CU Events Center · at Colorado · Conference game
Closing line
COLO -5.5✓ COLO covered by 3.5
COLO -5.5✓ COLO covered by 3.5Closing total163.5Under by 14.5
 KSU | This season | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| 11-16 | Record | 15-12 |
| 11-16 | ATS | 13-14 |
| 14-13 | O/U | 12-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: KSU 79–84 COLO · ✓ COLO (66%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| KSU | 33 | 37 | 70 |
| COLO | 42 | 37 | 79 |
1st half: KSU 33, COLO 42 (COLO by 9). The model had COLO by 2.7 and a total of 76.3 (actual 75).
Team stats
| KSU | COLO | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-67 39% | Field goals | 25-58 43% |
| 5-23 22% | 3-pointers | 9-25 36% |
| 13-18 72% | Free throws | 20-28 71% |
| 36 9 off | Rebounds | 43 8 off |
| 13 | Assists | 16 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 7 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 19 | Fouls | 15 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 18 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| KSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PJ Haggerty G | 39 | 25 | 10 | 4 | 10-21 | 1-3 |
| David Castillo G | 37 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 4-12 | 0-4 |
| Nate Johnson G | 33 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 3-9 | 0-5 |
| Taj Manning F | 28 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Khamari McGriff F | 16 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| CJ Jones G | 18 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Andrej Kostic G | 17 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3-9 | 3-8 |
| Elias Rapieque F | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Marcus Johnson F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mobi Ikegwuruka, Exavier Wilson, Dorin Buca, Stephen Osei, Abdi Bashir Jr.
| COLO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Johnson G | 33 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 5-11 | 1-5 |
| Barrington Hargress G | 31 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 5-10 | 2-3 |
| Sebastian Rancik F | 29 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| Bangot Dak F | 28 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| Jalin Holland G | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ian Inman G | 19 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 5-7 | 5-7 |
| Alon Michaeli F | 17 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Josiah Sanders G | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Tacko Ifaola C | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Felix Kossaras G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Elijah Malone, Nick Randall, Jon Mani, Andrew Crawford, Leonardo Van Elswyk
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCOLO -5.5
ModelCOLO -4.8
Model edgeKSU +0.7
L COLO covered
Total
Market163.5
Model163.2
Model edgeUnder 0.3
W Under
Projected score
KSU 79.2 · COLO 84
KSU 70 · COLO 79
Win probability
COLO 66%
1st half
Spread
COLO -2.7
COLO -9.0
Total
76.3
75 points
Projected score
KSU 36.8 · COLO 39.5
KSU 33 · COLO 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCOLO -6.5
1 → KSU
CloseCOLO -5.5
1 pt toward KSU
Total
Open165.5
▼ 2
Close163.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
KSU +225 · COLO -278
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened COLO -6.5 · closed COLO -5.5 · moved 1 toward KSUmodel COLO -5
model COLO -5
Opened 165.5 · closed 163.5 · moved 2 downmodel 163
model 163
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| KSU | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| COLO | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
KSU 1–0 COLOKSU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · KSU 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024-25 | COLO 56 @ KSU 65 | KSU -6.5 | KSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Kansas St
27 games played
Straight up
11-16
41% wins
Against the spread
11-16
41% covers · avg −3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-13
52% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs UNCG | W 93-64 | -18.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | vs BELL | W 98-71 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 13 | vs CAL | W 99-96 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 17 | vs TLSA | W 84-83 | -12.5 | L −11.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 20 | vs MSST | W 98-77 | +2.5 | W +23.5 | 164.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 21 | vs NEB | L 85-86 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | @ IU | L 69-86 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 164.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs BGSU | L 66-82 | -12.5 | L −28.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs HALL | L 67-78 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 8 | vs MVSU | W 108-49 | -38.5 | W +20.5 | 160.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 13 | @ CREI | W 83-76 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 20 | vs SDAK | W 106-76 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 176.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 28 | vs ULM | W 94-85 | -32.5 | L −23.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | vs BYU | L 73-83 | +7.5 | L −2.5 | 174.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 7 | @ ARIZ | L 76-101 | +17.5 | L −7.5 | 171.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 10 | @ ASU | L 84-87 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 169.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 14 | vs UCF | L 73-82 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 170.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 17 | @ OKST | L 83-84 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 175.5 | U 167 |
| Jan 20 | vs UTAH | W 81-78 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 168.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 24 | vs KU | L 62-86 | +4.5 | L −19.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 27 | @ WVU | L 54-59 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 113 |
| Feb 1 | vs ISU | L 61-95 | +12.5 | L −21.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Feb 7 | @ TCU | L 82-84 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 11 | vs CIN | L 62-91 | +2.5 | L −26.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 14 | @ HOU | L 64-78 | +22.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 17 | vs BAY | W 90-74 | +3.5 | W +19.5 | 159.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 21 | @ TTU | L 72-100 | +12.5 | L −15.5 | 158.5 | O 172 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsUNCG
UNCGW 93-64
+10.5
8
vsBELL
BELLW 98-71
−1.5
13
vsCAL
CALW 99-96
−3.5
17
vsTLSA
TLSAW 84-83
−11.5
20
vsMSST
MSSTW 98-77
+23.5
21
vsNEB
NEBL 85-86
+0.5
25
@IU
IUL 69-86
−6.5
1
vsBGSU
BGSUL 66-82
−28.5
6
vsHALL
HALLL 67-78
−13.5
8
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-49
+20.5
13
@CREI
CREIW 83-76
+11.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 106-76
+8.5
28
vsULM
ULMW 94-85
−23.5
3
vsBYU
BYUL 73-83
−2.5
7
@ARIZ
ARIZL 76-101
−7.5
10
@ASU
ASUL 84-87
−1.5
14
vsUCF
UCFL 73-82
−11.5
17
@OKST
OKSTL 83-84
+1.5
20
vsUTAH
UTAHW 81-78
−7.5
24
vsKU
KUL 62-86
−19.5
27
@WVU
WVUL 54-59
+2.5
1
vsISU
ISUL 61-95
−21.5
7
@TCU
TCUL 82-84
+7.5
11
vsCIN
CINL 62-91
−26.5
14
@HOU
HOUL 64-78
+8.5
17
vsBAY
BAYW 90-74
+19.5
21
@TTU
TTUL 72-100
−15.5
covered 11didn’t cover 16avg −3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsUNCG
UNCGW 93-64
+8.5
8
vsBELL
BELLW 98-71
+0.5
13
vsCAL
CALW 99-96
+30.5
17
vsTLSA
TLSAW 84-83
+6.5
20
vsMSST
MSSTW 98-77
+10.5
21
vsNEB
NEBL 85-86
+2.5
25
@IU
IUL 69-86
−9.5
1
vsBGSU
BGSUL 66-82
−11.5
6
vsHALL
HALLL 67-78
−3.5
8
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-49
−3.5
13
@CREI
CREIW 83-76
−0.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 106-76
+5.5
28
vsULM
ULMW 94-85
+9.5
3
vsBYU
BYUL 73-83
−18.5
7
@ARIZ
ARIZL 76-101
+5.5
10
@ASU
ASUL 84-87
+1.5
14
vsUCF
UCFL 73-82
−15.5
17
@OKST
OKSTL 83-84
−8.5
20
vsUTAH
UTAHW 81-78
−9.5
24
vsKU
KUL 62-86
−10.5
27
@WVU
WVUL 54-59
−33.5
1
vsISU
ISUL 61-95
−0.5
7
@TCU
TCUL 82-84
+10.5
11
vsCIN
CINL 62-91
+5.5
14
@HOU
HOUL 64-78
−2.5
17
vsBAY
BAYW 90-74
+4.5
21
@TTU
TTUL 72-100
+13.5
over 14under 13avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Colorado
27 games played
Straight up
15-12
56% wins
Against the spread
13-14
48% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-15
44% overs · avg +3.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MTST | W 84-78 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 8 | vs EWU | W 102-97 | -16.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 14 | vs PROV | W 97-88 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 163.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 17 | vs ALST | W 94-66 | -22.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs UCD | W 95-79 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 27 | vs SF | W 79-69 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs WASH | W 81-68 | +2.5 | W +15.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 1 | vs CBU | W 78-70 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | @ CSU | L 86-91 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 13 | vs UTSA | W 88-64 | -22.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 17 | vs PRST | W 84-73 | -16.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 20 | vs STAN | L 68-77 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 28 | vs UNCO | L 81-86 | -15.5 | L −20.5 | 158.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 3 | @ASU | W 95-89 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 7 | vsUTAH | W 85-73 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 10 | vsTTU | L 71-73 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 14 | @CIN | L 68-77 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 17 | @WVU | L 61-72 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 20 | vsKU | L 69-75 | +4.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | vsUCF | L 86-95 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 29 | @ISU | L 67-97 | +17.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 1 | vsTCU | W 87-61 | +1.5 | W +27.5 | 153.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 4 | @BAY | L 67-86 | +7.5 | L −11.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 7 | vsASU | W 78-70 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 11 | @TTU | L 44-78 | +13.5 | L −20.5 | 155.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 14 | @BYU | L 86-90 | +15.5 | W +11.5 | 161.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 21 | vsOKST | W 83-69 | -3.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-78
−5.5
8
vsEWU
EWUW 102-97
−11.5
14
vsPROV
PROVW 97-88
+7.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 94-66
+5.5
21
vsUCD
UCDW 95-79
+1.5
27
vsSF
SFW 79-69
+11.5
28
vsWASH
WASHW 81-68
+15.5
1
vsCBU
CBUW 78-70
−5.5
6
@CSU
CSUL 86-91
−3.5
13
vsUTSA
UTSAW 88-64
+1.5
17
vsPRST
PRSTW 84-73
−5.5
20
vsSTAN
STANL 68-77
−11.5
28
vsUNCO
UNCOL 81-86
−20.5
3
@ASU
ASUW 95-89
+7.5
7
vsUTAH
UTAHW 85-73
+2.5
10
vsTTU
TTUL 71-73
+3.5
14
@CIN
CINL 68-77
−0.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 61-72
−4.5
20
vsKU
KUL 69-75
−1.5
24
vsUCF
UCFL 86-95
−12.5
29
@ISU
ISUL 67-97
−12.5
1
vsTCU
TCUW 87-61
+27.5
4
@BAY
BAYL 67-86
−11.5
7
vsASU
ASUW 78-70
+4.5
11
@TTU
TTUL 44-78
−20.5
14
@BYU
BYUL 86-90
+11.5
21
vsOKST
OKSTW 83-69
+10.5
covered 13didn’t cover 14avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-78
+13.5
8
vsEWU
EWUW 102-97
+46.5
14
vsPROV
PROVW 97-88
+21.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 94-66
+3.5
21
vsUCD
UCDW 95-79
+21.5
27
vsSF
SFW 79-69
−2.5
28
vsWASH
WASHW 81-68
−2.5
1
vsCBU
CBUW 78-70
−2.5
6
@CSU
CSUL 86-91
+27.5
13
vsUTSA
UTSAW 88-64
−2.5
17
vsPRST
PRSTW 84-73
+6.5
20
vsSTAN
STANL 68-77
−9.5
28
vsUNCO
UNCOL 81-86
+8.5
3
@ASU
ASUW 95-89
+27.5
7
vsUTAH
UTAHW 85-73
−4.5
10
vsTTU
TTUL 71-73
−17.5
14
@CIN
CINL 68-77
−0.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 61-72
−8.5
20
vsKU
KUL 69-75
−11.5
24
vsUCF
UCFL 86-95
+21.5
29
@ISU
ISUL 67-97
+11.5
1
vsTCU
TCUW 87-61
−5.5
4
@BAY
BAYL 67-86
−2.5
7
vsASU
ASUW 78-70
−10.5
11
@TTU
TTUL 44-78
−33.5
14
@BYU
BYUL 86-90
+14.5
21
vsOKST
OKSTW 83-69
−10.5
over 12under 15avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Kansas St
11-16 overall · 2-12 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Texas Tech72–100
- Wvs Baylor90–74
- L@ Houston64–78
- Lvs Cincinnati62–91
- L@ TCU82–84
4 days since their last game.
Colorado
15-12 overall · 5-9 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Oklahoma St83–69
- L@ BYU86–90
- L@ Texas Tech44–78
- Wvs Arizona St78–70
- L@ Baylor67–86
4 days since their last game.