Eastern ConferencePower #1839-49 SU41-47 ATS48-40 O/U
Heat went 39-49 straight up, 41-47 against the spread (47% covers, average cover margin -0.7 points), 48-40 on over/unders in 2024-25, including 22-24 ATS as a favorite and 19-23 ATS as an underdog.
Last 5 (result · ATS · O/U):WWO·LLO·LWO·LLU·LLO
Cover margin by gameTotal margin by game
Points by which MIA beat (up) or missed (down) its closing linePoints the final score landed over (up) or under (down) the closing total
−20.5
ORL+2.5
@CHA−0.5
DET−7.5
NY+10.5
@WSH−1.5
SAC+2.5
@PHX−9.5
@DEN+8.5
@MIN−3.5@DET+17.5
@IND−5.5@IND+14.5
PHI+2.5
DAL−8.5
MIL−0.5@CHA+1.5
TOR−7.5@TOR−9.5
@BOS+37.5
LAL+4.5PHX+11.5
CLE−0.5TOR−5.5@DET−5.5
OKC−5.5@ORL+5.5
BKN−0.5@ORL−9.5
@ATL+12.5
@HOU+2.5
NO−15.5IND−44.5
UTAH−1.5@SAC+25.5
@GS−0.5@UTAH+16.5
@POR−3.5
@LAC−4.5@LAL−16.5DEN+18.5
SA−17.5POR−23.5@MIL+2.5@BKN+7.5ORL−14.5CLE−0.5@SA−12.5
@CHI+8.5@PHI−21.5@BKN−9.5BOS−0.5@OKC−7.5@DAL+5.5@TOR−3.5@MIL−9.5@ATL+18.5ATL+7.5IND+2.5NY+7.5WSH+8.5@CLE+1.5MIN−10.5CHI−12.5CHA−16.5LAC−3.5BOS−28.5
@MEM−14.5@NY+1.5DET+0.5HOU+9.5CHA+30.5GS+8.5ATL+15.5@PHI+16.5@WSH+31.5@BOS+3.5MEM−6.5MIL+0.5PHI−9.5@CHI+34.5@NO−9.5WSH+20.5@CHI+6.5@ATL−8.5@CLE+3.5@CLE−31.5CLE−46.5CLE
ORL+2.5@CHA−0.5DET−7.5NY+10.5@WSH−1.5SAC+2.5@PHX−9.5@DEN+8.5@MIN−3.5@DET+17.5@IND−5.5@IND+14.5PHI+2.5DAL−8.5MIL−0.5@CHA+1.5TOR−7.5@TOR−9.5@BOS+37.5LAL+4.5PHX+11.5CLE−0.5TOR−5.5@DET−5.5OKC−5.5@ORL+5.5BKN−0.5@ORL−9.5@ATL+12.5@HOU+2.5NO−15.5IND−44.5UTAH−1.5@SAC+25.5@GS−0.5@UTAH+16.5@POR−3.5@LAC−4.5@LAL−16.5DEN+18.5SA−17.5POR−23.5@MIL+2.5@BKN+7.5ORL−14.5CLE−0.5@SA−12.5@CHI+8.5@PHI−21.5@BKN−9.5BOS−0.5@OKC−7.5@DAL+5.5@TOR−3.5@MIL−9.5@ATL+18.5ATL+7.5IND+2.5NY+7.5WSH+8.5@CLE+1.5MIN−10.5CHI−12.5CHA−16.5LAC−3.5BOS−28.5@MEM−14.5@NY+1.5DET+0.5HOU+9.5CHA+30.5GS+8.5ATL+15.5@PHI+16.5@WSH+31.5@BOS+3.5MEM−6.5MIL+0.5PHI−9.5@CHI+34.5@NO−9.5WSH+20.5@CHI+6.5@ATL−8.5@CLE+3.5@CLE−31.5CLE−46.5CLEcovered 41didn’t cover 47avg −0.7 ptstaller = bigger margin
+5.5ORL−3.5@CHA−15.5DET+8.5NY−8.5@WSH−3.5SAC+4.5@PHX+35.5@DEN−30.5@MIN+29.5@DET+6.5@IND+1.5@IND−17.5PHI+19.5DAL−13.5MIL−26.5@CHA+12.5TOR+12.5@TOR−23.5@BOS+8.5LAL+8.5PHX+12.5CLE−6.5TOR+30.5@DET−16.5OKC+28.5@ORL−5.5BKN−31.5@ORL+3.5@ATL−12.5@HOU+6.5NO+17.5IND+9.5UTAH+21.5@SAC−3.5@GS−32.5@UTAH−2.5@POR−8.5@LAC+9.5@LAL+16.5DEN+15.5SA+3.5POR−2.5@MIL−8.5@BKN+38.5ORL+7.5CLE−15.5@SA+28.5@CHI−11.5@PHI−21.5@BKN−22.5BOS−5.5@OKC+12.5@DAL+12.5@TOR+12.5@MIL−48.5@ATL+11.5ATL+21.5IND+8.5NY−22.5WSH−1.5@CLE−8.5MIN−2.5CHI−9.5CHA+16.5LAC−17.5BOS−8.5@MEM+1.5@NY+12.5DET−12.5HOU+12.5CHA−10.5GS+9.5ATL−1.5@PHI−0.5@WSH+15.5@BOS−8.5MEM+26.5MIL+5.5PHI+2.5@CHI+42.5@NO+21.5WSH−21.5@CHI+15.5@ATL+4.5@CLE+19.5@CLE−0.5CLE+9.5CLE
ORL−3.5@CHA−15.5DET+8.5NY−8.5@WSH−3.5SAC+4.5@PHX+35.5@DEN−30.5@MIN+29.5@DET+6.5@IND+1.5@IND−17.5PHI+19.5DAL−13.5MIL−26.5@CHA+12.5TOR+12.5@TOR−23.5@BOS+8.5LAL+8.5PHX+12.5CLE−6.5TOR+30.5@DET−16.5OKC+28.5@ORL−5.5BKN−31.5@ORL+3.5@ATL−12.5@HOU+6.5NO+17.5IND+9.5UTAH+21.5@SAC−3.5@GS−32.5@UTAH−2.5@POR−8.5@LAC+9.5@LAL+16.5DEN+15.5SA+3.5POR−2.5@MIL−8.5@BKN+38.5ORL+7.5CLE−15.5@SA+28.5@CHI−11.5@PHI−21.5@BKN−22.5BOS−5.5@OKC+12.5@DAL+12.5@TOR+12.5@MIL−48.5@ATL+11.5ATL+21.5IND+8.5NY−22.5WSH−1.5@CLE−8.5MIN−2.5CHI−9.5CHA+16.5LAC−17.5BOS−8.5@MEM+1.5@NY+12.5DET−12.5HOU+12.5CHA−10.5GS+9.5ATL−1.5@PHI−0.5@WSH+15.5@BOS−8.5MEM+26.5MIL+5.5PHI+2.5@CHI+42.5@NO+21.5WSH−21.5@CHI+15.5@ATL+4.5@CLE+19.5@CLE−0.5CLE+9.5CLEover 48under 40avg +2 ptstaller = bigger margin
Straight up
39-49
44% wins
Against the spread
41-47
47% covers
Avg cover margin
-0.7
points vs the line
Over / Under
48-40
55% overs
Points for / against
110.0 / 110.6
per game
Heat 2024-25 team stats
88 games · rank among 30 teams · a longer bar is a better rank
Scoring
Points per game110.0 #24
Points per possession1.11 #21
Pace (possessions)99.5 #28
Shooting
Effective FG%54.4 #19
3-point %36.6 #9
3-point attempt rate43.1 #11
Free throw rate22.9 #27
Possessions
Turnover rate13.8 #13
Offensive rebound rate22.4 #27
Assists per game26.3 #12
Defense
Points allowed110.6 #8
Points allowed per possession1.11 #13
Opponent effective FG%54.5 #19
Opponent 3-point %36.3 #18
Turnovers forced13.7 #17
Defensive rebound rate75.8 #9
Steals per game8.0 #16
Blocks per game3.9 #30
Heat 2024-25 schedule, lines & results
88 played · 0 to go
| Date | Opponent | Line | Total | Result | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | Magic | -1.5 | 207.5 | L 97-116 | L -20.5 | O 213 |
| Oct 26 | @ Hornets | -5.5 | 223.5 | W 114-106 | W +2.5 | U 220 |
| Oct 28 | Pistons | -8.5 | 219.5 | W 106-98 | L -0.5 | U 204 |
| Oct 30 | Knicks | +1.5 | 214.5 | L 107-116 | L -7.5 | O 223 |
| Nov 2 | @ Wizards | -9.5 | 224.5 | W 118-98 | W +10.5 | U 216 |
| Nov 4 | Kings non-conf | -0.5 | 224.5 | L 110-111 | L -1.5 | U 221 |
| Nov 6 | @ Suns non-conf | +5.5 | 222.5 | L 112-115 | W +2.5 | O 227 |
| Nov 8 | @ Nuggets non-conf | +3.5 | 221.5 | L 122-135 | L -9.5 | O 257 |
| Nov 10 | @ Timberwolves non-conf | +7.5 | 219.5 | W 95-94 | W +8.5 | U 189 |
| Nov 12 | @ Pistons | -1.5 | 214.5 | L 121-123 | L -3.5 | O 244 |
| Nov 15 | @ Pacers | +4.5 | 228.5 | W 124-111 | W +17.5 | O 235 |
| Nov 17 | @ Pacers | +3.5 | 227.5 | L 110-119 | L -5.5 | O 229 |
| Nov 18 | 76ers | -2.5 | 212.5 | W 106-89 | W +14.5 | U 195 |
| Nov 24 | Mavericks non-conf | -2.5 | 221.5 | W 123-118 | W +2.5 | O 241 |
| Nov 26 | Bucks | -5.5 | 222.5 | L 103-106 | L -8.5 | U 209 |
| Nov 27 | @ Hornets | -4.5 | 218.5 | W 98-94 | L -0.5 | U 192 |
| Nov 29 | Raptors | -8.5 | 219.5 | W 121-111 | W +1.5 | O 232 |
| Dec 1 | @ Raptors | -4.5 | 222.5 | L 116-119 | L -7.5 | O 235 |
| Dec 2 | @ Celtics | +9.5 | 220.5 | L 89-108 | L -9.5 | U 197 |
| Dec 4 | Lakers non-conf | -3.5 | 218.5 | W 134-93 | W +37.5 | O 227 |
| Dec 7 | Suns non-conf | -5.5 | 223.5 | W 121-111 | W +4.5 | O 232 |
| Dec 8 | Cavaliers | +2.5 | 222.5 | W 122-113 | W +11.5 | O 235 |
| Dec 12 | Raptors | -10.5 | 224.5 | W 114-104 | L -0.5 | U 218 |
| Dec 16 | @ Pistons | -4.5 | 218.5 | L 124-125 | L -5.5 | O 249 |
| Dec 20 | Thunder non-conf | +1.5 | 217.5 | L 97-104 | L -5.5 | U 201 |
| Dec 21 | @ Magic | +1.5 | 206.5 | L 114-121 | L -5.5 | O 235 |
| Dec 23 | Nets | -9.5 | 210.5 | W 110-95 | W +5.5 | U 205 |
| Dec 26 | @ Magic | -1.5 | 208.5 | W 89-88 | L -0.5 | U 177 |
| Dec 28 | @ Hawks | +0.5 | 226.5 | L 110-120 | L -9.5 | O 230 |
| Dec 29 | @ Rockets non-conf | +8.5 | 216.5 | W 104-100 | W +12.5 | U 204 |
| Jan 1 | Pelicans non-conf | -8.5 | 220.5 | W 119-108 | W +2.5 | O 227 |
| Jan 2 | Pacers | -2.5 | 225.5 | L 115-128 | L -15.5 | O 243 |
| Jan 4 | Jazz non-conf | -8.5 | 226.5 | L 100-136 | L -44.5 | O 236 |
| Jan 6 | @ Kings non-conf | +3.5 | 219.5 | L 118-123 | L -1.5 | O 241 |
| Jan 7 | @ Warriors non-conf | +9.5 | 215.5 | W 114-98 | W +25.5 | U 212 |
| Jan 9 | @ Jazz non-conf | -5.5 | 221.5 | W 97-92 | L -0.5 | U 189 |
| Jan 11 | @ Trail Blazers non-conf | -4.5 | 219.5 | W 119-98 | W +16.5 | U 217 |
| Jan 13 | @ Clippers non-conf | +7.5 | 215.5 | L 98-109 | L -3.5 | U 207 |
| Jan 15 | @ Lakers non-conf | +4.5 | 215.5 | L 108-117 | L -4.5 | O 225 |
| Jan 17 | Nuggets non-conf | +3.5 | 229.5 | L 113-133 | L -16.5 | O 246 |
| Jan 19 | Spurs non-conf | -2.5 | 219.5 | W 128-107 | W +18.5 | O 235 |
| Jan 21 | Trail Blazers non-conf | -8.5 | 219.5 | L 107-116 | L -17.5 | O 223 |
| Jan 23 | @ Bucks | +5.5 | 223.5 | L 96-125 | L -23.5 | U 221 |
| Jan 25 | @ Nets | -6.5 | 211.5 | W 106-97 | W +2.5 | U 203 |
| Jan 27 | Magic | +1.5 | 205.5 | W 125-119 | W +7.5 | O 244 |
| Jan 29 | Cavaliers | +5.5 | 224.5 | L 106-126 | L -14.5 | O 232 |
| Feb 1 | @ Spurs non-conf | -2.5 | 223.5 | W 105-103 | L -0.5 | U 208 |
| Feb 4 | @ Bulls | -3.5 | 228.5 | L 124-133 | L -12.5 | O 257 |
| Feb 5 | @ 76ers | +1.5 | 220.5 | W 108-101 | W +8.5 | U 209 |
| Feb 7 | @ Nets | -5.5 | 209.5 | L 86-102 | L -21.5 | U 188 |
| Feb 10 | Celtics | +8.5 | 210.5 | L 85-103 | L -9.5 | U 188 |
| Feb 12 | @ Thunder non-conf | +13.5 | 221.5 | L 101-115 | L -0.5 | U 216 |
| Feb 13 | @ Mavericks non-conf | -2.5 | 218.5 | L 113-118 | L -7.5 | O 231 |
| Feb 21 | @ Raptors | -3.5 | 218.5 | W 120-111 | W +5.5 | O 231 |
| Feb 23 | @ Bucks | +3.5 | 220.5 | L 113-120 | L -3.5 | O 233 |
| Feb 24 | @ Hawks | +2.5 | 232.5 | L 86-98 | L -9.5 | U 184 |
| Feb 26 | Hawks | -3.5 | 228.5 | W 131-109 | W +18.5 | O 240 |
| Feb 28 | Pacers | +2.5 | 223.5 | W 125-120 | W +7.5 | O 245 |
| Mar 2 | Knicks | +6.5 | 219.5 | L 112-116 | W +2.5 | O 228 |
| Mar 3 | Wizards | -8.5 | 218.5 | W 106-90 | W +7.5 | U 196 |
| Mar 5 | @ Cavaliers | +13.5 | 220.5 | L 107-112 | W +8.5 | U 219 |
| Mar 7 | Timberwolves non-conf | +3.5 | 218.5 | L 104-106 | W +1.5 | U 210 |
| Mar 8 | Bulls | -5.5 | 225.5 | L 109-114 | L -10.5 | U 223 |
| Mar 10 | Hornets | -9.5 | 216.5 | L 102-105 | L -12.5 | U 207 |
| Mar 12 | Clippers non-conf | -1.5 | 206.5 | L 104-119 | L -16.5 | O 223 |
| Mar 14 | Celtics | +8.5 | 211.5 | L 91-103 | L -3.5 | U 194 |
| Mar 15 | @ Grizzlies non-conf | +5.5 | 224.5 | L 91-125 | L -28.5 | U 216 |
| Mar 17 | @ Knicks | +6.5 | 209.5 | L 95-116 | L -14.5 | O 211 |
| Mar 19 | Pistons | +4.5 | 216.5 | L 113-116 | W +1.5 | O 229 |
| Mar 21 | Rockets non-conf | +4.5 | 212.5 | L 98-102 | W +0.5 | U 200 |
| Mar 23 | Hornets | -7.5 | 214.5 | W 122-105 | W +9.5 | O 227 |
| Mar 25 | Warriors non-conf | +4.5 | 208.5 | W 112-86 | W +30.5 | U 198 |
| Mar 27 | Hawks | -1.5 | 224.5 | W 122-112 | W +8.5 | O 234 |
| Mar 29 | @ 76ers | -7.5 | 214.5 | W 118-95 | W +15.5 | U 213 |
| Mar 31 | @ Wizards | -9.5 | 214.5 | W 120-94 | W +16.5 | U 214 |
| Apr 2 | @ Celtics | +10.5 | 211.5 | W 124-103 | W +31.5 | O 227 |
| Apr 3 | Grizzlies non-conf | +5.5 | 226.5 | L 108-110 | W +3.5 | U 218 |
| Apr 5 | Bucks | -0.5 | 209.5 | L 115-121 | L -6.5 | O 236 |
| Apr 7 | 76ers | -11.5 | 216.5 | W 117-105 | W +0.5 | O 222 |
| Apr 9 | @ Bulls | -1.5 | 227.5 | L 111-119 | L -9.5 | O 230 |
| Apr 11 | @ Pelicans non-conf | -14.5 | 214.5 | W 153-104 | W +34.5 | O 257 |
| Apr 13 | Wizards | -8.5 | 215.5 | L 118-119 | L -9.5 | O 237 |
| Apr 16 | @ Bulls | +1.5 | 220.5 | W 109-90 | W +20.5 | U 199 |
| Apr 18 | @ Hawks | -2.5 | 221.5 | W 123-114 | W +6.5 | O 237 |
| Apr 20 | @ Cavaliers | +12.5 | 216.5 | L 100-121 | L -8.5 | O 221 |
| Apr 23 | @ Cavaliers | +12.5 | 213.5 | L 112-121 | W +3.5 | O 233 |
| Apr 26 | Cavaliers | +5.5 | 211.5 | L 87-124 | L -31.5 | U 211 |
| Apr 28 | Cavaliers | +8.5 | 211.5 | L 83-138 | L -46.5 | O 221 |
Heat 2024-25 ATS and over/under splits
Home, away, favorite, underdog and conference
| Situation | SU | ATS | Cover % | Avg margin | O/U | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 39-49 | 41-47 | 47% | -0.7 | 48-40 | 110.0 | 110.6 |
| Home | 19-24 | 22-21 | 51% | -2.4 | 26-17 | 110.4 | 111.2 |
| Away | 20-25 | 19-26 | 42% | +0.9 | 22-23 | 109.7 | 110.0 |
| As favorite | 28-18 | 22-24 | 48% | +0.2 | 26-20 | 113.8 | 108.2 |
| As underdog | 11-31 | 19-23 | 45% | -1.6 | 22-20 | 105.9 | 113.1 |
| In conference | 26-32 | 26-32 | 45% | -1.8 | 33-25 | 109.6 | 110.8 |
| Non-conference | 13-17 | 15-15 | 50% | +1.4 | 15-15 | 110.9 | 110.2 |