Rock Hill Sports & Event Center · Neutral site
Line
MCN -2.5moved 1 toward UAB
Total151.5up 3 from 148.5
| This season | MCN | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects UAB 75–75 · win probability UAB 53%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
Line
MCN -2.5
moved 1 toward UAB
Total
151.5
model 149.9 · Under by 1.5
Model edge
UAB by 3.5
model vs market
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it
UAB 2, MCN 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Free throws
Free throw rate: UAB 36.4, MCN 37.4. Allowed: UAB 28.6, MCN 42.0
Context
Schedule so far
UAB has played the 129th-hardest schedule, MCN the 258th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UAB 32.5%, MCN 35.1%. Defensive: UAB 72.3%, MCN 65.1%
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: UAB plays 71.2 a game (61st fastest), MCN 67.1 (276th). Faster games mean more points
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UAB 12.6%, MCN 14.2%. Forced: UAB 16.1%, MCN 24.4%
Shooting
Effective FG%: UAB 48.4 and allows 50.0; MCN 50.7 and allows 49.3
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UAB 10%, MCN 33%. Transfers in: UAB 6, MCN 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
UAB offense vs MCN defense
Offense 82nd of 366 against a defense 117th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Three-pointers
UAB hits 27.8% and allows 32.6%; MCN hits 31.7% and allows 32.7%. Threes are 30.5% and 35.2% of their shots
Even
MCN offense vs UAB defense
Offense 153rd of 366 against a defense 141st, on the model’s ratings
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
How games like this went
Division I games since 2023-24, closing lines
| Situation | Games | Favorite won | Favorite covered | Went over |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neutral-site favorites of under 3 | 576 | 53% | 48% | 48% |
| Non-conference games at this spread | 1094 | 54% | 49% | 50% |
| Lines that moved 1+ toward the underdog | 4513 | 74% | 51% | 50% |
| Games with a total of 150 to 154.5 | 2755 | 75% | 51% | 50% |
Market
Open → current
Spread
OpenMCN -3.5
1 → UAB
NowMCN -2.5
1 pt toward UAB
Total
Open148.5
▲ 3
Now151.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
UAB +146 · MCN -178
Line movement
Median of 7 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot
Opened MCN -3.5 · now MCN -4 · moved 0.5 toward MCNmodel UAB -1
model UAB -1
Opened 148.5 · now 150.5 · moved 2 upmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelNow
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Public betting
Share of bets and of money
Bets
Money
Books
7 sportsbooks · current prices
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UAB | MCN | Over | Under | UAB | MCN | |
| BetMGMMGM | -3.5-105 | +3.5-115 | 151.5-105 | 151.5-115 | +150 | -185 |
| BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag | -4-110 | +4-110 | 150.5-115 | 150.5-105 | — | — |
| BetRiversBetRivers | -3.5-115 | +3.5-108 | 150.5-114 | 150.5-109 | +140 | -177 |
| BovadaBovada | -4-110 | +4-110 | 150.5-115 | 150.5-105 | +145 | -170 |
| DraftKingsDK | -3.5-110 | +3.5-110 | 151.5-105 | 151.5-115 | +150 | -180 |
| FanDuelFD | -4.5-120 | +4.5-102 | 151.5-110 | 151.5-110 | +146 | -178 |
| LowVig.agLowVig.ag | -4-106 | +4-106 | 150.5-113 | 150.5-103 | — | — |
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MCN -2.5 | UAB -0.9 | UAB +3.5 |
| Total | 151.5 | 149.9 | Under 1.6 |
| Projected score | — | UAB 75.4 · MCN 74.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UAB -0.7 | — |
| 1H total | 70.1 | — |
| 1H projected score | UAB 35.4 · MCN 34.7 | — |
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2025-26
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | |
| 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UAB 0–1 MCNMCN leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · UAB 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2023-24 | MCN 81 @ UAB 60 | UAB -5.5 | MCN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UAB
31 games played
Straight up
19-12
61% wins
Against the spread
15-16
48% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-17
45% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 106-55 | -34.5 | W +16.5 | 145.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 7 | @ | L 70-94 | +19.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 11 | vs | L 74-77 | -19.5 | L −22.5 | 164.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 14 | vs | W 91-74 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 168.5 | U 165 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 80-72 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 81-73 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 25 | vs | W 75-59 | -8.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 1 | @ | L 61-76 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 5 | @ | W 74-69 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 14 | vs | L 85-86 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 155.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 17 | vs | W 101-77 | -18.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 178 |
| Dec 21 | vs | W 72-47 | -13.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 31 | vs | L 70-75 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 4 | @ | W 109-106 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 163.5 | O 215 |
| Jan 7 | vs | L 71-76 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 162.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 11 | @ | W 87-85 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 14 | @ | W 82-69 | -1.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 18 | vs | L 77-99 | -1.5 | L −23.5 | 159.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 22 | vs | L 69-82 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 168.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 28 | @ | W 83-73 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | @ | W 72-68 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 5 | vs | L 80-90 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 155.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 8 | vs | W 71-65 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 11 | @ | W 68-63 | +10.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 15 | vs | L 54-55 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | U 109 |
| Feb 18 | @ | W 76-71 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 22 | @ | W 78-67 | +5.5 | W +16.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Mar 1 | vs | L 58-62 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | U 120 |
| Mar 4 | @ | W 80-74 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Mar 8 | vs | W 90-83 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Mar 13 | vs | L 78-83 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
MVSU
W 106-55
+16.5
7
@
NCSU
L 70-94
−4.5
11
vs
ALST
L 74-77
−22.5
14
vs
HPU
W 91-74
+18.5
21
vs
USA
W 80-72
+0.5
24
vs
SIU
W 81-73
+5.5
25
vs
UTEP
W 75-59
+7.5
1
@
MTSU
L 61-76
−16.5
5
@
DRKE
W 74-69
+6.5
14
vs
TROY
L 85-86
−7.5
17
vs
CLE
W 101-77
+5.5
21
vs
UNCA
W 72-47
+11.5
31
vs
WICH
L 70-75
−8.5
4
@
USF
W 109-106
+11.5
7
vs
FAU
L 71-76
−8.5
11
@
ECU
W 87-85
−5.5
14
@
TULN
W 82-69
+11.5
18
vs
TLSA
L 77-99
−23.5
22
vs
USF
L 69-82
−10.5
28
@
UTSA
W 83-73
−2.5
31
@
UNT
W 72-68
+5.5
5
vs
MEM
L 80-90
−11.5
8
vs
RICE
W 71-65
−2.5
11
@
TLSA
W 68-63
+15.5
15
vs
TULN
L 54-55
−7.5
18
@
TEM
W 76-71
+6.5
22
@
MEM
W 78-67
+16.5
1
vs
UNT
L 58-62
−8.5
4
@
CLT
W 80-74
+3.5
8
vs
ECU
W 90-83
−3.5
13
vs
CLT
L 78-83
−10.5
covered 15didn’t cover 16avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
MVSU
W 106-55
+15.5
7
@
NCSU
L 70-94
+1.5
11
vs
ALST
L 74-77
−13.5
14
vs
HPU
W 91-74
−3.5
21
vs
USA
W 80-72
+2.5
24
vs
SIU
W 81-73
−7.5
25
vs
UTEP
W 75-59
−12.5
1
@
MTSU
L 61-76
−16.5
5
@
DRKE
W 74-69
−5.5
14
vs
TROY
L 85-86
+15.5
17
vs
CLE
W 101-77
+21.5
21
vs
UNCA
W 72-47
−32.5
31
vs
WICH
L 70-75
−4.5
4
@
USF
W 109-106
+51.5
7
vs
FAU
L 71-76
−15.5
11
@
ECU
W 87-85
+21.5
14
@
TULN
W 82-69
−2.5
18
vs
TLSA
L 77-99
+16.5
22
vs
USF
L 69-82
−17.5
28
@
UTSA
W 83-73
+0.5
31
@
UNT
W 72-68
−1.5
5
vs
MEM
L 80-90
+14.5
8
vs
RICE
W 71-65
−17.5
11
@
TLSA
W 68-63
−30.5
15
vs
TULN
L 54-55
−43.5
18
@
TEM
W 76-71
+3.5
22
@
MEM
W 78-67
−7.5
1
vs
UNT
L 58-62
−22.5
4
@
CLT
W 80-74
+7.5
8
vs
ECU
W 90-83
+21.5
13
vs
CLT
L 78-83
+13.5
over 14under 17avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
McNeese
32 games played
Straight up
26-6
81% wins
Against the spread
16-16
50% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-17
47% overs · avg −0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ | L 67-79 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 151.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 14 | vs | W 88-62 | -15.5 | W +10.5 | 134.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 23 | vs | W 92-86 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 73-60 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 25 | vs | W 72-62 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 1 | @ | L 67-71 | -10.5 | L −14.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 5 | vs | W 92-54 | -19.5 | W +18.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 9 | @ | W 66-64 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 12 | vs | W 102-66 | -20.5 | W +15.5 | 142.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 15 | @ | W 78-68 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 137.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 29 | @ | L 71-112 | +24.5 | L −16.5 | 161.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 2 | vs | W 82-70 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 5 | vs | W 66-64 | -10.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 73-61 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 12 | vs | W 94-68 | -15.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 76-79 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 146.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 19 | @ | W 69-53 | -9.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 24 | vs | W 82-63 | -18.5 | W +0.5 | 156.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 27 | @ | W 76-66 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 139.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 31 | @ | W 64-63 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 2 | @ | L 60-67 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 141.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 7 | vs | W 81-64 | -16.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 9 | vs | W 73-69 | -21.5 | L −17.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 14 | @ | W 97-54 | -13.5 | W +29.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 16 | @ | W 75-64 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Feb 21 | vs | W 70-54 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 23 | vs | W 75-68 | -11.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 28 | @ | W 66-63 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 129 |
| Mar 2 | @ | W 75-65 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 140 |
| Mar 10 | vs | W 84-80 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 164 |
| Mar 11 | vs | W 76-59 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 134.5 | O 135 |
| Mar 19 | vs | L 68-78 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
SCU
L 67-79
−5.5
14
vs
UL
W 88-62
+10.5
23
vs
GW
W 92-86
+11.5
24
vs
MUR
W 73-60
+10.5
25
vs
MTSU
W 72-62
+0.5
1
@
UIW
L 67-71
−14.5
5
vs
NWST
W 92-54
+18.5
9
@
URI
W 66-64
+0.5
12
vs
ETAM
W 102-66
+15.5
15
@
HCU
W 78-68
−4.5
29
@
MICH
L 71-112
−16.5
2
vs
LAM
W 82-70
−4.5
5
vs
SFA
W 66-64
−8.5
10
vs
SELA
W 73-61
−4.5
12
vs
NICH
W 94-68
+10.5
17
@
RGV
L 76-79
−12.5
19
@
AMCC
W 69-53
+6.5
24
vs
NOLA
W 82-63
+0.5
27
@
SELA
W 76-66
−2.5
31
@
LAM
W 64-63
−9.5
2
@
SFA
L 60-67
−9.5
7
vs
UIW
W 81-64
+0.5
9
vs
HCU
W 73-69
−17.5
14
@
ETAM
W 97-54
+29.5
16
@
NWST
W 75-64
−3.5
21
vs
AMCC
W 70-54
+1.5
23
vs
RGV
W 75-68
−4.5
28
@
NOLA
W 66-63
−7.5
2
@
NICH
W 75-65
+0.5
10
vs
RGV
W 84-80
−4.5
11
vs
SFA
W 76-59
+13.5
19
vs
VAN
L 68-78
+2.5
covered 16didn’t cover 16avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@
SCU
L 67-79
−5.5
14
vs
UL
W 88-62
+15.5
23
vs
GW
W 92-86
+20.5
24
vs
MUR
W 73-60
−25.5
25
vs
MTSU
W 72-62
−13.5
1
@
UIW
L 67-71
−7.5
5
vs
NWST
W 92-54
+6.5
9
@
URI
W 66-64
−16.5
12
vs
ETAM
W 102-66
+25.5
15
@
HCU
W 78-68
+8.5
29
@
MICH
L 71-112
+21.5
2
vs
LAM
W 82-70
+6.5
5
vs
SFA
W 66-64
−14.5
10
vs
SELA
W 73-61
−4.5
12
vs
NICH
W 94-68
+15.5
17
@
RGV
L 76-79
+8.5
19
@
AMCC
W 69-53
−18.5
24
vs
NOLA
W 82-63
−11.5
27
@
SELA
W 76-66
+2.5
31
@
LAM
W 64-63
−17.5
2
@
SFA
L 60-67
−14.5
7
vs
UIW
W 81-64
−0.5
9
vs
HCU
W 73-69
+4.5
14
@
ETAM
W 97-54
+8.5
16
@
NWST
W 75-64
+0.5
21
vs
AMCC
W 70-54
−15.5
23
vs
RGV
W 75-68
−3.5
28
@
NOLA
W 66-63
−21.5
2
@
NICH
W 75-65
−5.5
10
vs
RGV
W 84-80
+23.5
11
vs
SFA
W 76-59
+0.5
19
vs
VAN
L 68-78
−2.5
over 15under 17avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
The starting fives are even
Position by position: UAB 2, McNeese 2, even 1
UABBetterMcNeese
G J. Fernandez TR16.6 pts · 4.6 reb · 2.1 ast
Score 56
→MCNBig
G L. Johnson16.8 pts · 5.5 reb · 1.4 ast
Score 98
G J. Elyzee TR11.1 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.7 ast
Score 61
←UABSmall
G C. Cherenfant3.6 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.9 ast
Score 38
G D. Jones TR16.4 pts · 4 reb · 3.4 ast
Score 91
=No call
G D. Warren TR1.2 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.9 ast
Not ranked
G E. Duval TR15.6 pts · 4 reb · 3.5 ast
Score 74
←UABBig
F J. Colbert5.3 pts · 4.1 reb · 0.5 ast
Score 29
G T. Caldwell TR9 pts · 2.6 reb · 1 ast
Score 56
→MCNSmall
F C. Chest TR2.6 pts · 3.8 reb · 0.6 ast
Score 71
UABBetterMcNeese
UAB offense82nd of 366 · +0.4
=Even
MCN defense117th of 366 · -1.6
UAB defense141st of 366 · -3.1
=Even
MCN offense153rd of 366 · -4.7
Backcourt+2.8 · 5 players
=Even
Backcourt+3.2 · 3 players
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
=No call
Frontcourt-0.6 · 2 players
Bench-1.4 · 2 players
→MCNSmall
Bench-0.3 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestUAB betterMCN betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Guards
J. Fernandez37 min · TRJ. Elyzee30 min · TRD. Jones29 min · TRE. Duval27 min · TRT. Caldwell20 min · TRS. London20 min
Forwards
A. Alston8 min · TRA. Sandlin-ElNew
Centers
M. MboleNewK. DavisNew
Guards
L. Johnson26 minC. Cherenfant16 minD. Warren8 min · TRE. Moore5 min · TRJ. Rembert4 minJ. Dean-Vines3 min · TR
Forwards
J. Colbert20 minC. Chest13 min · TRA. Maluk7 min · TRC. NituNewM. MadisonNewA. MazouNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Matchup stats
2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Points per game
Points per possession
Pace (possessions)
Shooting
Effective FG%
3-point %
3-point attempt rate
Free throw rate
Possessions
Turnover rate
Offensive rebound rate
Assists per game
Defense
Points allowed
Points allowed per possession
Opponent effective FG%
Opponent 3-point %
Turnovers forced
Defensive rebound rate
Steals per game
Blocks per game
| Scoring | ||
|---|---|---|
| 78.2 #92 | Points per game | 76.6 #131 |
| 1.10 #141 | Points per possession | 1.14 #69 |
| 71.2 #61 | Pace (possessions) | 67.1 #276 |
| Shooting | ||
| 48.4 #305 | Effective FG% | 50.7 #202 |
| 27.8 #364 | 3-point % | 31.7 #290 |
| 30.5 #350 | 3-point attempt rate | 35.2 #269 |
| 36.4 #141 | Free throw rate | 37.4 #114 |
| Possessions | ||
| 12.6 #2 | Turnover rate | 14.2 #28 |
| 32.5 #104 | Offensive rebound rate | 35.1 #46 |
| 14.2 #135 | Assists per game | 13.1 #205 |
| Defense | ||
| 74.3 #168 | Points allowed | 67.4 #23 |
| 1.04 #79 | Points allowed per possession | 1.00 #27 |
| 50.0 #98 | Opponent effective FG% | 49.3 #76 |
| 32.6 #95 | Opponent 3-point % | 32.7 #102 |
| 16.1 #217 | Turnovers forced | 24.4 #1 |
| 72.3 #53 | Defensive rebound rate | 65.1 #338 |
| 7.5 #74 | Steals per game | 10.3 #1 |
| 3.5 #139 | Blocks per game | 4.4 #42 |
UAB
19-12 in 2025-26 overall · 11-8 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Charlotte78–83
- Wvs East Carolina90–83
- W@ Charlotte80–74
- Lvs North Texas58–62
- W@ Memphis78–67
A week or more of rest.
McNeese
26-6 in 2025-26 overall · 21-3 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Vanderbilt68–78
- Wvs SF Austin76–59
- Wvs UT Rio Grande84–80
- W@ Nicholls75–65
- W@ LSU N Orleans66–63
A week or more of rest.