.5@WSH+20.5ATL+24.5@CHAover 48under 35avg +3.2 ptstaller = bigger margin
Straight up
43-40
52% wins
Against the spread
47-36
57% covers
Avg cover margin
+1.3
points vs the line
Over / Under
48-35
58% overs
Points for / against
120.9 / 118.6
per game
Heat 2025-26 team stats
83 games · rank among 30 teams · a longer bar is a better rank
Scoring
Points per game120.9 #2
Points per possession1.14 #10
Pace (possessions)106.2 #1
Shooting
Effective FG%54.2 #17
3-point %36.2 #10
3-point attempt rate40.6 #18
Free throw rate26.6 #16
Possessions
Turnover rate12.8 #4
Offensive rebound rate25.4 #17
Assists per game29.0 #4
Defense
Points allowed118.6 #22
Points allowed per possession1.12 #13
Opponent effective FG%54.0 #10
Opponent 3-point %35.8 #17
Turnovers forced14.1 #17
Defensive rebound rate74.8 #8
Steals per game8.6 #13
Blocks per game4.3 #23
Heat 2025-26 schedule, lines & results
83 played · 0 to go
| Date | Opponent | Line | Total | Result | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22 | @ Magic | +8.5 | 215.5 | L 121-125 | W +4.5 | O 246 |
| Oct 24 | @ Grizzlies non-conf | +3.5 | 232.5 | W 146-114 | W +35.5 | O 260 |
| Oct 26 | Knicks | +2.5 | 230.5 | W 115-107 | W +10.5 | U 222 |
| Oct 28 | Hornets | -4.5 | 240.5 | W 144-117 | W +22.5 | O 261 |
| Oct 30 | @ Spurs non-conf | +5.5 | 228.5 | L 101-107 | L -0.5 | U 208 |
| Nov 2 | @ Lakers non-conf | +4.5 | 232.5 | L 120-130 | L -5.5 | O 250 |
| Nov 3 | @ Clippers non-conf | +7.5 | 227.5 | W 120-119 | W +8.5 | O 239 |
| Nov 5 | @ Nuggets non-conf | +9.5 | 242.5 | L 112-122 | L -0.5 | U 234 |
| Nov 7 | Hornets | -7.5 | 236.5 | W 126-108 | W +10.5 | U 234 |
| Nov 8 | Trail Blazers non-conf | +3.5 | 241.5 | W 136-131 | W +8.5 | O 267 |
| Nov 10 | Cavaliers | +7.5 | 248.5 | W 140-138 | W +9.5 | O 278 |
| Nov 12 | Cavaliers | -4.5 | 239.5 | L 116-130 | L -18.5 | O 246 |
| Nov 14 | @ Knicks | +6.5 | 240.5 | L 132-140 | L -1.5 | O 272 |
| Nov 17 | Knicks | -1.5 | 244.5 | W 115-113 | W +0.5 | U 228 |
| Nov 19 | Warriors non-conf | -10.5 | 234.5 | W 110-96 | W +3.5 | U 206 |
| Nov 21 | @ Bulls | +2.5 | 250.5 | W 143-107 | W +38.5 | U 250 |
| Nov 23 | @ 76ers | +1.5 | 241.5 | W 127-117 | W +11.5 | O 244 |
| Nov 24 | Mavericks non-conf | -7.5 | 240.5 | W 106-102 | L -3.5 | U 208 |
| Nov 26 | Bucks | -10.5 | 236.5 | W 106-103 | L -7.5 | U 209 |
| Nov 29 | Pistons | -3.5 | 239.5 | L 135-138 | L -6.5 | O 273 |
| Dec 1 | Clippers non-conf | -6.5 | 235.5 | W 140-123 | W +10.5 | O 263 |
| Dec 3 | @ Mavericks non-conf | -4.5 | 238.5 | L 108-118 | L -14.5 | U 226 |
| Dec 5 | @ Magic | +6.5 | 241.5 | L 105-106 | W +5.5 | U 211 |
| Dec 6 | Kings non-conf | -8.5 | 241.5 | L 111-127 | L -24.5 | U 238 |
| Dec 9 | @ Magic | +1.5 | 234.5 | L 108-117 | L -7.5 | U 225 |
| Dec 15 | Raptors | -4.5 | 233.5 | L 96-106 | L -14.5 | U 202 |
| Dec 18 | @ Nets | -8.5 | 228.5 | W 106-95 | W +2.5 | U 201 |
| Dec 19 | @ Celtics | +7.5 | 233.5 | L 116-129 | L -5.5 | O 245 |
| Dec 21 | @ Knicks | +7.5 | 236.5 | L 125-132 | W +0.5 | O 257 |
| Dec 23 | Raptors | -5.5 | 227.5 | L 91-112 | L -26.5 | U 203 |
| Dec 26 | @ Hawks | +2.5 | 250.5 | W 126-111 | W +17.5 | U 237 |
| Dec 27 | Pacers | -6.5 | 233.5 | W 142-116 | W +19.5 | O 258 |
| Dec 29 | Nuggets non-conf | +1.5 | 244.5 | W 147-123 | W +25.5 | O 270 |
| Jan 1 | @ Pistons | +4.5 | 235.5 | W 118-112 | W +10.5 | U 230 |
| Jan 3 | Timberwolves non-conf | +2.5 | 235.5 | L 115-125 | L -7.5 | O 240 |
| Jan 4 | Pelicans non-conf | -7.5 | 247.5 | W 125-106 | W +11.5 | U 231 |
| Jan 6 | @ Timberwolves non-conf | +5.5 | 238.5 | L 94-122 | L -22.5 | U 216 |
| Jan 10 | @ Pacers | -6.5 | 235.5 | L 99-123 | L -30.5 | U 222 |
| Jan 11 | @ Thunder non-conf | +14.5 | 234.5 | L 112-124 | W +2.5 | O 236 |
| Jan 13 | Suns non-conf | -1.5 | 232.5 | W 127-121 | W +4.5 | O 248 |
| Jan 15 | Celtics | +2.5 | 235.5 | L 114-119 | L -2.5 | U 233 |
| Jan 17 | Thunder non-conf | +11.5 | 235.5 | W 122-120 | W +13.5 | O 242 |
| Jan 19 | @ Warriors non-conf | +5.5 | 239.5 | L 112-135 | L -17.5 | O 247 |
| Jan 20 | @ Kings non-conf | -4.5 | 238.5 | W 130-117 | W +8.5 | O 247 |
| Jan 22 | @ Trail Blazers non-conf | +3.5 | 234.5 | L 110-127 | L -13.5 | O 237 |
| Jan 24 | @ Jazz non-conf | -6.5 | 244.5 | W 147-116 | W +24.5 | O 263 |
| Jan 25 | @ Suns non-conf | +4.5 | 225.5 | W 111-102 | W +13.5 | U 213 |
| Jan 28 | Magic | -3.5 | 232.5 | L 124-133 | L -12.5 | O 257 |
| Jan 29 | @ Bulls | -2.5 | 237.5 | W 116-113 | W +0.5 | U 229 |
| Jan 31 | Bulls | -5.5 | 231.5 | L 118-125 | L -12.5 | O 243 |
| Feb 1 | Bulls | -5.5 | 233.5 | W 134-91 | W +37.5 | U 225 |
| Feb 3 | Hawks | -1.5 | 235.5 | L 115-127 | L -13.5 | O 242 |
| Feb 6 | @ Celtics | +5.5 | 227.5 | L 96-98 | W +3.5 | U 194 |
| Feb 8 | @ Wizards | -13.5 | 235.5 | W 132-101 | W +17.5 | U 233 |
| Feb 9 | Jazz non-conf | -5.5 | 234.5 | L 111-115 | L -9.5 | U 226 |
| Feb 11 | @ Pelicans non-conf | +1.5 | 233.5 | W 123-111 | W +13.5 | O 234 |
| Feb 20 | @ Hawks | -3.5 | 243.5 | W 128-97 | W +27.5 | U 225 |
| Feb 21 | Grizzlies non-conf | -11.5 | 238.5 | W 136-120 | W +4.5 | O 256 |
| Feb 24 | @ Bucks | -6.5 | 229.5 | L 117-128 | L -17.5 | O 245 |
| Feb 26 | @ 76ers | +2.5 | 240.5 | L 117-124 | L -4.5 | O 241 |
| Feb 28 | Rockets non-conf | +2.5 | 226.5 | W 115-105 | W +12.5 | U 220 |
| Mar 3 | Nets | -12.5 | 225.5 | W 124-98 | W +13.5 | U 222 |
| Mar 5 | Nets | -12.5 | 225.5 | W 126-110 | W +3.5 | O 236 |
| Mar 6 | @ Hornets | +7.5 | 229.5 | W 128-120 | W +15.5 | O 248 |
| Mar 8 | Pistons | +1.5 | 230.5 | W 121-110 | W +12.5 | O 231 |
| Mar 10 | Wizards | -15.5 | 235.5 | W 150-129 | W +5.5 | O 279 |
| Mar 12 | Bucks | -5.5 | 233.5 | W 112-105 | W +1.5 | U 217 |
| Mar 14 | Magic | -4.5 | 236.5 | L 117-121 | L -8.5 | O 238 |
| Mar 17 | @ Hornets | +5.5 | 236.5 | L 106-136 | L -24.5 | O 242 |
| Mar 19 | Lakers non-conf | -3.5 | 242.5 | L 126-134 | L -11.5 | O 260 |
| Mar 21 | @ Rockets non-conf | +2.5 | 228.5 | L 122-123 | W +1.5 | O 245 |
| Mar 23 | Spurs non-conf | +3.5 | 244.5 | L 111-136 | L -21.5 | O 247 |
| Mar 25 | @ Cavaliers | +2.5 | 243.5 | W 120-103 | W +19.5 | U 223 |
| Mar 27 | @ Cavaliers | +5.5 | 240.5 | L 128-149 | L -15.5 | O 277 |
| Mar 29 | @ Pacers | -8.5 | 245.5 | L 118-135 | L -25.5 | O 253 |
| Mar 30 | 76ers | +2.5 | 242.5 | W 119-109 | W +12.5 | U 228 |
| Apr 1 | Celtics | +4.5 | 229.5 | L 129-147 | L -13.5 | O 276 |
| Apr 4 | Wizards | -18.5 | 245.5 | W 152-136 | L -2.5 | O 288 |
| Apr 7 | @ Raptors | +2.5 | 240.5 | L 95-121 | L -23.5 | U 216 |
| Apr 9 | @ Raptors | +4.5 | 236.5 | L 114-128 | L -9.5 | O 242 |
| Apr 10 | @ Wizards | -15.5 | 243.5 | W 140-117 | W +7.5 | O 257 |
| Apr 12 | Hawks | -10.5 | 239.5 | W 143-117 | W +15.5 | O 260 |
| Apr 14 | @ Hornets | +5.5 | 228.5 | L 126-127 | W +4.5 | O 253 |
Heat 2025-26 ATS and over/under splits
Home, away, favorite, underdog and conference
| Situation | SU | ATS | Cover % | Avg margin | O/U | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 43-40 | 47-36 | 57% | +1.3 | 48-35 | 120.9 | 118.6 |
| Home | 26-15 | 23-18 | 56% | +1.3 | 24-17 | 123.5 | 118.3 |
| Away | 17-25 | 24-18 | 57% | +1.3 | 24-18 | 118.5 | 119.0 |
| As favorite | 25-15 | 22-18 | 55% | -0.2 | 21-19 | 123.0 | 116.0 |
| As underdog | 18-25 | 25-18 | 58% | +2.7 | 27-16 | 119.0 | 121.1 |
| In conference | 27-26 | 30-23 | 57% | +1.1 | 29-24 | 121.3 | 118.4 |
| Non-conference | 16-14 | 17-13 | 57% | +1.7 | 19-11 | 120.2 | 119.0 |