Fredrick C. Hobdy Assembly Center · at Grambling
Closing line
GRAM -2.5✓ GRAM covered by 2.5
GRAM -2.5✓ GRAM covered by 2.5Closing total148.5Under by 3.5
 USM | This season | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Record | 1-1 |
| 1-1 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 2-0 | O/U | 1-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USM 74–74 GRAM · ✗ USM (52%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USM | 30 | 40 | 70 |
| GRAM | 42 | 33 | 75 |
1st half: USM 30, GRAM 42 (GRAM by 12). The model had USM by 0.5 and a total of 69.4 (actual 72).
Team stats
| USM | GRAM | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-63 38% | Field goals | 27-50 54% |
| 4-16 25% | 3-pointers | 9-20 45% |
| 18-29 62% | Free throws | 12-16 75% |
| 37 18 off | Rebounds | 28 5 off |
| 12 | Assists | 19 |
| 15 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 7 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 16 | Fouls | 20 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| USM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tylik Weeks F | 36 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 6-9 | 2-2 |
| Isaac Taveras G | 36 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 8-22 | 0-2 |
| Curt Lewis G | 31 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-6 |
| Dylan Brumfield G | 20 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Djahi Binet F | 16 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Israel Hart G | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-9 | 0-4 |
| IJ Ezuma F | 16 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Felipe Patino G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| EJ Paymon F | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Chiante' Tramble G | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Brewer Carruth G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Fallou Diagne C | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tegra Izay C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chandler Watts, Jett Montgomery, Dalyn Brandon, Robert Cowherd, Blake Lander
| GRAM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roderick Coffee III F | 35 | 20 | 3 | 8 | 7-10 | 4-6 |
| Jimel Lane F | 35 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-2 |
| Derrius Ward G | 30 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Antonio Munoz F | 25 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Devyn Franklin G | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jamil Muttilib G | 31 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 5-8 | 5-8 |
| Randarius Jones C | 27 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Rickey Ballard F | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Richard Amaefule F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chancellor Perkins, Mekhi Fitts, P.J. Edwards, Saliou Seye, Nazar Mahmoud
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSM -1.5
4 → GRAM
CloseGRAM -2.5
4 pts toward GRAM
Total
Open153.5
▼ 5
Close148.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
USM +120 · GRAM -140
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USM -1.5 · closed GRAM -2.5 · moved 4 toward GRAMmodel USM -0.5
model USM -0.5
Opened 153.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 5 downmodel 148
model 148
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | GRAM -2.5 | USM -0.6 | USM +3.1 | L GRAM covered |
| Total | 148.5 | 148.2 | Under 0.3 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | USM 74.4 · GRAM 73.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | USM -0.5 | GRAM -12.0 |
| 1H total | 69.4 | 72 |
| 1H projected score | USM 35 · GRAM 34.5 | USM 30 · GRAM 42 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USMlast 2 | 0-2 0% | 1-1 50% | 2-0 100% |
| GRAMlast 2 | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Southern Miss
2 games played
Straight up
0-2
0% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg +5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-0
100% overs · avg +12.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
BUF
BUFL 79-85
−2.5
9
@
SC
SCL 79-83
+13.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BUF
BUFL 79-85
+10.5
9
@SC
SCL 79-83
+14.5
over 2under 0avg +12.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Grambling
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg +5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@
ISU
ISUL 62-102
−6.5
9
@
HOW
HOWW 73-70
+7.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@ISU
ISUL 62-102
+19.5
9
@HOW
HOWW 73-70
−9.5
over 1under 1avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Southern Miss
0-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ South Carolina79–83
- L@ Buffalo79–85
4 days since their last game.
Grambling
1-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Howard73–70
- L@ Iowa State62–102
4 days since their last game.