The Dedmon Center · at Radford
Closing line
RAD -3.5✓ USM covered by 10.5
RAD -3.5✓ USM covered by 10.5Closing total152.5Over by 4.5
 USM | This season | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | Record | 1-6 |
| 2-3 | ATS | 2-5 |
| 3-2 | O/U | 4-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USM 77–78 RAD · ✗ RAD (53%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USM | 31 | 51 | 82 |
| RAD | 29 | 46 | 75 |
1st half: USM 31, RAD 29 (USM by 2). The model had RAD by 0.3 and a total of 72.5 (actual 60).
Team stats
| USM | RAD | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-60 42% | Field goals | 22-62 35% |
| 5-18 28% | 3-pointers | 10-34 29% |
| 27-32 84% | Free throws | 21-27 78% |
| 47 14 off | Rebounds | 34 11 off |
| 9 | Assists | 12 |
| 5 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 22 | Fouls | 23 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 28 |
Players
| USM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djahi Binet F | 35 | 17 | 13 | 2 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Curt Lewis G | 34 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4-8 | 3-6 |
| Dylan Brumfield G | 32 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Tylik Weeks F | 28 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 5-12 | 0-1 |
| Isaac Taveras G | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 8-14 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chiante' Tramble G | 13 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Tegra Izay C | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Israel Hart G | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| IJ Ezuma F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Brewer Carruth G | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| EJ Paymon F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Felipe Patino G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Fallou Diagne C | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Blake Lander, Jett Montgomery, Dalyn Brandon, Robert Cowherd, Chandler Watts
| RAD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Del Jones G | 39 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 4-14 | 3-8 |
| Jaylon Johnson G | 38 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 6-19 | 6-15 |
| Tyson Brown F | 35 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Dennis Parker Jr. G | 28 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 2-9 | 1-4 |
| Lukas Walls G | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brennan Rigsby Jr. G | 20 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Frederik Erichsen F | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Louie Jordan F | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Mari Jordan G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Bradley Land, Zion Walker, Gabriel Ferreira, Warren Keel Jr., Diogo Alves
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketRAD -3.5
ModelRAD -0.7
Model edgeUSM +2.8
W USM covered
Total
Market152.5
Model154.9
Model edgeOver 2.4
W Over
Projected score
USM 77.1 · RAD 77.8
USM 82 · RAD 75
Win probability
RAD 53%
1st half
Spread
RAD -0.3
USM -2.0
Total
72.5
60 points
Projected score
USM 36.1 · RAD 36.4
USM 31 · RAD 29
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenRAD -2.5
1 → RAD
CloseRAD -3.5
1 pt toward RAD
Total
Open152.5
no move
Close152.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
USM +130 · RAD -155
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened RAD -2.5 · closed RAD -3.5 · moved 1 toward RADmodel RAD -0.5
model RAD -0.5
Opened 152.5 · unchangedmodel 155
model 155
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USMlast 5 | 2-3 40% | 2-3 40% | 3-2 60% |
| RADlast 7 | 1-6 14% | 2-5 29% | 4-3 57% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Southern Miss
5 games played
Straight up
2-3
40% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg +3.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-2
60% overs · avg +5.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
BUF
BUFL 79-85
−2.5
9
@
SC
SCL 79-83
+13.5
13
@
GRAM
GRAML 70-75
−2.5
22
vs
UNF
UNFW 92-83
−0.5
23
vs
UTM
UTMW 70-60
+11.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BUF
BUFL 79-85
+10.5
9
@SC
SCL 79-83
+14.5
13
@GRAM
GRAML 70-75
−3.5
22
vsUNF
UNFW 92-83
+20.5
23
vsUTM
UTMW 70-60
−16.5
over 3under 2avg +5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Radford
7 games played
Straight up
1-6
14% wins
Against the spread
2-5
29% covers · avg −10.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-3
57% overs · avg −0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
WIU
WIUW 80-75
−11.5
11
@
UNC
UNCL 74-89
+5.5
15
vs
WRST
WRSTL 59-92
−39.5
16
vs
CLE
CLEL 82-87
−13.5
18
@SC
SCL 58-87
−18.5
21
vs
UNCW
UNCWL 73-81
−3.5
24
@
SMU
SMUL 72-89
+6.5
covered 2didn’t cover 5avg −10.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWIU
WIUW 80-75
+3.5
11
@UNC
UNCL 74-89
+0.5
15
vsWRST
WRSTL 59-92
−5.5
16
vsCLE
CLEL 82-87
+6.5
18
@SC
SCL 58-87
−8.5
21
vsUNCW
UNCWL 73-81
+2.5
24
@SMU
SMUL 72-89
−4.5
over 4under 3avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Southern Miss
2-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UT Martin70–60
- Wvs North Florida92–83
- L@ Grambling70–75
- L@ South Carolina79–83
- L@ Buffalo79–85
A week or more of rest.
Radford
1-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ SMU72–89
- Lvs UNC Wilmington73–81
- L@ South Carolina58–87
- Lvs Cleveland St82–87
- Lvs Wright St59–92
A week or more of rest.