NCAAB

Monday, December 8, 2025

Day in numbers6 finalFavorites 3-3 ATS1 upsetO/U 2-4Model Favorite 6-0Open
Games66 final · 0 to play
Lines moved31+ pt since the open · 6 with a line
Totals moved61+ pt since the open
Favorites ATS3-350% covered
Upsets1outright
Over / Under2-433% over
Model Favorite6-0100% won
GameSpread, open → closeMovedTotalMoved
MVSU @ KSUKSU -29.5 → KSU -38.59 → KSU154.5 → 160.5▲ 6
SCST @ CHSOCHSO -10.5 → CHSO -12.52 → CHSO151.5 → 156.5▲ 5
SOU @ TEXTEX -22.5 → TEX -22.5no move154.5 → 158.5▲ 4
GRAM @ USMUSM -7.5 → USM -8.51 → USM139.5 → 142.5▲ 3
LAF @ PENNPENN -7.5 → PENN -7.5no move152.5 → 150.5▼ 2
UIW @ NOLAUIW -1.5 → UIW -1.5no move150.5 → 148.5▼ 2
Biggest moves since the open, in points. A move says where the market went, not where it should have.
Line movedCoveredCover rate
1+ pts5579-5698-549%
2+ pts2172-2236-249%
3+ pts880-90849%
5+ pts139-14948%
Did the side the line moved toward cover the closing number? Since 2023-24, when ESPN's opening lines begin. A break-even bet at standard prices needs 52.4%.
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FinalNon-conference
Lafayette
2-7 · #310
72
Penn
4-4 · #137
74
Spread
PENN -7.5
✓ LAF W ATS
Total
150.5 ▼2
▼ Under 146
Projected
70–79
✓ PENN won
Model: PENN by 1.3 ✗ Model: Under 1.0 ✓
Game card ›
FinalNon-conference
SC State
0-9 · #353
44
Charleston So
3-5 · #326
84
Spread
CHSO -12.5
✓ CHSO W ATS
Total
156.5 ▲5
▼ Under 128
Projected
73–80
✓ CHSO won
Model: SCST by 5.5 ✗ Model: Under 3.4 ✓
Game card ›
FinalNon-conference
Grambling
2-5 · #338
60
Southern Miss
3-4 · #224
68
Spread
USM -8.5
✓ GRAM W ATS
Total
142.5 ▲3
▼ Under 128
Projected
69–76
✓ USM won
Model: GRAM by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 2.9 ✗
Game card ›
FinalNon-conference
Southern
1-4 · #309
69
Texas
5-3 · #11
95
Spread
TEX -22.5
✓ TEX W ATS
Total
158.5 ▲4
▲ Over 164
Projected
71–91
✓ TEX won
Model: SOU by 2.0 ✗ Model: Over 3.8 ✓
Game card ›
FinalNon-conference
Miss Valley St
0-8 · #366
49
Kansas St
5-4 · #83
108
Spread
KSU -38.5
✓ KSU W ATS
Total
160.5 ▲6
▼ Under 157
Projected
62–98
✓ KSU won
Model: MVSU by 2.6 ✗ Model: Under 0.8 ✓
Game card ›
FinalConference
Incarnate Word
2-4 · #289
83
LSU N Orleans
2-7 · #276
84
Spread
UIW -1.5
✓ NOLA W ATS
Total
148.5 ▼2
▲ Over 167
Projected
77–77
✓ NOLA won
Model: NOLA by 1.6 ✓ Model: Over 6.0 ✓
Game card ›
StatusMatchupSpreadTotalModel lineSpread edgeModel totalTotal edgeWin probModel
Final
Lafayette
2-7 · #310
72
Penn
4-4 · #137
74
 PENN -7.5 150.5 PENN -8.8 PENN +1.3 149.5 Under 1.0 78% PENN L W ›
Final
SC State
0-9 · #353
44
Charleston So
3-5 · #326
84
 CHSO -12.5 156.5 CHSO -7.0 SCST +5.5 153.1 Under 3.4 73% CHSO L W ›
Final
Grambling
2-5 · #338
60
Southern Miss
3-4 · #224
68
 USM -8.5 142.5 USM -7.0 GRAM +1.5 145.4 Over 2.9 73% USM W L ›
Final
Southern
1-4 · #309
69
Texas
5-3 · #11
95
 TEX -22.5 158.5 TEX -20.5 SOU +2.0 162.3 Over 3.8 96% TEX L W ›
Final
Miss Valley St
0-8 · #366
49
Kansas St
5-4 · #83
108
 KSU -38.5 160.5 KSU -35.9 MVSU +2.6 159.7 Under 0.8 100% KSU L W ›
Final
Incarnate Word
2-4 · #289
83
LSU N Orleans
2-7 · #276
84
 UIW -1.5 148.5 NOLA -0.1 NOLA +1.6 154.5 Over 6.0 50% NOLA W W ›
The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record