Bramlage Coliseum · at Kansas St
Closing line
KSU -38.5✓ KSU covered by 20.5
Closing total160.5Under by 3.5
| This season | KSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-8 | Record | 5-4 |
| 5-3 | ATS | 3-6 |
| 5-3 | O/U | 6-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MVSU 62–98 KSU · ✓ KSU (100%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MVSU | 21 | 28 | 49 |
| KSU | 55 | 53 | 108 |
1st half: MVSU 21, KSU 55 (KSU by 34). The model had KSU by 21.5 and a total of 74.7 (actual 76).
Team stats
| MVSU | KSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 16-62 26% | Field goals | 38-66 58% |
| 4-18 22% | 3-pointers | 19-36 53% |
| 13-16 81% | Free throws | 13-16 81% |
| 30 12 off | Rebounds | 45 12 off |
| 11 | Assists | 30 |
| 8 | Steals | 13 |
| 4 | Blocks | 6 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 10 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 27 |
Players
| MVSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike James G | 38 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 10-23 | 3-8 |
| Daniel Mayfield F | 32 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1-11 | 0-2 |
| X'Zaevion Barnett G | 25 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Delkedric Holmes G | 17 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Lamont Sams F | 15 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mussa Mzein C | 30 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-1 |
| Patrick Punch G | 26 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0-7 | 0-3 |
| Chance Sutton F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Antonio Sisk G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jonathan Pace, Samuel Murray, Tyrone Iroghama, Derrick Singleton, George Ivory III
| KSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PJ Haggerty G | 24 | 28 | 4 | 3 | 11-14 | 5-6 |
| Nate Johnson G | 21 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5-7 | 2-3 |
| Khamari McGriff F | 20 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Elias Rapieque F | 19 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Abdi Bashir Jr. G | 16 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 5-10 | 5-10 |
| Bench | ||||||
| David Castillo G | 25 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 6-11 | 5-8 |
| Dorin Buca C | 20 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| CJ Jones G | 18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Taj Manning F | 18 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Andrej Kostic G | 12 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Marcus Johnson F | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
Did not play: Mobi Ikegwuruka, Exavier Wilson, Stephen Osei
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketKSU -38.5
ModelKSU -35.9
Model edgeMVSU +2.6
L KSU covered
Total
Market160.5
Model159.7
Model edgeUnder 0.8
W Under
Projected score
MVSU 61.9 · KSU 97.8
MVSU 49 · KSU 108
Win probability
KSU 100%
1st half
Spread
KSU -21.5
KSU -34.0
Total
74.7
76 points
Projected score
MVSU 26.6 · KSU 48.1
MVSU 21 · KSU 55
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenKSU -29.5
9 → KSU
CloseKSU -38.5
9 pts toward KSU
Total
Open154.5
▲ 6
Close160.5
Up 6 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened KSU -29.5 · closed KSU -38.5 · moved 9 toward KSUmodel KSU -36
model KSU -36
Opened 154.5 · closed 160.5 · moved 6 upmodel 159.5
model 159.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 0% | 5-3 63% | 5-3 63% | |
| 5-4 56% | 3-6 33% | 6-3 67% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MVSU 0–1 KSUKSU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · MVSU 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2024-25 | MVSU 56 @ KSU 74 | KSU -39.5 | MVSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Miss Valley St
8 games played
Straight up
0-8
0% wins
Against the spread
5-3
63% covers · avg +3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-3
63% overs · avg +7.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 55-106 | +34.5 | L −16.5 | 145.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 7 | @ | L 60-108 | +38.5 | L −9.5 | 159.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 12 | @ | L 56-88 | +41.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 14 | vs | L 75-81 | +26.5 | W +20.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 15 | vs | L 73-80 | +20.5 | W +13.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 22 | @ | L 70-86 | +21.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 25 | @ | L 84-120 | +42.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | O 204 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 52-66 | +9.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 118 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
UAB
L 55-106
−16.5
7
@
MUR
L 60-108
−9.5
12
@
HAW
L 56-88
+9.5
14
vs
UTU
L 75-81
+20.5
15
vs
MAN
L 73-80
+13.5
22
@
CSUB
L 70-86
+5.5
25
@
TA&M
L 84-120
+6.5
3
@
ULM
L 52-66
−4.5
covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
UAB
L 55-106
+15.5
7
@
MUR
L 60-108
+8.5
12
@
HAW
L 56-88
−7.5
14
vs
UTU
L 75-81
+10.5
15
vs
MAN
L 73-80
−1.5
22
@
CSUB
L 70-86
+17.5
25
@
TA&M
L 84-120
+49.5
3
@
ULM
L 52-66
−31.5
over 5under 3avg +7.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kansas St
9 games played
Straight up
5-4
56% wins
Against the spread
3-6
33% covers · avg −3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-3
67% overs · avg +3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs | W 93-64 | -18.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | vs | W 98-71 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 13 | vs | W 99-96 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 17 | vs | W 84-83 | -12.5 | L −11.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 20 | vs | W 98-77 | +2.5 | W +23.5 | 164.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 21 | vs | L 85-86 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | @ | L 69-86 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 164.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs | L 66-82 | -12.5 | L −28.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs | L 67-78 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
UNCG
W 93-64
+10.5
8
vs
BELL
W 98-71
−1.5
13
vs
CAL
W 99-96
−3.5
17
vs
TLSA
W 84-83
−11.5
20
vs
MSST
W 98-77
+23.5
21
vs
NEB
L 85-86
+0.5
25
@
IU
L 69-86
−6.5
1
vs
BGSU
L 66-82
−28.5
6
vs
HALL
L 67-78
−13.5
covered 3didn’t cover 6avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vs
UNCG
W 93-64
+8.5
8
vs
BELL
W 98-71
+0.5
13
vs
CAL
W 99-96
+30.5
17
vs
TLSA
W 84-83
+6.5
20
vs
MSST
W 98-77
+10.5
21
vs
NEB
L 85-86
+2.5
25
@
IU
L 69-86
−9.5
1
vs
BGSU
L 66-82
−11.5
6
vs
HALL
L 67-78
−3.5
over 6under 3avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Miss Valley St
0-8 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UL Monroe52–66
- L@ Texas A&M84–120
- L@ Bakersfield70–86
- Lvs Manhattan73–80
- Lvs Utah Tech75–81
5 days since their last game.
Kansas St
5-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Seton Hall67–78
- Lvs Bowling Green66–82
- L@ Indiana69–86
- Lvs Nebraska85–86
- Wvs Mississippi St98–77
2 days since their last game.