Reed Green Coliseum · at Southern Miss
Closing line
USM -8.5✓ GRAM covered by 0.5
USM -8.5✓ GRAM covered by 0.5Closing total142.5Under by 14.5
 GRAM | This season | USM |
|---|---|---|
| 2-5 | Record | 3-4 |
| 4-3 | ATS | 3-4 |
| 2-5 | O/U | 5-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GRAM 69–76 USM · ✓ USM (73%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GRAM | 31 | 29 | 60 |
| USM | 29 | 39 | 68 |
1st half: GRAM 31, USM 29 (GRAM by 2). The model had USM by 4.1 and a total of 68.1 (actual 60).
Team stats
| GRAM | USM | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-51 37% | Field goals | 27-56 48% |
| 7-13 54% | 3-pointers | 3-16 19% |
| 15-25 60% | Free throws | 11-14 79% |
| 35 16 off | Rebounds | 32 10 off |
| 10 | Assists | 14 |
| 8 | Steals | 12 |
| 1 | Blocks | 7 |
| 21 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| GRAM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roderick Coffee III F | 36 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 5-13 | 3-5 |
| Antonio Munoz F | 31 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 5-11 | 0-0 |
| Randarius Jones C | 23 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Rickey Ballard F | 20 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Jimel Lane F | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Derrius Ward G | 31 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Jamil Muttilib G | 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Mekhi Fitts F | 17 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Devyn Franklin G | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| P.J. Edwards G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chancellor Perkins, Richard Amaefule, Nazar Mahmoud, Saliou Seye
| USM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tylik Weeks F | 40 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 7-19 | 0-3 |
| Dylan Brumfield G | 36 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6-6 | 0-0 |
| Isaac Taveras G | 35 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 8-11 | 0-1 |
| Curt Lewis G | 30 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2-7 | 2-5 |
| Djahi Binet F | 19 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tegra Izay C | 14 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Israel Hart G | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Fallou Diagne C | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Chiante' Tramble G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Brewer Carruth G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Dalyn Brandon, Felipe Patino, Chandler Watts, Jett Montgomery, EJ Paymon, IJ Ezuma, Robert Cowherd, Blake Lander
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSM -7.5
1 → USM
CloseUSM -8.5
1 pt toward USM
Total
Open139.5
▲ 3
Close142.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
GRAM +320 · USM -410
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USM -7.5 · closed USM -8.5 · moved 1 toward USMmodel USM -7
model USM -7
Opened 139.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 3 upmodel 145.5
model 145.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | USM -8.5 | USM -7.0 | GRAM +1.5 | W GRAM covered |
| Total | 142.5 | 145.4 | Over 2.9 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | GRAM 69.2 · USM 76.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | USM -4.1 | GRAM -2.0 |
| 1H total | 68.1 | 60 |
| 1H projected score | GRAM 32 · USM 36.1 | GRAM 31 · USM 29 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GRAMlast 7 | 2-5 29% | 4-3 57% | 2-5 29% |
| USMlast 7 | 3-4 43% | 3-4 43% | 5-2 71% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
GRAM 1–0 USMGRAM leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · GRAM 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025-26 | USM 70 @ GRAM 75 | GRAM -2.5 | GRAM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Grambling
7 games played
Straight up
2-5
29% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-5
29% overs · avg −2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@
ISU
ISUL 62-102
−6.5
9
@
HOW
HOWW 73-70
+7.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 75-70
+2.5
18
@
USD
USDL 68-78
−3.5
21
@
CBU
CBUL 59-72
+1.5
24
@
UCR
UCRL 74-83
−5.5
2
@
TULN
TULNL 63-65
+9.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@ISU
ISUL 62-102
+19.5
9
@HOW
HOWW 73-70
−9.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 75-70
−3.5
18
@USD
USDL 68-78
−3.5
21
@CBU
CBUL 59-72
−13.5
24
@UCR
UCRL 74-83
+12.5
2
@TULN
TULNL 63-65
−20.5
over 2under 5avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Southern Miss
7 games played
Straight up
3-4
43% wins
Against the spread
3-4
43% covers · avg +3.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-2
71% overs · avg +5.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
BUF
BUFL 79-85
−2.5
9
@
SC
SCL 79-83
+13.5
13
@GRAM
GRAML 70-75
−2.5
22
vs
UNF
UNFW 92-83
−0.5
23
vs
UTM
UTMW 70-60
+11.5
3
@
RAD
RADW 82-75
+10.5
6
@
MIA
MIAL 64-88
−4.5
covered 3didn’t cover 4avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BUF
BUFL 79-85
+10.5
9
@SC
SCL 79-83
+14.5
13
@GRAM
GRAML 70-75
−3.5
22
vsUNF
UNFW 92-83
+20.5
23
vsUTM
UTMW 70-60
−16.5
3
@RAD
RADW 82-75
+4.5
6
@MIA
MIAL 64-88
+6.5
over 5under 2avg +5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Grambling
2-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Tulane63–65
- L@ UC Riverside74–83
- L@ CA Baptist59–72
- L@ San Diego68–78
- Wvs Southern Miss75–70
6 days since their last game.
Southern Miss
3-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Miami64–88
- W@ Radford82–75
- Wvs UT Martin70–60
- Wvs North Florida92–83
- L@ Grambling70–75
2 days since their last game.