Eastern ConferencePower #1848-41 SU43-46 ATS40-49 O/U
Heat went 48-41 straight up, 43-46 against the spread (48% covers, average cover margin +0.8 points), 40-49 on over/unders in 2023-24, including 23-24 ATS as a favorite and 20-22 ATS as an underdog.
Last 5 (result · ATS · O/U):LLU·WWO·LLU·LLU·LLO
Cover margin by gameTotal margin by game
Points by which MIA beat (up) or missed (down) its closing linePoints the final score landed over (up) or under (down) the closing total
−8.5
DET+0.5
@BOS−7.5
@MIN−0.5
@MIL−10.5
BKN−1.5
WSH−0.5
LAL+4.5
@MEM+15.5
@ATL+3.5
@SA−0.5
@CHA+3.5BKN−6.5
@CHI+16.5@CHI+33.5
@CLE+3.5
@NY−7.5@BKN−2.5MIL+6.5
IND−19.5IND+12.5
@TOR−10.5CLE−2.5@CHA+3.5CHA−11.5CHI−2.5CHI−2.5MIN+14.5
@ORL+7.5ATL+3.5
PHI+18.5
@GS−11.5
@UTAH−8.5
@LAC+19.5@LAL−12.5
@PHX+2.5
HOU−3.5
OKC+1.5ORL+8.5CHA+1.5@BKN−27.5@TOR−1.5ATL−16.5@ORL−20.5MEM−24.5BOS−11.5@NY−15.5PHX+6.5
SAC−0.5@WSH−3.5LAC+22.5ORL+5.5SA+3.5BOS+33.5@MIL+7.5@PHI+13.5
@NO+18.5@SAC+3.5
@POR+0.5
@DEN−3.5UTAH−3.5DET−1.5
@DAL+1.5@OKC−13.5WSH−8.5DEN+4.5@DET−2.5@DET−4.5@PHI+5.5@CLE−25.5NO+33.5CLE−16.5GS+46.5POR−0.5@WSH+7.5NY−6.5PHI+11.5@HOU+0.5@IND+2.5@ATL−16.5DAL+8.5TOR−0.5TOR+4.5@PHI+18.5CHI−5.5@BOS+24.5@BOS−10.5BOS−3.5BOS−20.5@BOS
DET+0.5@BOS−7.5@MIN−0.5@MIL−10.5BKN−1.5WSH−0.5LAL+4.5@MEM+15.5@ATL+3.5@SA−0.5@CHA+3.5BKN−6.5@CHI+16.5@CHI+33.5@CLE+3.5@NY−7.5@BKN−2.5MIL+6.5IND−19.5IND+12.5@TOR−10.5CLE−2.5@CHA+3.5CHA−11.5CHI−2.5CHI−2.5MIN+14.5@ORL+7.5ATL+3.5PHI+18.5@GS−11.5@UTAH−8.5@LAC+19.5@LAL−12.5@PHX+2.5HOU−3.5OKC+1.5ORL+8.5CHA+1.5@BKN−27.5@TOR−1.5ATL−16.5@ORL−20.5MEM−24.5BOS−11.5@NY−15.5PHX+6.5SAC−0.5@WSH−3.5LAC+22.5ORL+5.5SA+3.5BOS+33.5@MIL+7.5@PHI+13.5@NO+18.5@SAC+3.5@POR+0.5@DEN−3.5UTAH−3.5DET−1.5@DAL+1.5@OKC−13.5WSH−8.5DEN+4.5@DET−2.5@DET−4.5@PHI+5.5@CLE−25.5NO+33.5CLE−16.5GS+46.5POR−0.5@WSH+7.5NY−6.5PHI+11.5@HOU+0.5@IND+2.5@ATL−16.5DAL+8.5TOR−0.5TOR+4.5@PHI+18.5CHI−5.5@BOS+24.5@BOS−10.5BOS−3.5BOS−20.5@BOScovered 43didn’t cover 46avg +0.8 ptstaller = bigger margin
−13.5DET+9.5@BOS−19.5@MIN+10.5@MIL−9.5BKN+10.5WSH−7.5LAL−6.5@MEM−1.5@ATL+8.5@SA−5.5@CHA+22.5BKN−13.5@CHI+8.5@CHI+12.5@CLE−12.5@NY−7.5@BKN+24.5MIL+35.5IND+35.5IND+2.5@TOR−12.5CLE+7.5@CHA−3.5CHA+26.5CHI+14.5CHI+2.5MIN+1.5@ORL−3.5ATL+4.5PHI−16.5@GS−6.5@UTAH−3.5@LAC−23.5@LAL−18.5@PHX+14.5HOU+14.5OKC−24.5ORL−34.5CHA−29.5@BKN−8.5@TOR+4.5ATL−21.5@ORL−13.5MEM+28.5BOS+13.5@NY−7.5PHX−7.5SAC−15.5@WSH−25.5LAC+2.5ORL−7.5SA−8.5BOS−3.5@MIL−14.5@PHI−18.5@NO+7.5@SAC−11.5@POR−14.5@DEN+22.5UTAH+10.5DET−8.5@DAL−19.5@OKC−10.5WSH−29.5DEN−14.5@DET−9.5@DET−16.5@PHI+4.5@CLE−9.5NO+2.5CLE−11.5GS+15.5POR+12.5@WSH+2.5NY+2.5PHI+6.5@HOU+3.5@IND+10.5@ATL−15.5DAL+8.5TOR+1.5TOR+1.5@PHI−4.5CHI−2.5@BOS+6.5@BOS−17.5BOS−15.5BOS+0.5@BOS
DET+9.5@BOS−19.5@MIN+10.5@MIL−9.5BKN+10.5WSH−7.5LAL−6.5@MEM−1.5@ATL+8.5@SA−5.5@CHA+22.5BKN−13.5@CHI+8.5@CHI+12.5@CLE−12.5@NY−7.5@BKN+24.5MIL+35.5IND+35.5IND+2.5@TOR−12.5CLE+7.5@CHA−3.5CHA+26.5CHI+14.5CHI+2.5MIN+1.5@ORL−3.5ATL+4.5PHI−16.5@GS−6.5@UTAH−3.5@LAC−23.5@LAL−18.5@PHX+14.5HOU+14.5OKC−24.5ORL−34.5CHA−29.5@BKN−8.5@TOR+4.5ATL−21.5@ORL−13.5MEM+28.5BOS+13.5@NY−7.5PHX−7.5SAC−15.5@WSH−25.5LAC+2.5ORL−7.5SA−8.5BOS−3.5@MIL−14.5@PHI−18.5@NO+7.5@SAC−11.5@POR−14.5@DEN+22.5UTAH+10.5DET−8.5@DAL−19.5@OKC−10.5WSH−29.5DEN−14.5@DET−9.5@DET−16.5@PHI+4.5@CLE−9.5NO+2.5CLE−11.5GS+15.5POR+12.5@WSH+2.5NY+2.5PHI+6.5@HOU+3.5@IND+10.5@ATL−15.5DAL+8.5TOR+1.5TOR+1.5@PHI−4.5CHI−2.5@BOS+6.5@BOS−17.5BOS−15.5BOS+0.5@BOSover 40under 49avg −2.3 ptstaller = bigger margin
Straight up
48-41
54% wins
Against the spread
43-46
48% covers
Avg cover margin
+0.8
points vs the line
Over / Under
40-49
45% overs
Points for / against
109.1 / 108.1
per game
Heat 2023-24 team stats
89 games · rank among 30 teams · a longer bar is a better rank
Scoring
Points per game109.1 #27
Points per possession1.11 #21
Pace (possessions)98.5 #29
Shooting
Effective FG%53.6 #20
3-point %36.8 #13
3-point attempt rate39.6 #14
Free throw rate25.1 #13
Possessions
Turnover rate12.9 #11
Offensive rebound rate21.5 #26
Assists per game25.5 #19
Defense
Points allowed108.1 #4
Points allowed per possession1.10 #5
Opponent effective FG%54.2 #15
Opponent 3-point %35.4 #7
Turnovers forced13.8 #9
Defensive rebound rate78.0 #3
Steals per game7.4 #16
Blocks per game3.3 #30
Heat 2023-24 schedule, lines & results
89 played · 0 to go
| Date | Opponent | Line | Total | Result | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | Pistons | -9.5 | 218.5 | W 103-102 | L -8.5 | U 205 |
| Oct 27 | @ Celtics | +8.5 | 220.5 | L 111-119 | W +0.5 | O 230 |
| Oct 28 | @ Timberwolves non-conf | +8.5 | 215.5 | L 90-106 | L -7.5 | U 196 |
| Oct 30 | @ Bucks | +7.5 | 225.5 | L 114-122 | L -0.5 | O 236 |
| Nov 1 | Nets | -6.5 | 223.5 | L 105-109 | L -10.5 | U 214 |
| Nov 3 | Wizards | -8.5 | 224.5 | W 121-114 | L -1.5 | O 235 |
| Nov 6 | Lakers non-conf | -1.5 | 222.5 | W 108-107 | L -0.5 | U 215 |
| Nov 8 | @ Grizzlies non-conf | -1.5 | 216.5 | W 108-102 | W +4.5 | U 210 |
| Nov 11 | @ Hawks | +7.5 | 227.5 | W 117-109 | W +15.5 | U 226 |
| Nov 12 | @ Spurs non-conf | -1.5 | 222.5 | W 118-113 | W +3.5 | O 231 |
| Nov 14 | @ Hornets | -6.5 | 221.5 | W 111-105 | L -0.5 | U 216 |
| Nov 16 | Nets | -3.5 | 214.5 | W 122-115 | W +3.5 | O 237 |
| Nov 18 | @ Bulls | -1.5 | 212.5 | L 97-102 | L -6.5 | U 199 |
| Nov 20 | @ Bulls | -1.5 | 209.5 | W 118-100 | W +16.5 | O 218 |
| Nov 22 | @ Cavaliers | +0.5 | 212.5 | W 129-96 | W +33.5 | O 225 |
| Nov 24 | @ Knicks | +5.5 | 210.5 | L 98-100 | W +3.5 | U 198 |
| Nov 25 | @ Nets | +7.5 | 216.5 | L 97-112 | L -7.5 | U 209 |
| Nov 28 | Bucks | +4.5 | 230.5 | L 124-131 | L -2.5 | O 255 |
| Nov 30 | Pacers | -3.5 | 238.5 | W 142-132 | W +6.5 | O 274 |
| Dec 2 | Pacers | -4.5 | 237.5 | L 129-144 | L -19.5 | O 273 |
| Dec 6 | @ Raptors | +3.5 | 212.5 | W 112-103 | W +12.5 | O 215 |
| Dec 8 | Cavaliers | +1.5 | 222.5 | L 99-111 | L -10.5 | U 210 |
| Dec 11 | @ Hornets | -4.5 | 222.5 | W 116-114 | L -2.5 | O 230 |
| Dec 13 | Hornets | -7.5 | 222.5 | W 115-104 | W +3.5 | U 219 |
| Dec 14 | Bulls | -3.5 | 213.5 | L 116-124 | L -11.5 | O 240 |
| Dec 16 | Bulls | -4.5 | 219.5 | W 118-116 | L -2.5 | O 234 |
| Dec 18 | Timberwolves non-conf | +1.5 | 217.5 | L 108-112 | L -2.5 | O 220 |
| Dec 20 | @ Magic | +5.5 | 219.5 | W 115-106 | W +14.5 | O 221 |
| Dec 22 | Hawks | -1.5 | 238.5 | W 122-113 | W +7.5 | U 235 |
| Dec 25 | 76ers | -2.5 | 227.5 | W 119-113 | W +3.5 | O 232 |
| Dec 28 | @ Warriors non-conf | +6.5 | 232.5 | W 114-102 | W +18.5 | U 216 |
| Dec 30 | @ Jazz non-conf | -3.5 | 232.5 | L 109-117 | L -11.5 | U 226 |
| Jan 1 | @ Clippers non-conf | +8.5 | 228.5 | L 104-121 | L -8.5 | U 225 |
| Jan 3 | @ Lakers non-conf | +5.5 | 229.5 | W 110-96 | W +19.5 | U 206 |
| Jan 5 | @ Suns non-conf | +3.5 | 228.5 | L 97-113 | L -12.5 | U 210 |
| Jan 8 | Rockets non-conf | -4.5 | 218.5 | W 120-113 | W +2.5 | O 233 |
| Jan 10 | Thunder non-conf | +4.5 | 233.5 | L 120-128 | L -3.5 | O 248 |
| Jan 12 | Magic | -1.5 | 219.5 | W 99-96 | W +1.5 | U 195 |
| Jan 14 | Hornets | -8.5 | 225.5 | W 104-87 | W +8.5 | U 191 |
| Jan 15 | @ Nets | +0.5 | 220.5 | W 96-95 | W +1.5 | U 191 |
| Jan 17 | @ Raptors | -3.5 | 226.5 | L 97-121 | L -27.5 | U 218 |
| Jan 19 | Hawks | -0.5 | 212.5 | L 108-109 | L -1.5 | O 217 |
| Jan 21 | @ Magic | +1.5 | 213.5 | L 87-105 | L -16.5 | U 192 |
| Jan 24 | Grizzlies non-conf | -11.5 | 214.5 | L 96-105 | L -20.5 | U 201 |
| Jan 25 | Celtics | +8.5 | 224.5 | L 110-143 | L -24.5 | O 253 |
| Jan 27 | @ Knicks | +4.5 | 220.5 | L 109-125 | L -11.5 | O 234 |
| Jan 29 | Suns non-conf | -2.5 | 230.5 | L 105-118 | L -15.5 | U 223 |
| Jan 31 | Kings non-conf | -2.5 | 228.5 | W 115-106 | W +6.5 | U 221 |
| Feb 2 | @ Wizards | -8.5 | 227.5 | W 110-102 | L -0.5 | U 212 |
| Feb 4 | Clippers non-conf | +4.5 | 223.5 | L 95-103 | L -3.5 | U 198 |
| Feb 6 | Magic | -3.5 | 213.5 | W 121-95 | W +22.5 | O 216 |
| Feb 7 | Spurs non-conf | -6.5 | 227.5 | W 116-104 | W +5.5 | U 220 |
| Feb 11 | Celtics | +7.5 | 224.5 | L 106-110 | W +3.5 | U 216 |
| Feb 13 | @ Bucks | +7.5 | 223.5 | W 123-97 | W +33.5 | U 220 |
| Feb 14 | @ 76ers | +2.5 | 227.5 | W 109-104 | W +7.5 | U 213 |
| Feb 23 | @ Pelicans non-conf | +2.5 | 219.5 | W 106-95 | W +13.5 | U 201 |
| Feb 26 | @ Kings non-conf | +7.5 | 223.5 | W 121-110 | W +18.5 | O 231 |
| Feb 27 | @ Trail Blazers non-conf | -6.5 | 213.5 | W 106-96 | W +3.5 | U 202 |
| Feb 29 | @ Nuggets non-conf | +6.5 | 214.5 | L 97-103 | W +0.5 | U 200 |
| Mar 2 | Jazz non-conf | -9.5 | 223.5 | W 126-120 | L -3.5 | O 246 |
| Mar 5 | Pistons | -11.5 | 217.5 | W 118-110 | L -3.5 | O 228 |
| Mar 7 | @ Mavericks non-conf | +4.5 | 230.5 | L 108-114 | L -1.5 | U 222 |
| Mar 8 | @ Thunder non-conf | +8.5 | 226.5 | L 100-107 | W +1.5 | U 207 |
| Mar 10 | Wizards | -11.5 | 228.5 | L 108-110 | L -13.5 | U 218 |
| Mar 13 | Nuggets non-conf | +3.5 | 217.5 | L 88-100 | L -8.5 | U 188 |
| Mar 15 | @ Pistons | -8.5 | 217.5 | W 108-95 | W +4.5 | U 203 |
| Mar 17 | @ Pistons | -5.5 | 214.5 | W 104-101 | L -2.5 | U 205 |
| Mar 18 | @ 76ers | +2.5 | 205.5 | L 91-98 | L -4.5 | U 189 |
| Mar 20 | @ Cavaliers | +2.5 | 206.5 | W 107-104 | W +5.5 | O 211 |
| Mar 22 | Pelicans non-conf | -2.5 | 208.5 | L 88-111 | L -25.5 | U 199 |
| Mar 24 | Cavaliers | -3.5 | 202.5 | W 121-84 | W +33.5 | O 205 |
| Mar 26 | Warriors non-conf | +4.5 | 216.5 | L 92-113 | L -16.5 | U 205 |
| Mar 29 | Trail Blazers non-conf | -13.5 | 208.5 | W 142-82 | W +46.5 | O 224 |
| Mar 31 | @ Wizards | -12.5 | 213.5 | W 119-107 | L -0.5 | O 226 |
| Apr 2 | Knicks | -2.5 | 205.5 | W 109-99 | W +7.5 | O 208 |
| Apr 4 | 76ers | -2.5 | 211.5 | L 105-109 | L -6.5 | O 214 |
| Apr 5 | @ Rockets non-conf | -3.5 | 216.5 | W 119-104 | W +11.5 | O 223 |
| Apr 7 | @ Pacers | +2.5 | 228.5 | L 115-117 | W +0.5 | O 232 |
| Apr 9 | @ Hawks | -3.5 | 217.5 | W 117-111 | W +2.5 | O 228 |
| Apr 10 | Mavericks non-conf | +2.5 | 218.5 | L 92-111 | L -16.5 | U 203 |
| Apr 12 | Raptors | -13.5 | 219.5 | W 125-103 | W +8.5 | O 228 |
| Apr 14 | Raptors | -15.5 | 219.5 | W 118-103 | L -0.5 | O 221 |
| Apr 17 | @ 76ers | +5.5 | 207.5 | L 104-105 | W +4.5 | O 209 |
| Apr 19 | Bulls | -2.5 | 207.5 | W 112-91 | W +18.5 | U 203 |
| Apr 21 | @ Celtics | +14.5 | 210.5 | L 94-114 | L -5.5 | U 208 |
| Apr 24 | @ Celtics | +14.5 | 205.5 | W 111-101 | W +24.5 | O 212 |
| Apr 27 | Celtics | +9.5 | 205.5 | L 84-104 | L -10.5 | U 188 |
| Apr 29 | Celtics | +10.5 | 205.5 | L 88-102 | L -3.5 | U 190 |
| May 1 | @ Celtics | +13.5 | 201.5 | L 84-118 | L -20.5 | O 202 |
Heat 2023-24 ATS and over/under splits
Home, away, favorite, underdog and conference
| Situation | SU | ATS | Cover % | Avg margin | O/U | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 48-41 | 43-46 | 48% | +0.8 | 40-49 | 109.1 | 108.1 |
| Home | 23-21 | 17-27 | 39% | -1.3 | 22-22 | 111.0 | 109.5 |
| Away | 25-20 | 26-19 | 58% | +2.8 | 18-27 | 107.3 | 106.8 |
| As favorite | 35-12 | 23-24 | 49% | +0.8 | 24-23 | 113.5 | 107.2 |
| As underdog | 13-29 | 20-22 | 48% | +0.8 | 16-26 | 104.2 | 109.2 |
| In conference | 34-25 | 29-30 | 49% | +1.2 | 32-27 | 110.0 | 108.3 |
| Non-conference | 14-16 | 14-16 | 47% | -0.1 | 8-22 | 107.3 | 107.7 |